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Fortitudo Bologna vs Cividale Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-77
29-20 21-20 26-15 14-22
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game70.6
vs
Position#11
Record7-13
FormLLWWW
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game76.6
ItalySerie A2Round 21· PalaDozza
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fortitudo Bologna v Cividale
23 Dec 2026
FBO v CIVI
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
FBO81
CIVI78
06 Apr 2025
FBO79
CIVI86
28 Jan 2024
FBO90
CIVI77
22 Jan 2023
FBO72
CIVI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
68-75
68
75
-7
60avg 72
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
82-75
82
75
+7
78avg 72
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
84-77
84
77
+7
80avg 72
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
74-77 OT
74
77
-3
no box
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
71-69
71
69
+2
65avg 72
H17/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
92avg 72
H23/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
W
66-65
66
65
+1
58avg 72
A30/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
68-54
68
54
+14
66avg 72
H06/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
63-59
63
59
+4
64avg 72
A14/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
57-61
57
61
-4
51avg 72
A21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
19-16
20-11
17-26
23-19
23-21
15-16
21-19
28-17
22-28
15-16
19-16
12-12
18-21
16-16
17-14
23-16
11-13
22-23
15-17
25-17
18-20
28-25
18-13
14-16
17-15
17-18
18-16
23-13
14-14
18-11
13-16
16-15
23-15
13-13
11-16
14-18
13-18
13-10
17-15
140.9Avg total
72.2Scored
68.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)76.170.6146.7+5.580%
Season at home (10)79.270.5149.7+8.790%
Season away (10)73.070.7143.7+2.370%
Last 10 (10)72.268.7140.9+3.570%
Last 5 (5)68.662.8131.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.882.8155.5-10.025%
vs Similar (15)76.974.8151.7+2.160%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)76.769.5146.3+7.291%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
67-78
67
78
-11
56avg 65
A26/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
71-80
71
80
-9
59avg 65
A01/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
71-75
71
75
-4
66avg 65
H06/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
69-51
69
51
+18
64avg 65
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
62-85
62
85
-23
55avg 65
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
59-92
59
92
-33
48avg 65
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
81-91
81
91
-10
68avg 65
A30/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
86-77
86
77
+9
80avg 65
H06/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
69-67
69
67
+2
58avg 65
A13/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
81-66
81
66
+15
80avg 65
H19/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-24
15-22
22-17
13-15
13-16
22-28
19-21
17-15
19-24
17-16
12-22
23-13
13-10
17-11
17-12
22-18
10-16
15-26
23-26
14-17
23-29
10-24
8-18
18-21
25-14
22-29
23-19
11-29
13-20
25-19
28-17
20-21
11-16
19-18
18-21
21-12
25-13
21-11
15-22
20-20
147.8Avg total
71.6Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)73.476.6150.0-3.235%
Season at home (10)72.975.0147.9-2.140%
Season away (10)73.978.2152.1-4.330%
Last 10 (10)71.676.2147.8-4.640%
Last 5 (5)75.278.6153.8-3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
vs Similar (23)75.076.2151.3-1.243%
vs Weaker (2)78.085.0163.0-7.00%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
Fortitudo BolognaCividale
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A03/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H07/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A10/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H23/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A30/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H06/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A14/01
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
71.4Avg total
36.8Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.876.1+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.377.4+2.773%-
Last 30 away (15)38.536.374.7+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)36.834.671.4+2.260%-
Last 5 (5)35.432.267.6+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.041.276.2-6.225%-
vs Similar (15)40.537.177.6+3.560%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.134.873.9+4.382%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#12
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A01/12
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H06/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
30-21
30
21
+9
A10/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
25-42
25
42
-17
H16/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H23/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A30/12
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H06/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H19/01
Serie A2
73.8Avg total
35.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.576.2-2.837%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.237.471.6-3.129%-
Last 30 away (16)38.841.480.2-2.644%-
Last 10 (10)35.238.673.8-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.838.677.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.442.475.8-9.00%-
vs Similar (23)37.038.775.6-1.743%-
vs Weaker (2)41.542.083.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.519.0
49.4%
50.3%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.9
32.1%
34.1%20.7
🏀 Free throws14.310.5
73.4%
74.2%10.5
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.417.1
48.3%
50.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.8
30.2%
34.1%23.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.6
74.8%
74.2%11.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fortitudo Bologna
LWWWWWLWWL
Cividale
WWWLLLWLLL
#3
League position
#11
+1.0
Net rating
-5.2
101.8
Offensive rating
100.2
100.8
Defensive rating
105.4
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
17.4%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.1%
3-point %
30.2%
63.3%
Assist %
57.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence101.8 · 100.2Defence100.8 · 105.4Shooting48.9% · 47.1%3-point %32.1% · 30.2%Ball care17.4% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.3% · 28.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Fortitudo Bologna   ■ Cividale
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fortitudo Bologna wins
2
Cividale wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/24ACento57-61
14/01/24AAssigeco Piacenza63-59
06/01/24HUdine68-54
30/12/23AOrzinuovi66-65
23/12/23HTrieste89-75
17/12/23HNardo71-69
10/12/23AForli74-77 OT
07/12/23HRimini84-77
03/12/23AChiusi82-75
26/11/23HVerona68-75
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/01/24HTrieste81-66
13/01/24ARimini69-67
06/01/24HForli86-77
30/12/23ANardo81-91
23/12/23HUdine59-92
16/12/23HAssigeco Piacenza62-85
10/12/23AChiusi69-51
06/12/23HOrzinuovi71-75
01/12/23AVerona71-80
26/11/23ACento67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeLWWWW90%
AwayWLWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %80%90%70%
Points / game76.179.273.0
Allowed / game70.670.570.7
Point differential+5.5+8.7+2.3
Avg total146.7149.7143.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%60%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Cividale
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW35%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLWLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %35%40%30%
Points / game73.472.973.9
Allowed / game76.675.078.2
Point differential-3.2-2.1-4.3
Avg total150.0147.9152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)25% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %10%10%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2019195%92.377.0+15.3
2 Fortitudo Bologna2016480%76.170.6+5.5
3 Forli2016480%79.574.2+5.3
4 Cantu2116576%88.679.9+8.7
5 Udine2015575%79.969.3+10.6
6 Trieste2014670%80.576.7+3.9
7 Verona2114767%76.071.9+4.1
8 Basket Torino2013765%84.881.5+3.2
9 Sebastiani Rieti2012860%81.779.8+1.9
10 JuVi Cremona2112957%87.585.2+2.2
11 Urania Milano2011955%83.383.8-0.6
12 Treviglio20101050%81.882.2-0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza2091145%76.374.8+1.6
14 Vigevano2081240%79.382.0-2.6
15 Cento2081240%72.877.5-4.8
16 Nardo2181338%76.383.1-6.8
17 Rimini2071335%76.477.0-0.7
18 Cividale2071335%73.476.6-3.2
19 Luiss Roma2071335%79.587.0-7.5
20 Agrigento2161529%75.881.2-5.4
21 Monferrato2151624%79.985.0-5.1
22 Orzinuovi2041620%71.576.1-4.7
23 Latina2031715%79.088.8-9.8
24 Chiusi2031715%64.675.5-10.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fortitudo Bologna2921261490
Cividale2020152277
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