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Cincinnati vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 83-56
37-19 46-37
Position#159
Record1-0
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.0
Allowed / game54.0
vs
Position#232
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game70.5
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#151
W
74-72
74
72
+2
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
A06/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H09/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
72-52
72
52
+20
A14/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
56-68
56
68
-12
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#18
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
H21/03
NIT
Bradley
#14
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
109-54
109
54
+55
H05/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
34-27
0-0
40-45
0-0
28-27
0-0
39-40
0-0
36-29
0-0
56-27
0-0
36-38
0-0
54-47
0-0
38-25
0-0
34-27
0-0
26-24
0-0
30-44
0-0
38-35
0-0
29-32
0-0
36-28
0-0
38-29
0-0
36-32
0-0
45-53
0-0
55-32
0-0
54-22
146.7Avg total
79.2Scored
67.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)109.054.0163.0+55.0100%
Season at home (1)109.054.0163.0+55.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.267.5146.7+11.770%
Last 5 (5)78.667.2145.8+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.865.5128.2-2.825%
vs Similar (17)70.868.9139.8+1.947%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.066.4148.4+15.675%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
45-93
45
93
-48
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
89-48
89
48
+41
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-30
42-50
37-24
41-33
34-25
38-25
36-25
31-24
34-21
44-42
37-41
47-37
32-27
37-28
38-39
31-46
14-41
31-52
45-26
44-22
138.2Avg total
72.4Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)67.070.5137.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)89.048.0137.0+41.0100%
Season away (1)45.093.0138.0-48.00%
Last 10 (10)72.465.8138.2+6.670%
Last 5 (5)71.271.8143.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)45.093.0138.0-48.00%
vs Similar (1)69.085.0154.0-16.00%
vs Weaker (27)76.261.4137.6+14.781%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +2.7+2.7
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.6+6.61st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +2.7+2.7
CincinnatiMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kansas State
#151
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H03/03
NCAA
Oklahoma
#104
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A06/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H09/03
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#63
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A14/03
NCAA
Baylor
#58
W
26-24
26
24
+2
A15/03
NCAA
San Francisco
#18
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H21/03
NIT
Bradley
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H05/11
NCAA
66.0Avg total
36.3Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.431.463.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)33.932.566.4+1.450%-
Last 30 away (12)30.229.759.9+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)36.329.766.0+6.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.230.268.4+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)24.830.054.8-5.225%-
vs Similar (17)32.231.363.5+0.947%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.031.867.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Indiana
#346
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/03
NCAA
Illinois
#27
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A21/03
NCAA
Louisville
#26
L
14-41
14
41
-27
A05/11
NCAA
Boyce
#554
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H07/11
NCAA
63.7Avg total
33.8Scored
29.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.428.764.2+6.773%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.926.265.1+12.6100%-
Last 30 away (16)32.430.963.4+1.550%-
Last 10 (10)33.829.963.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)33.234.868.0-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)14.041.055.0-27.00%-
vs Similar (1)38.039.077.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker (27)35.828.063.8+7.878%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-54
27/03/24AIndiana State81-85
23/03/24HBradley74-57
21/03/24HSan Francisco73-72 OT
15/03/24ABaylor56-68
14/03/24AKansas72-52
12/03/24HWest Virginia90-85
09/03/24HWest Virginia92-56
06/03/24AOklahoma71-74 OT
03/03/24HKansas State74-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/24HBoyce89-48
05/11/24ALouisville45-93
21/03/24AIllinois69-85
10/03/24AUALR69-55
09/03/24AUT Martin84-78
08/03/24HSiu Edwardsville78-63
02/03/24HLindenwood67-49
01/03/24HSoutheast Missouri State72-50
23/02/24AWestern Illinois78-57
21/02/24HSouthern Indiana73-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game109.0109.0-
Allowed / game54.054.0-
Point differential+55.0+55.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Morehead State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game67.089.045.0
Allowed / game70.548.093.0
Point differential-3.5+41.0-48.0
Avg total137.5137.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston110100%97.040.0+57.0
2 Cincinnati110100%109.054.0+55.0
3 TCU110100%105.059.0+46.0
4 Iowa State110100%83.044.0+39.0
5 Brigham Young110100%88.050.0+38.0
6 Utah Utes220100%99.061.0+38.0
7 Texas Tech110100%94.061.0+33.0
8 Kansas110100%87.057.0+30.0
9 Arizona110100%93.064.0+29.0
10 West Virginia110100%87.059.0+28.0
11 Kansas State110100%89.065.0+24.0
12 Colorado110100%76.056.0+20.0
13 Oklahoma State110100%89.076.0+13.0
14 Arizona State110100%55.048.0+7.0
15 UCF Knights110100%64.061.0+3.0
16 Baylor1010%63.0101.0-38.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tennessee State110100%96.066.0+30.0
2 UT Martin220100%90.563.0+27.5
3 UALR110100%84.064.0+20.0
4 Lindenwood21150%79.061.5+17.5
5 Siu Edwardsville21150%78.061.0+17.0
6 Tennessee Tech21150%83.578.5+5.0
7 Morehead State21150%67.070.5-3.5
8 Eastern Illinois21150%82.086.5-4.5
9 Western Illinois21150%61.566.0-4.5
10 Southern Indiana2020%73.577.5-4.0
11 Southeast Missouri State1010%60.088.0-28.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati374683
Morehead State193756
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