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Citadel vs Western Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-61
26-25 39-36
Position#330
Record6-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game70.2
Allowed / game76.8
Citadel 🏆
USA
vs
Position#161
Record10-8
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game68.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Citadel v Western Carolina
10 Jan 2026
CITA79
WEST77
25 Jan 2025
CITA78
WEST80
03 Jan 2024
CITA71
WEST80
14 Jan 2023
CITA65
WEST61
26 Jan 2022
CITA68
WEST66
05 Mar 2021
CITA100
WEST86
06 Feb 2021
CITA74
WEST63
04 Jan 2020
CITA82
WEST86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Carolina winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
70-75
70
75
-5
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
74-96
74
96
-22
H12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-34
34-39
27-41
30-38
33-48
34-52
25-33
45-42
33-42
41-39
26-26
50-42
25-30
38-45
30-43
42-54
15-27
42-50
28-42
46-54
150.7Avg total
68.6Scored
82.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)70.276.8147.0-6.635%
Season at home (8)73.873.9147.6-0.138%
Season away (9)67.079.4146.4-12.433%
Last 10 (10)68.682.1150.7-13.520%
Last 5 (5)68.482.6151.0-14.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)67.381.6148.9-14.316%
vs Similar (8)76.474.8151.1+1.662%
vs Weaker (2)71.059.5130.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#190
L
64-79
64
79
-15
H03/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A08/12
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
99-55
99
55
+44
H10/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
75-65
75
65
+10
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#601
W
117-50
117
50
+67
H20/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
47-72
47
72
-25
H29/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A05/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
73-45
73
45
+28
H07/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A12/01
NCAA
1H
2H
35-43
29-36
28-32
36-40
57-30
42-25
37-30
38-35
51-24
66-26
30-34
17-38
38-41
41-26
38-38
33-22
31-23
42-22
39-46
37-49
142.5Avg total
76.5Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)76.468.7145.1+7.756%
Season at home (10)83.466.3149.7+17.170%
Season away (8)67.671.6139.2-4.038%
Last 10 (10)76.566.0142.5+10.560%
Last 5 (5)69.267.8137.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.674.1139.7-8.629%
vs Similar (8)65.869.0134.8-3.238%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.468.1158.5+22.275%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +6.2+6.2
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: -8.2-8.21st half: +4.3+4.32nd half2nd half: -5.3-5.32nd half: +6.2+6.2
CitadelWestern Carolina
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/12
NCAA
Longwood
#101
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H17/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H30/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/01
NCAA
65.0Avg total
28.4Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.337.870.1-5.523%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.336.869.1-4.514%-
Last 30 away (16)32.438.771.1-6.331%-
Last 10 (10)28.436.665.0-8.210%-
Last 5 (5)24.833.658.4-8.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)28.739.067.7-10.311%-
vs Similar (8)38.939.978.8-1.038%-
vs Weaker (2)29.522.051.5+7.550%-
This opponent (Western Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
USC Upstate
#190
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H03/12
NCAA
Davidson
#208
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A08/12
NCAA
Brevard College
#602
W
57-30
57
30
+27
H10/12
NCAA
Tennessee Tech
#218
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A17/12
NCAA
Toccoa Falls
#601
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H20/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H29/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H31/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A05/01
NCAA
Mercer
#261
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H07/01
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A12/01
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.4Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.767.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.535.370.8+0.231%-
Last 30 away (14)30.433.964.4-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.434.172.5+4.340%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.471.6-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.136.367.4-5.221%-
vs Similar (8)30.033.463.4-3.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.933.173.0+6.850%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Citadel wins
4
Western Carolina wins
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23HEast Tennessee St74-96
08/01/23AWofford57-77
05/01/23AFurman72-97
31/12/22HSamford63-75
30/12/22HChattanooga Mocs76-68
21/12/22AN. Carolina Central74-81
17/12/22HLongwood70-75
14/12/22ANorth Carolina67-100
03/12/22HCharleston57-79
01/12/22ACharleston Southern76-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/23AChattanooga Mocs76-95
07/01/23HMercer73-45
05/01/23AEast Tennessee St71-60
31/12/22HFurman79-67
29/12/22HNC Greensboro47-72
20/12/22HToccoa Falls117-50
17/12/22ATennessee Tech75-65
10/12/22HBrevard College99-55
08/12/22ADavidson64-72
03/12/22HUSC Upstate64-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL35%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %35%38%33%
Points / game70.273.867.0
Allowed / game76.873.979.4
Point differential-6.6-0.1-12.4
Avg total147.0147.6146.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Western Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeWWLWW70%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game76.483.467.6
Allowed / game68.766.371.6
Point differential+7.7+17.1-4.0
Avg total145.1149.7139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman1813572%82.171.3+10.8
2 Chattanooga Mocs1811761%79.769.3+10.4
3 Samford1811761%78.969.9+9.1
4 Western Carolina1810856%76.468.7+7.7
5 NC Greensboro1810856%70.664.1+6.5
6 Wofford1810856%73.267.3+5.9
7 East Tennessee St1871139%70.768.4+2.2
8 Mercer1871139%71.470.2+1.3
9 Citadel1761135%70.276.8-6.6
10 VMI1851328%73.675.7-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel263965
Western Carolina253661
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