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Illinois vs Morehead State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:10
Final 85-69
39-38 46-31
Position#27
Record26-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game73.8
Illinois 🏆
USA
vs
Morehead State
USA
Position#34
Record26-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game62.8
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Illinois winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Morehead State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

IllinoisUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
85-80
85
80
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
L
89-90
89
90
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
95-85
95
85
+10
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
105-97
105
97
+8
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
73-61
73
61
+12
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H17/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-38
42-42
48-41
41-49
44-43
51-42
48-45
57-52
39-37
52-46
40-34
31-43
39-29
34-32
31-29
46-45
40-51
58-36
41-40
52-47
169.8Avg total
87.7Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)84.473.8158.2+10.676%
Season at home (23)84.971.1156.0+13.887%
Season away (11)83.479.4162.7+4.055%
Last 10 (10)87.782.1169.8+5.680%
Last 5 (5)82.477.2159.6+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)81.879.9161.7+1.956%
vs Weaker (21)87.673.8161.4+13.886%
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
78-57
78
57
+21
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
67-49
67
49
+18
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A10/03
NCAA
1H
2H
36-28
33-29
28-31
40-38
36-44
46-44
31-30
42-50
37-24
41-33
34-25
38-25
36-25
31-24
34-21
44-42
37-41
47-37
32-27
37-28
138.6Avg total
74.0Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)75.562.8138.3+12.776%
Season at home (16)81.257.4138.7+23.894%
Season away (18)70.367.6137.9+2.861%
Last 10 (10)74.064.6138.6+9.470%
Last 5 (5)74.059.0133.0+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)75.561.2136.8+14.380%
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +2.6+2.61st half: +4.5+4.52nd half2nd half: +3.0+3.02nd half: +4.9+4.9
IllinoisMorehead State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
IllinoisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maryland
#215
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A17/02
NCAA
Penn State
#216
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A21/02
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H24/02
NCAA
Minnesota
#163
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H29/02
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A02/03
NCAA
Purdue
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H06/03
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A10/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H15/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
40-51
40
51
-11
H16/03
NCAA
Wisconsin
#117
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H17/03
NCAA
80.0Avg total
41.3Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.635.075.6+5.680%-
Last 30 at home (19)41.633.775.3+7.984%-
Last 30 away (11)39.037.376.3+1.773%-
Last 10 (10)41.338.780.0+2.690%-
Last 5 (5)38.236.674.8+1.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)38.138.876.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (21)41.733.475.1+8.395%-
This opponent (Morehead State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Morehead StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Illinois
#258
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/02
NCAA
UALR
#90
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A16/02
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A17/02
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#346
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H21/02
NCAA
Western Illinois
#92
W
37-24
37
24
+13
A23/02
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#332
W
34-25
34
25
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H02/03
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
W
34-21
34
21
+13
H08/03
NCAA
UT Martin
#82
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A09/03
NCAA
UALR
#90
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/03
NCAA
63.7Avg total
34.1Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.028.263.2+6.877%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.226.764.9+11.5100%-
Last 30 away (16)32.229.561.7+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)34.129.663.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)34.627.862.4+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀no games
vs Weaker (30)35.028.263.2+6.877%-
This opponent (Illinois) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Illinois wins
0
Morehead State wins
No previous meetings.
Illinoislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/24HWisconsin93-87
16/03/24HNebraska98-87
15/03/24HOhio State77-74
10/03/24AIowa73-61
06/03/24HPurdue71-77
02/03/24AWisconsin91-83
29/02/24HMinnesota105-97
24/02/24HIowa95-85
21/02/24APenn State89-90
17/02/24AMaryland85-80
Morehead Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AUALR69-55
09/03/24AUT Martin84-78
08/03/24HSiu Edwardsville78-63
02/03/24HLindenwood67-49
01/03/24HSoutheast Missouri State72-50
23/02/24AWestern Illinois78-57
21/02/24HSouthern Indiana73-80
17/02/24AUT Martin82-88
16/02/24AUALR68-69
10/02/24HEastern Illinois69-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Illinois
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayLWLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games342311
Win %76%87%55%
Points / game84.484.983.4
Allowed / game73.871.179.4
Point differential+10.6+13.8+4.0
Avg total158.2156.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%57%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %6%4%9%
Morehead State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW76%
HomeWLWWW94%
AwayLLWWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341618
Win %76%94%61%
Points / game75.581.270.3
Allowed / game62.857.467.6
Point differential+12.7+23.8+2.8
Avg total138.3138.7137.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%81%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue3329488%83.470.2+13.2
2 Illinois3426876%84.473.8+10.6
3 Nebraska33231070%77.670.1+7.5
4 Oregon34231168%75.371.9+3.5
5 Northwestern32211166%73.769.0+4.7
6 Wisconsin35221363%75.169.9+5.1
7 Ohio State33201361%74.969.5+5.4
8 Michigan State34201459%73.065.5+7.5
9 Indiana33191458%72.374.3-2.0
10 Iowa32181456%82.979.0+3.9
11 Minnesota32181456%75.471.8+3.7
12 Washington32171553%80.677.1+3.5
13 Maryland33161748%69.065.9+3.2
14 Penn State33161748%75.173.4+1.7
15 UCLA33161748%66.065.5+0.5
16 Rutgers32151747%65.466.5-1.2
17 USC33151845%74.174.3-0.2
18 Michigan3282425%72.979.0-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Ohio Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morehead State3426876%75.562.8+12.7
2 UT Martin32211166%81.576.7+4.8
3 UALR33211264%77.472.2+5.2
4 Western Illinois33211264%68.865.7+3.2
5 Tennessee State33181555%72.771.0+1.7
6 Siu Edwardsville33171652%71.570.1+1.4
7 Eastern Illinois32141844%68.967.9+1.0
8 Tennessee Tech31102132%67.473.8-6.5
9 Southeast Missouri State3192229%67.073.5-6.5
10 Lindenwood3192229%65.173.1-8.0
11 Southern Indiana3282425%68.673.0-4.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Illinois394685
Morehead State383169
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