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Citadel vs Mercer Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 65-74
29-30 36-44
Position#330
Record9-12
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Mercer 🏆
USA
Position#261
Record10-12
FormLWWLW
Points / game70.1
Allowed / game68.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Citadel v Mercer
14 Feb 2026
CITA54
MERC70
19 Feb 2025
CITA52
MERC62
24 Jan 2024
CITA68
MERC66
28 Jan 2023
CITA65
MERC74
17 Jan 2022
CITA64
MERC71
20 Jan 2021
CITA63
MERC83
26 Feb 2020
CITA57
MERC73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
74-81
74
81
-7
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
63-75
63
75
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
72-97
72
97
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
57-77
57
77
-20
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
74-96
74
96
-22
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
81-70
81
70
+11
A26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
33-42
41-39
26-26
50-42
25-30
38-45
30-43
42-54
15-27
42-50
28-42
46-54
26-25
39-36
22-38
38-32
14-23
46-29
35-31
46-39
142.9Avg total
68.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.574.2143.7-4.843%
Season at home (9)72.872.4145.2+0.344%
Season away (12)67.075.6142.6-8.642%
Last 10 (10)68.274.7142.9-6.540%
Last 5 (5)68.069.8137.8-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)67.078.7145.7-11.725%
vs Similar (8)70.569.6140.1+0.962%
vs Weaker (1)74.053.0127.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A22/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A29/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
51-80
51
80
-29
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
45-73
45
73
-28
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
66-84
66
84
-18
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
71-67 OT
71
67
+4
H26/01
NCAA
1H
2H
41-32
41-47
35-36
34-42
22-35
29-45
27-28
25-25
23-31
22-42
32-52
34-32
31-28
37-27
30-30
39-31
24-29
24-30
27-32
32-27
131.0Avg total
62.1Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)70.168.4138.5+1.745%
Season at home (10)73.765.4139.1+8.360%
Season away (12)67.170.9138.0-3.833%
Last 10 (10)62.168.9131.0-6.840%
Last 5 (5)64.465.2129.6-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)68.274.9143.1-6.612%
vs Similar (15)65.165.1130.3+0.053%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.067.9151.9+16.157%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -7.3-7.31st half: -4.1-4.12nd half2nd half: +0.8+0.82nd half: -3.1-3.1
CitadelMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
N. Carolina Central
#128
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A21/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H30/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H31/12
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A05/01
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
15-27
15
27
-12
A08/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H12/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
26-25
26
25
+1
H14/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
22-38
22
38
-16
A20/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A21/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A26/01
NCAA
58.1Avg total
25.4Scored
32.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.235.666.8-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (12)31.634.966.5-3.317%-
Last 30 away (18)31.036.067.0-5.033%-
Last 10 (10)25.432.758.1-7.320%-
Last 5 (5)25.031.856.8-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)28.636.965.4-8.320%-
vs Similar (8)33.936.170.0-2.225%-
vs Weaker (1)41.011.052.0+30.0100%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Troy
#115
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A22/12
NCAA
Samford
#78
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A29/12
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#202
L
22-35
22
35
-13
H31/12
NCAA
Wofford
#195
L
27-28
27
28
-1
H05/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#161
L
23-31
23
31
-8
A07/01
NCAA
Furman
#22
L
32-52
32
52
-20
H12/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/01
NCAA
VMI
#356
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A20/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#100
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A21/01
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
L
27-32
27
32
-5
H26/01
NCAA
62.5Avg total
29.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.832.065.8+1.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.432.567.9+2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)32.531.564.0+1.044%-
Last 10 (10)29.233.362.5-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)28.834.263.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.234.466.6-2.138%-
vs Similar (15)30.630.160.7+0.540%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)42.633.175.7+9.457%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Citadel wins
5
Mercer wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Mercer v Citadel67-71
18/01/22Citadel v Mercer64-71
23/02/21Mercer v Citadel88-52
20/01/21Citadel v Mercer63-83
27/02/20Citadel v Mercer57-73
01/02/20Mercer v Citadel76-71
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23AWestern Carolina81-70
21/01/23AVMI60-52
20/01/23ANC Greensboro60-70
14/01/23HWestern Carolina65-61
12/01/23HEast Tennessee St74-96
08/01/23AWofford57-77
05/01/23AFurman72-97
31/12/22HSamford63-75
30/12/22HChattanooga Mocs76-68
21/12/22AN. Carolina Central74-81
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/23HEast Tennessee St71-67 OT
21/01/23ANC Greensboro48-59
20/01/23AVMI69-61
14/01/23AEast Tennessee St68-55
12/01/23HFurman66-84
07/01/23AWestern Carolina45-73
05/01/23HWofford52-53
31/12/22HChattanooga Mocs51-80
29/12/22ASamford69-78
22/12/22ATroy82-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLWLLW44%
AwayLLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %43%44%42%
Points / game69.572.867.0
Allowed / game74.272.475.6
Point differential-4.8+0.3-8.6
Avg total143.7145.2142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW45%
HomeWLLLW60%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game70.173.767.1
Allowed / game68.465.470.9
Point differential+1.7+8.3-3.8
Avg total138.5139.1138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%30%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman2216673%82.873.0+9.8
2 Samford2214864%78.370.3+8.0
3 NC Greensboro2214864%70.563.3+7.2
4 Wofford22121055%74.669.5+5.1
5 Chattanooga Mocs22111150%78.271.0+7.2
6 Western Carolina22111150%74.969.4+5.5
7 Mercer22101245%70.168.4+1.7
8 Citadel2191243%69.574.2-4.8
9 East Tennessee St2281436%69.668.3+1.3
10 VMI2251723%70.674.5-3.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel293665
Mercer304474
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