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Citadel vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 63-75
25-30 38-45
Position#330
Record6-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game71.3
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Samford 🏆
USA
Position#78
Record7-7
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Citadel v Samford
23 Jan 2027
CITA v SAMF
upcoming
19 Feb 2026
CITA75
SAMF78
01 Feb 2025
CITA58
SAMF83
06 Jan 2024
CITA64
SAMF80
31 Dec 2022
CITA63
SAMF75
05 Feb 2022
CITA107
SAMF93
15 Feb 2020
CITA62
SAMF74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
22-53
20-36
29-35
43-30
33-34
38-40
41-11
33-42
42-34
34-39
27-41
30-38
33-48
34-52
25-33
45-42
33-42
41-39
26-26
50-42
143.6Avg total
67.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.373.9145.2-2.646%
Season at home (6)75.570.0145.5+5.550%
Season away (7)67.777.3145.0-9.643%
Last 10 (10)67.975.7143.6-7.840%
Last 5 (5)68.880.6149.4-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.181.4150.5-12.318%
vs Similar (10)75.074.2149.2+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)71.059.5130.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#273
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
79-49
79
49
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
77-80 OT
77
80
-3
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
56-79
56
79
-23
A22/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-28
35-35
52-22
27-27
35-33
41-46
35-35
47-49
49-50
40-39
31-33
39-37
32-37
26-38
35-40
26-22
26-38
30-41
36-35
42-34
148.6Avg total
74.3Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.070.8149.8+8.250%
Season at home (8)84.066.0150.0+18.075%
Season away (6)72.377.2149.5-4.817%
Last 10 (10)74.374.3148.6+0.030%
Last 5 (5)66.073.0139.0-7.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)76.178.0154.1-1.957%
vs Similar (11)70.573.7144.3-3.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.468.4150.8+14.067%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.5-1.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -4.6-4.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -3.2-3.22nd half: -1.5-1.5
CitadelSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#256
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
41-11
41
11
+30
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H30/12
NCAA
66.8Avg total
31.1Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.438.171.5-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.337.270.5-3.914%-
Last 30 away (16)33.638.872.4-5.231%-
Last 10 (10)31.135.766.8-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)28.838.066.8-9.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)30.840.371.1-9.512%-
vs Similar (10)36.738.375.0-1.630%-
vs Weaker (2)29.522.051.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Samford) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#273
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H20/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H23/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#237
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
NCAA
UT Southern
#316
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/11
NCAA
DePaul
#332
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A01/12
NCAA
UCF Knights
#148
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A04/12
NCAA
Louisiana Lafayette
#33
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A11/12
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A17/12
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A22/12
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H29/12
NCAA
72.5Avg total
37.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.934.472.3+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.931.470.4+7.571%-
Last 30 away (13)36.638.274.8-1.631%-
Last 10 (10)37.435.172.5+2.340%-
Last 5 (5)32.036.668.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.035.969.9-1.943%-
vs Similar (11)36.635.572.2+1.136%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.432.473.8+9.075%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
3
Samford wins
DateGameScore
22/02/22Samford v Citadel76-74
05/02/22Citadel v Samford107-93
15/02/20Citadel v Samford62-74
01/01/20Samford v Citadel69-68
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/22HChattanooga Mocs76-68
21/12/22AN. Carolina Central74-81
17/12/22HLongwood70-75
14/12/22ANorth Carolina67-100
03/12/22HCharleston57-79
01/12/22ACharleston Southern76-73
25/11/22AIUPUI74-53
24/11/22HDenver71-74
23/11/22ANew Orleans72-65
20/11/22AButler42-89
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HMercer78-69
22/12/22ABelmont56-79
17/12/22ASouth Carolina St61-62
11/12/22ALouisiana Lafayette58-75
04/12/22AUCF Knights77-80 OT
01/12/22ADePaul98-103 OT
27/11/22HUT Southern82-84
25/11/22HLouisiana Tech76-79
23/11/22HValparaiso79-49
20/11/22HTexas Southern78-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW46%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayWWWLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %46%50%43%
Points / game71.375.567.7
Allowed / game73.970.077.3
Point differential-2.6+5.5-9.6
Avg total145.2145.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%33%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW50%
HomeWWLLW75%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %50%75%17%
Points / game79.084.072.3
Allowed / game70.866.077.2
Point differential+8.2+18.0-4.8
Avg total149.8150.0149.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1410471%82.872.1+10.6
2 Chattanooga Mocs148657%79.669.2+10.4
3 Wofford148657%76.167.6+8.6
4 Samford147750%79.070.8+8.2
5 Western Carolina147750%76.969.2+7.6
6 Mercer147750%76.669.5+7.1
7 NC Greensboro147750%70.464.4+5.9
8 Citadel136746%71.373.9-2.6
9 East Tennessee St145936%71.169.1+2.1
10 VMI145936%75.875.4+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel253863
Samford304575
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