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Cincinnati vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 68-82
29-35 39-47
Position#134
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game65.8
vs
Dayton 🏆
USA
Position#30
Record7-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game64.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cincinnati v Dayton
11 Nov 2025
CINC74
DAYT62
16 Dec 2023
CINC68
DAYT82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#3
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A23/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
93-61
93
61
+32
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
89-54
89
54
+35
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
86-81 OT
86
81
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
85-53
85
53
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-39
0-0
35-35
0-0
40-30
0-0
29-28
0-0
60-27
0-0
33-34
0-0
38-30
0-0
47-43
0-0
45-31
0-0
45-35
0-0
40-32
0-0
49-22
0-0
34-29
0-0
40-45
0-0
49-26
0-0
50-36
0-0
27-35
0-0
52-49
0-0
30-27
0-0
55-26
150.9Avg total
84.3Scored
66.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)86.165.8151.9+20.389%
Season at home (7)87.161.0148.1+26.1100%
Season away (2)82.582.5165.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)84.366.6150.9+17.780%
Last 5 (5)87.666.8154.4+20.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)58.772.0130.7-13.30%
vs Similar ◀ (7)75.069.4144.4+5.657%
vs Weaker (19)82.967.1150.0+15.884%
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
W
70-67
70
67
+3
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
55-69
55
69
-14
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
77-69
77
69
+8
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
76-46
76
46
+30
H02/12
NCAA
Troy
#98
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
36-30
20-38
27-24
36-23
25-35
41-36
30-32
40-35
38-40
50-41
28-36
27-33
37-35
40-34
35-37
30-26
40-16
36-30
–
–
134.9Avg total
69.8Scored
65.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.364.8136.1+6.678%
Season at home (5)77.262.6139.8+14.6100%
Season away (4)64.067.5131.5-3.550%
Last 10 (10)69.865.1134.9+4.770%
Last 5 (5)71.063.4134.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)55.069.0124.0-14.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)70.665.2135.8+5.569%
vs Weaker (16)70.961.0131.9+9.975%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.0+9.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +9.0+9.01st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +8.2+8.22nd half: +2.7+2.7
CincinnatiDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Valley State
#3
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A23/03
NIT
Illinois (Chi.)
#303
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H07/11
NCAA
Detroit
#370
W
60-27
60
27
+33
H11/11
NCAA
East. Washington
#81
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H12/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#177
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H19/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H23/11
NCAA
Howard
#204
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/11
NCAA
Florida Gulf Coast
#260
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H03/12
NCAA
Xavier
#245
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A09/12
NCAA
Bryant University
#126
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H13/12
NCAA
70.2Avg total
39.6Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.931.067.9+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.529.968.5+8.676%-
Last 30 away (13)34.832.367.1+2.569%-
Last 10 (10)39.630.670.2+9.080%-
Last 5 (5)36.029.865.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)31.336.367.7-5.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.432.765.1-0.357%-
vs Weaker (19)39.829.469.2+10.589%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#26
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H07/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A11/11
NCAA
LSU
#182
L
30-32
30
32
-2
A16/11
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#121
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H17/11
NCAA
Houston
#9
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A20/11
NCAA
Youngstown State
#53
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#99
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Grambling St.
#141
W
40-16
40
16
+24
H02/12
NCAA
64.6Avg total
32.9Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)33.330.263.6+3.162%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.129.064.1+6.180%-
Last 30 away (14)31.431.662.9-0.243%-
Last 10 (9)32.931.764.6+1.244%-
Last 5 (5)35.632.868.4+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)28.036.064.0-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.932.267.1+2.867%-
vs Weaker (16)32.428.460.9+4.062%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
0
Dayton wins
No previous meetings.
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/23HBryant University85-53
09/12/23AXavier79-84
03/12/23HFlorida Gulf Coast99-62
29/11/23AHoward86-81 OT
23/11/23HGeorgia Tech89-54
19/11/23HNorthern Kentucky90-66
12/11/23HEast. Washington85-73
11/11/23HDetroit93-61
07/11/23HIllinois (Chi.)69-58
23/03/23AUtah Valley State68-74
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/23HTroy82-70
02/12/23HGrambling St.76-46
30/11/23ASMU Mustangs65-63
25/11/23HYoungstown State77-69
20/11/23AHouston55-69
17/11/23HSt. John's (N.Y.)88-81
16/11/23ALSU70-67
11/11/23ANorthwestern66-71
07/11/23HSiu Edwardsville63-47
12/03/23AVCU Rams56-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games972
Win %89%100%50%
Points / game86.187.182.5
Allowed / game65.861.082.5
Point differential+20.3+26.1+0.0
Avg total151.9148.1165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+78%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%50%
Dayton
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW78%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%100%50%
Points / game71.377.264.0
Allowed / game64.862.667.5
Point differential+6.6+14.6-3.5
Avg total136.1139.8131.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)-67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston11110100%75.851.2+24.6
2 Kansas1110191%79.565.6+13.8
3 Brigham Young109190%89.461.9+27.5
4 Baylor109190%88.469.6+18.8
5 Arizona98189%92.967.0+25.9
6 Cincinnati98189%86.165.8+20.3
7 TCU87188%88.567.1+21.4
8 Iowa State108280%86.059.2+26.8
9 Colorado108280%85.068.8+16.2
10 Utah Utes108280%80.271.0+9.2
11 Kansas State108280%80.972.5+8.4
12 Texas Tech97278%75.666.8+8.8
13 UCF Knights96367%78.067.7+10.3
14 Arizona State96367%70.169.0+1.1
15 Oklahoma State94544%73.967.2+6.7
16 West Virginia104640%65.767.9-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Washington119282%82.172.5+9.5
2 Saint Josephs Hawks108280%75.163.8+11.3
3 George Mason108280%73.265.9+7.3
4 Duquesne97278%77.369.1+8.2
5 Dayton97278%71.364.8+6.6
6 Davidson118373%73.965.8+8.1
7 La Salle118373%76.374.6+1.6
8 St. Bonaventure107370%74.064.6+9.4
9 VCU Rams116555%72.567.1+5.4
10 Loyola Chicago116555%74.570.3+4.3
11 St. Louis Billikens116555%74.375.0-0.7
12 Richmond Spiders105550%78.069.5+8.5
13 Fordham115645%71.069.3+1.7
14 Rhode Island115645%72.171.5+0.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati293968
Dayton354782
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