Citadel vs Chicago State Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 75-76

34-44 41-32

Position#330

Record9-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game69.3

Allowed / game74.2

Citadel

Chicago State 🏆

Position#297

Record6-17

FormLLWLW

Points / game68.5

Allowed / game73.3

NCAA

Other2022-23

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Chicago State winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Citadel

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chattanooga Mocs

#202

76-68

H30/12

NCAA

Samford

#78

63-75

-12

H31/12

NCAA

Furman

#22

72-97

-25

A05/01

NCAA

Wofford

#195

57-77

-20

A08/01

NCAA

East Tennessee St

#286

74-96

-22

H12/01

NCAA

Western Carolina

#161

65-61

H14/01

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#100

60-70

-10

A20/01

NCAA

VMI

#356

60-52

A21/01

NCAA

Western Carolina

#161

81-70

+11

A26/01

NCAA

Mercer

#261

65-74

-9

H28/01

NCAA

26-26

50-42

25-30

38-45

30-43

42-54

15-27

42-50

28-42

46-54

26-25

39-36

22-38

38-32

14-23

46-29

35-31

46-39

29-30

36-44

141.3Avg total

67.3Scored

74.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	69.3	74.2	143.5	-5.0	41%
Season at home (10)	72.0	72.6	144.6	-0.6	40%
Season away (12)	67.0	75.6	142.6	-8.6	42%
Last 10 (10)	67.3	74.0	141.3	-6.7	40%
Last 5 (5)	66.2	65.4	131.6	+0.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	66.9	78.5	145.4	-11.6	24%
vs Similar ◀ (7)	71.1	67.3	138.4	+3.9	71%
vs Weaker (1)	74.0	53.0	127.0	+21.0	100%

This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Chicago State USA

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illinois State

#303

52-66

-14

A20/12

NCAA

Minnesota

#340

55-58

-3

A22/12

NCAA

Ball State

#103

63-70

-7

A29/12

NCAA

Ohio

#133

59-76

-17

A31/12

NCAA

EWU Phantoms

#501

90-70

+20

H10/01

NCAA

Tarleton

#183

63-73

-10

A12/01

NCAA

UTRGV

#217

82-85

-3

A15/01

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#294

74-70

A24/01

NCAA

Stanford

#260

65-72

-7

A26/01

NCAA

Aurora

#516

101-66

101

+35

H28/01

NCAA

23-33

29-33

30-38

25-20

28-29

35-41

23-42

36-34

40-35

50-35

24-37

39-36

31-35

51-50

42-33

32-37

41-34

24-38

50-24

51-42

141.0Avg total

70.4Scored

70.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (23)	68.5	73.3	141.8	-4.8	26%
Season at home (5)	84.8	65.8	150.6	+19.0	100%
Season away (18)	64.0	75.4	139.4	-11.4	6%
Last 10 (10)	70.4	70.6	141.0	-0.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	73.2	150.2	+3.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	62.5	75.2	137.7	-12.6	10%
vs Similar ◀ (5)	72.0	72.2	144.2	-0.2	40%
vs Weaker (4)	71.5	68.0	139.5	+3.5	50%

This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

CitadelChicago State

Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by half · pick a half

CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Chattanooga Mocs

#202

26-26

H30/12

NCAA

Samford

#78

25-30

-5

H31/12

NCAA

Furman

#22

30-43

-13

A05/01

NCAA

Wofford

#195

15-27

-12

A08/01

NCAA

East Tennessee St

#286

28-42

-14

H12/01

NCAA

Western Carolina

#161

26-25

H14/01

NCAA

NC Greensboro

#100

22-38

-16

A20/01

NCAA

VMI

#356

14-23

-9

A21/01

NCAA

Western Carolina

#161

35-31

A26/01

NCAA

Mercer

#261

29-30

-1

H28/01

NCAA

56.5Avg total

25.0Scored

31.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.3	35.1	66.4	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	31.4	34.5	65.9	-3.2	15%	-
Last 30 away (17)	31.2	35.5	66.7	-4.4	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	31.5	56.5	-6.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	29.4	54.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	28.6	36.5	65.1	-8.0	19%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.7	35.0	69.7	-0.3	29%	-
vs Weaker (1)	41.0	11.0	52.0	+30.0	100%	-

This opponent (Chicago State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Chicago StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illinois State

