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UALR vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 55-69
27-32 28-37
Position#90
Record21-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game72.3
UALR
USA
vs
Morehead State 🏆
USA
Position#34
Record25-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · UALR v Morehead State
26 Feb 2026
UALR70
MORE76
09 Jan 2025
UALR53
MORE59
09 Mar 2024
UALR55
MORE69
15 Feb 2024
UALR69
MORE68
09 Feb 2023
UALR72
MORE68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UALR winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UALRUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
71-47
71
47
+24
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
77-57
77
57
+20
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
63-60
63
60
+3
A09/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A23/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H01/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
81-43
81
43
+38
H02/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
31-24
40-23
40-25
37-32
23-33
40-27
31-28
38-40
38-26
42-36
45-33
38-28
37-32
45-41
47-32
38-28
40-23
41-20
40-28
42-29
136.1Avg total
77.3Scored
58.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.172.3150.3+5.866%
Season at home (19)79.971.4151.3+8.574%
Season away (13)75.473.6149.0+1.854%
Last 10 (10)77.358.8136.1+18.5100%
Last 5 (5)82.658.8141.4+23.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)69.068.0137.0+1.0100%
vs Similar (14)76.973.9150.9+3.050%
vs Weaker (15)80.770.5151.2+10.180%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A09/03
NCAA
1H
2H
37-26
42-42
36-28
33-29
28-31
40-38
36-44
46-44
31-30
42-50
37-24
41-33
34-25
38-25
36-25
31-24
34-21
44-42
37-41
47-37
140.9Avg total
75.0Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)75.763.0138.7+12.676%
Season at home (16)81.257.4138.7+23.894%
Season away (17)70.468.3138.7+2.159%
Last 10 (10)75.065.9140.9+9.170%
Last 5 (5)75.859.4135.2+16.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)75.761.6137.3+14.180%
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +8.8+8.81st half: +5.1+5.12nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +4.0+4.0
UALRMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UALRLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A03/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H07/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
L
23-33
23
33
-10
A09/02
NCAA
Morehead State
#34
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H16/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H17/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/02
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A24/02
NCAA
Tennessee State
#176
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H01/03
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#322
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H02/03
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H09/03
NCAA
65.6Avg total
37.2Scored
28.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.933.871.8+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.633.271.8+5.467%-
Last 30 away (12)36.934.871.8+2.167%-
Last 10 (10)37.228.465.6+8.890%-
Last 5 (5)41.829.671.4+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)31.028.059.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (14)37.533.971.4+3.657%-
vs Weaker (15)38.834.273.0+4.673%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H09/02
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/03
NCAA
64.1Avg total
34.6Scored
29.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.228.363.5+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.226.965.1+11.3100%-
Last 30 away (15)32.229.761.9+2.553%-
Last 10 (10)34.629.564.1+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)35.627.262.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)35.228.363.5+6.977%-
This opponent (UALR) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
UALR wins
1
Morehead State wins
DateGameScore
16/02/24UALR v Morehead State69-68
10/02/23UALR v Morehead State72-68
27/01/23Morehead State v UALR76-72
UALRlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HWestern Illinois82-57
02/03/24HTennessee Tech81-43
01/03/24HTennessee State85-60
24/02/24ALindenwood82-73
23/02/24ASoutheast Missouri State83-61
17/02/24HSouthern Indiana80-62
16/02/24HMorehead State69-68
09/02/24AWestern Illinois63-60
07/02/24HUT Martin77-57
03/02/24AEastern Illinois71-47
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24AUT Martin84-78
08/03/24HSiu Edwardsville78-63
02/03/24HLindenwood67-49
01/03/24HSoutheast Missouri State72-50
23/02/24AWestern Illinois78-57
21/02/24HSouthern Indiana73-80
17/02/24AUT Martin82-88
16/02/24AUALR68-69
10/02/24HEastern Illinois69-57
09/02/24HSiu Edwardsville79-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UALR
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW66%
HomeWWWWW74%
AwayLWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321913
Win %66%74%54%
Points / game78.179.975.4
Allowed / game72.371.473.6
Point differential+5.8+8.5+1.8
Avg total150.3151.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%47%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)50% (6)50% (6)
Overtime %6%5%8%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayWLLWW59%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %76%94%59%
Points / game75.781.270.4
Allowed / game63.057.468.3
Point differential+12.6+23.8+2.1
Avg total138.7138.7138.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%81%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State3325876%75.763.0+12.6
2 UALR32211166%78.172.3+5.8
3 UT Martin32211166%81.576.7+4.8
4 Western Illinois33211264%68.865.7+3.2
5 Tennessee State33181555%72.771.0+1.7
6 Siu Edwardsville33171652%71.570.1+1.4
7 Eastern Illinois32141844%68.967.9+1.0
8 Tennessee Tech31102132%67.473.8-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State3192229%67.073.5-6.5
10 Lindenwood3192229%65.173.1-8.0
11 Southern Indiana3282425%68.673.0-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UALR272855
Morehead State323769
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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