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Cividale vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 89-64
27-16 27-12 21-22 14-14
Position#11
Record15-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Position#24
Record7-23
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game84.4
ItalySerie A2Round 31· PalaGesteco
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
77-90
77
90
-13
71avg 69
A28/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
83-86
83
86
-3
79avg 69
H04/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
W
73-68
73
68
+5
68avg 69
H09/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
79-77
79
77
+2
75avg 69
A17/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
86-72
86
72
+14
79avg 69
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
75-58
75
58
+17
74avg 69
H09/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
78-68
78
68
+10
76avg 69
H15/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
88-68
88
68
+20
82avg 69
A23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
82-59
82
59
+23
79avg 69
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
94-92
94
92
+2
96avg 69
A06/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
20-21
15-26
22-14
29-18
14-28
15-15
25-25
23-22
12-19
13-13
25-14
23-14
21-23
15-18
20-22
24-14
19-27
21-23
22-8
18-19
22-13
12-11
23-15
23-11
15-22
18-12
22-23
18-13
23-27
21-10
26-18
21-17
22-22
18-9
21-11
19-28
30-17
15-23
30-24
155.3Avg total
81.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)76.175.7151.8+0.450%
Season at home (15)74.772.6147.3+2.153%
Season away (15)77.578.7156.3-1.247%
Last 10 (10)81.573.8155.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)83.469.0152.4+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.078.6153.6-3.638%
vs Similar (17)75.274.9150.1+0.353%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)81.073.6154.6+7.460%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 69
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 69
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
74avg 69
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 69
H23/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
77-93
77
93
-16
64avg 69
A31/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 69
H07/04
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
14-15
18-21
24-25
23-19
18-25
26-16
18-30
18-29
13-20
21-20
21-21
20-16
19-27
20-20
21-19
17-27
26-14
13-21
26-17
23-19
162.3Avg total
78.3Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.684.4164.0-4.823%
Season at home (15)78.578.8157.3-0.340%
Season away (15)80.790.0170.7-9.37%
Last 10 (10)78.384.0162.3-5.720%
Last 5 (5)79.884.2164.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)79.984.7164.6-4.921%
vs Similar (16)79.484.1163.6-4.725%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +6.2+6.2Q4: -1.9-1.9
CividaleMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H04/02
Serie A2
Trapani
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H09/02
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A17/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H09/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H15/03
Serie A2
Luiss Roma
#22
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H30/03
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A06/04
Serie A2
82.0Avg total
41.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.976.1-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.837.673.4-1.840%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.278.7-1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.482.0+1.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.642.878.4-7.112%-
vs Similar (17)36.636.973.6-0.353%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)41.439.480.8+2.080%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A31/03
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/04
Serie A2
76.7Avg total
35.6Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.542.780.2-5.123%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.341.376.6-6.120%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.083.8-4.227%-
Last 10 (10)35.641.176.7-5.520%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.343.781.0-6.421%-
vs Similar (16)37.841.879.5-4.025%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cividale) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.815.1
49.0%
50.3%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.8
38.7%
34.1%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.318.1
81.2%
74.2%18.1
They take 58.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
50.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
34.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws16.713.1
78.4%
74.2%13.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
WWWWWWWWLL
Monferrato
WLLLLLWLLL
#11
League position
#24
+11.5
Net rating
-4.1
114.4
Offensive rating
109.1
102.9
Defensive rating
113.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
52.0%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
25.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.7%
3-point %
33.7%
65.6%
Assist %
51.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 109.1Defence102.9 · 113.2Shooting53.3% · 52.0%3-point %38.7% · 33.7%Ball care16.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds26.6% · 25.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Cividale   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cividale wins
0
Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AUrania Milano94-92
30/03/24HCantu82-59
23/03/24ALuiss Roma88-68
15/03/24HBasket Torino78-68
09/03/24HLatina75-58
03/03/24AJuVi Cremona86-72
17/02/24ATreviglio79-77
09/02/24HTrapani73-68
04/02/24HCento83-86
28/01/24AFortitudo Bologna77-90
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24HUdine88-71
31/03/24ARimini77-93
23/03/24HForli75-77
09/03/24ANardo80-100
03/03/24HVerona79-80
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW50%
HomeLWWWW53%
AwayLWWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %50%53%47%
Points / game76.174.777.5
Allowed / game75.772.678.7
Point differential+0.4+2.1-1.2
Avg total151.8147.3156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)33% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW23%
HomeLWLLW40%
AwayLLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %23%40%7%
Points / game79.678.580.7
Allowed / game84.478.890.0
Point differential-4.8-0.3-9.3
Avg total164.0157.3170.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani3028293%88.676.6+11.9
2 Forli3025583%79.472.8+6.6
3 Udine3021970%78.670.4+8.2
4 Cantu3021970%85.779.7+6.0
5 Fortitudo Bologna3021970%76.972.0+4.9
6 Basket Torino30201067%84.581.0+3.5
7 Sebastiani Rieti30191163%80.977.6+3.3
8 Verona30181260%76.473.8+2.6
9 Trieste30171357%80.778.1+2.6
10 Rimini30161453%78.576.1+2.4
11 Cividale30151550%76.175.7+0.4
12 Assigeco Piacenza30141647%77.976.2+1.7
13 Treviglio30141647%79.179.4-0.3
14 JuVi Cremona30141647%82.583.9-1.3
15 Urania Milano30141647%82.184.2-2.2
16 Cento30131743%75.078.2-3.2
17 Vigevano30111937%77.581.8-4.2
18 Nardo30111937%74.680.2-5.6
19 Orzinuovi3092130%74.778.1-3.4
20 Chiusi3092130%67.173.2-6.0
21 Luiss Roma3092130%77.385.1-7.8
22 Monferrato3072323%79.684.4-4.8
23 Agrigento3072323%74.381.2-6.9
24 Latina3072323%76.084.3-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2727211489
Monferrato1612221464
← all games of the day
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