#303

23-33

-10

A20/12

NCAA

Minnesota

#340

30-38

-8

A22/12

NCAA

Ball State

#103

28-29

-1

A29/12

NCAA

Ohio

#133

23-42

-19

A31/12

NCAA

EWU Phantoms

#501

40-35

H10/01

NCAA

Tarleton

#183

24-37

-13

A12/01

NCAA

UTRGV

#217

31-35

-4

A15/01

NCAA

Coastal Carolina

#294

42-33

A24/01

NCAA

Stanford

#260

41-34

A26/01

NCAA

Aurora

#516

50-24

+26

H28/01

NCAA

67.2Avg total

33.2Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	31.5	35.4	66.9	-3.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	35.1	32.1	67.2	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (22)	30.2	36.5	66.8	-6.3	14%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	34.0	67.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	32.6	70.2	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	29.4	37.4	66.7	-8.0	15%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	37.4	30.4	67.8	+7.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (4)	30.5	34.5	65.0	-4.0	25%	-

This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	39.3	77.0	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.2	39.5	77.6	-1.3	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	37.5	39.1	76.6	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.5	84.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	36.0	77.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)	38.3	42.0	80.3	-3.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (7)	34.3	31.3	65.6	+3.0	43%	-
vs Weaker (1)	33.0	42.0	75.0	-9.0	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	37.7	72.5	-2.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	41.0	36.9	77.9	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (22)	32.5	38.0	70.6	-5.5	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	36.6	73.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.6	80.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)	32.8	37.4	70.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (5)	34.6	41.8	76.4	-7.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.0	33.5	74.5	+7.5	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Citadel wins

Chicago State wins

No previous meetings.

Citadellast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	H	Mercer	65-74
26/01/23	A	Western Carolina	81-70
21/01/23	A	VMI	60-52
20/01/23	A	NC Greensboro	60-70
14/01/23	H	Western Carolina	65-61
12/01/23	H	East Tennessee St	74-96
08/01/23	A	Wofford	57-77
05/01/23	A	Furman	72-97
31/12/22	H	Samford	63-75
30/12/22	H	Chattanooga Mocs	76-68

Chicago Statelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/01/23	H	Aurora	101-66
26/01/23	A	Stanford	65-72
24/01/23	A	Coastal Carolina	74-70
15/01/23	A	UTRGV	82-85
12/01/23	A	Tarleton	63-73
10/01/23	H	EWU Phantoms	90-70
31/12/22	A	Ohio	59-76
29/12/22	A	Ball State	63-70
22/12/22	A	Minnesota	55-58
20/12/22	A	Illinois State	52-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	41%
Home	WLLWL	40%
Away	LLLWW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	10	12
Win %	41%	40%	42%
Points / game	69.3	72.0	67.0
Allowed / game	74.2	72.6	75.6
Point differential	-5.0	-0.6	-8.6
Avg total	143.5	144.6	142.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	20%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Chicago State

NCAA 2022-23

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	26%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LLLWL	6%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	23	5	18
Win %	26%	100%	6%
Points / game	68.5	84.8	64.0
Allowed / game	73.3	65.8	75.4
Point differential	-4.8	+19.0	-11.4
Avg total	141.8	150.6	139.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	20% (5)	-	20% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Furman	23	17	6	74%	82.2	72.3	+9.9
2	Samford	23	14	9	61%	78.3	71.0	+7.3
3	NC Greensboro	23	14	9	61%	69.9	63.5	+6.3
4	Wofford	23	13	10	57%	75.1	69.9	+5.2
5	Chattanooga Mocs	23	12	11	52%	78.0	70.7	+7.3
6	Western Carolina	23	12	11	52%	74.7	69.2	+5.5
7	Mercer	23	11	12	48%	70.3	68.3	+2.0
8	Citadel	22	9	13	41%	69.3	74.2	-5.0
9	East Tennessee St	23	8	15	35%	69.3	68.5	+0.9
10	VMI	23	5	18	22%	70.4	74.4	-4.0

Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

Northeast conference

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fairleigh Dickinson	24	14	10	58%	78.5	76.0	+2.6
2	Wagner	19	11	8	58%	64.5	62.1	+2.4
3	Stonehill	24	10	14	42%	67.6	71.8	-4.1
4	St. Francis (PA)	23	8	15	35%	72.4	74.3	-1.8
5	Central Connecticut State	23	6	17	26%	65.1	69.5	-4.4
6	Chicago State	23	6	17	26%	68.5	73.3	-4.8
7	LIU Sharks	22	3	19	14%	67.0	80.3	-13.3