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Cincinnati vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 68-65
30-31 38-34
Position#159
Record7-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game58.9
vs
Position#82
Record9-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cincinnati v Xavier
05 Dec 2026
CINC v XAVI
upcoming
14 Dec 2024
CINC68
XAVI65
10 Dec 2022
CINC77
XAVI80
06 Dec 2020
CINC69
XAVI77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cincinnati winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CincinnatiUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#14
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
L
81-85
81
85
-4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
109-54
109
54
+55
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
86-49
86
49
+37
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
81-58
81
58
+23
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
77-59
77
59
+18
H28/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A03/12
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H08/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-28
0-0
38-29
0-0
36-32
0-0
45-53
0-0
55-32
0-0
54-22
0-0
37-19
0-0
46-37
0-0
42-22
0-0
44-27
0-0
32-28
0-0
44-32
0-0
45-29
0-0
36-29
0-0
46-33
0-0
31-26
0-0
28-37
0-0
32-31
0-0
36-32
0-0
48-35
142.4Avg total
81.1Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.058.9140.9+23.188%
Season at home (5)87.857.0144.8+30.8100%
Season away (3)72.362.0134.3+10.367%
Last 10 (10)81.161.3142.4+19.880%
Last 5 (5)75.662.4138.0+13.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.067.3127.3-7.30%
vs Similar ◀ (15)70.567.6138.1+2.947%
vs Weaker (11)81.865.0146.8+16.882%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
62-56
62
56
+6
H09/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
94-57
94
57
+37
H13/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
75-60
75
60
+15
H16/11
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H20/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
W
75-66
75
66
+9
A26/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
53-78
53
78
-25
A28/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H01/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
72-76
72
76
-4
A06/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
119-58
119
58
+61
H11/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
56-47
33-22
29-34
40-25
54-32
34-24
41-36
44-28
36-27
29-34
46-32
30-41
23-37
32-26
39-42
29-37
43-39
52-24
67-34
144.9Avg total
79.5Scored
65.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)79.465.7145.1+13.682%
Season at home (8)84.162.9147.0+21.2100%
Season away (3)66.773.3140.0-6.733%
Last 10 (10)79.565.4144.9+14.180%
Last 5 (5)78.069.2147.2+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.181.6150.8-12.525%
vs Similar ◀ (8)72.674.1146.8-1.550%
vs Weaker (13)86.468.2154.6+18.292%
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +7.4+7.4
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: +10.1+10.11st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +9.7+9.72nd half: +7.4+7.4
CincinnatiXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CincinnatiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#14
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H23/03
NIT
Indiana State
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A27/03
NIT
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
#356
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H05/11
NCAA
Morehead State
#232
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H09/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#122
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H16/11
NCAA
Northern Kentucky
#199
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A20/11
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#196
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A23/11
NCAA
Alabama State
#156
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H28/11
NCAA
Villanova
#138
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Howard
#302
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H08/12
NCAA
68.5Avg total
39.3Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.030.664.6+3.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.031.167.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)31.729.961.6+1.857%-
Last 10 (10)39.329.268.5+10.190%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.869.2+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)25.029.754.7-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)33.331.164.5+2.247%-
vs Weaker (11)37.029.666.6+7.482%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
IU Indy
#332
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H08/11
NCAA
Alcorn State
#321
W
33-22
33
22
+11
H09/11
NCAA
Jackson State
#221
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/11
NCAA
Wake Forest
#87
W
34-24
34
24
+10
H16/11
NCAA
Siena
#256
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H20/11
NCAA
South Carolina
#301
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A26/11
NCAA
Michigan
#44
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A28/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#119
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H01/12
NCAA
TCU
#210
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A06/12
NCAA
Morgan State
#258
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H11/12
NCAA
65.5Avg total
36.1Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.534.869.4-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.830.967.6+5.969%-
Last 30 away (14)32.039.471.4-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.465.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.466.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)30.836.667.4-5.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)33.535.969.4-2.462%-
vs Weaker (13)37.532.269.8+5.362%-
This opponent (Cincinnati) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cincinnati wins
5
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Xavier v Cincinnati84-79
10/12/22Cincinnati v Xavier77-80
12/12/21Xavier v Cincinnati83-63
06/12/20Cincinnati v Xavier69-77
07/12/19Xavier v Cincinnati73-66
Cincinnatilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HHoward84-67
03/12/24AVillanova60-68
28/11/24HAlabama State77-59
23/11/24AGeorgia Tech81-58
20/11/24ANorthern Kentucky76-60
16/11/24HNicholls State86-49
09/11/24HMorehead State83-56
05/11/24HArkansas-Pine Bluff109-54
27/03/24AIndiana State81-85
23/03/24HBradley74-57
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HMorgan State119-58
06/12/24ATCU72-76
01/12/24HSouth Carolina St71-68
28/11/24AMichigan53-78
26/11/24ASouth Carolina75-66
20/11/24HSiena80-55
16/11/24HWake Forest75-60
13/11/24HJackson State94-57
09/11/24HAlcorn State62-56
08/11/24HIU Indy94-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cincinnati
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %88%100%67%
Points / game82.087.872.3
Allowed / game58.957.062.0
Point differential+23.1+30.8+10.3
Avg total140.9144.8134.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+88%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xavier
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %82%100%33%
Points / game79.484.166.7
Allowed / game65.762.973.3
Point differential+13.6+21.2-6.7
Avg total145.1147.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iowa State98189%87.966.4+21.4
2 Arizona State98189%80.071.1+8.9
3 Cincinnati87188%82.058.9+23.1
4 Colorado108280%76.569.7+6.8
5 Texas Tech97278%84.765.4+19.2
6 Brigham Young97278%85.767.3+18.3
7 West Virginia97278%77.966.1+11.8
8 Kansas97278%78.868.1+10.7
9 UCF Knights97278%79.474.8+4.7
10 Utah Utes86275%87.064.8+22.2
11 Oklahoma State86275%81.475.8+5.6
12 Baylor107370%84.971.3+13.6
13 Houston96367%77.056.4+20.6
14 Kansas State96367%80.469.3+11.1
15 TCU95456%73.067.2+5.8
16 Arizona84450%87.172.8+14.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marquette109190%83.466.4+17.0
2 Xavier119282%79.465.7+13.6
3 DePaul108280%83.266.8+16.4
4 St. John's (N.Y.)108280%84.468.1+16.3
5 Georgetown97278%76.764.2+12.4
6 Uconn107370%84.264.3+19.9
7 Creighton107370%78.068.1+9.9
8 Butler107370%73.266.1+7.1
9 Villanova117464%79.166.4+12.7
10 Providence117464%70.563.7+6.8
11 Seton Hall105550%60.159.4+0.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Cincinnati303868
Xavier313465
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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