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Cividale vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-89
26-25 21-17 10-23 30-24
Position#5
Record11-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game75.9
Cividale
Italy
vs
Orzinuovi 🏆
Italy
Position#14
Record8-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game79.2
ItalySerie A2Round 17· PalaGesteco
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cividale v Orzinuovi
21 Dec 2024
CIVI87
ORZI89
06 Dec 2023
CIVI71
ORZI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
73-68
73
68
+5
65avg 72
H25/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
80-72
80
72
+8
75avg 72
H01/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
66-62
66
62
+4
61avg 72
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
77-63
77
63
+14
67avg 72
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
80-75
80
75
+5
73avg 72
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
86-75
86
75
+11
86avg 72
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
79-62
79
62
+17
76avg 72
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
85-90 OT
85
90
-5
67avg 72
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
L
77-84
77
84
-7
61avg 72
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-81 OT
79
81
-2
68avg 72
A14/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-10
14-18
22-19
21-21
20-16
15-16
26-23
19-17
15-18
15-11
16-12
20-21
16-22
11-17
25-14
25-10
26-21
14-14
15-20
25-20
23-10
19-20
21-23
23-22
25-13
26-10
16-23
12-16
13-22
19-22
20-17
25-16
21-25
21-10
19-27
16-22
20-19
18-15
14-17
18-19
151.4Avg total
78.2Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.175.9154.9+3.269%
Season at home (8)79.072.5151.5+6.588%
Season away (8)79.179.2158.4-0.150%
Last 10 (10)78.273.2151.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)81.278.4159.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.073.6147.6+0.457%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.977.8158.6+3.171%
vs Weaker (9)80.469.7150.1+10.889%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 74
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 74
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 74
H06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
80avg 74
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
102avg 74
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
72-64
72
64
+8
71avg 74
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
66-77
66
77
-11
56avg 74
A24/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
64avg 74
H01/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
83-88
83
88
-5
75avg 74
A08/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
87-68
87
68
+19
90avg 74
H15/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
30-16
18-18
11-18
21-18
17-19
10-15
17-15
27-18
17-25
13-21
22-22
22-23
15-19
16-15
22-18
27-18
27-19
21-21
16-33
13-14
17-16
20-21
22-13
23-17
12-22
15-14
16-24
17-13
23-19
10-15
16-11
20-20
19-22
16-21
28-25
24-25
27-13
14-11
22-19
154.6Avg total
78.2Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.179.2158.2-0.150%
Season at home (9)81.277.8159.0+3.478%
Season away (7)76.381.0157.3-4.714%
Last 10 (10)78.276.4154.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)74.871.0145.8+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.679.7157.2-2.144%
vs Similar ◀ (18)79.980.7160.6-0.739%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.3160.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
CividaleOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vigevano
#18
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H25/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H01/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A06/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
27-39
27
39
-12
H09/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A13/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H16/11
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
51-23
51
23
+28
A29/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H06/12
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/12
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/12
Serie A2
69.6Avg total
36.7Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.736.074.7+2.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.534.771.3+1.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.937.378.2+3.773%-
Last 10 (10)36.732.969.6+3.880%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.274.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.739.675.3-3.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.536.173.6+1.471%-
vs Weaker (9)43.033.076.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A10/11
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H13/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H17/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A24/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H01/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H15/12
Serie A2
79.6Avg total
42.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.140.381.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.639.483.1+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)38.241.479.6-3.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.137.579.6+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.340.979.2-2.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)41.940.782.6+1.256%-
vs Weaker (3)44.736.781.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 77.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.3
47.8%
50.1%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.2
31.2%
34.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.816.2
77.9%
74.4%16.2
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.920.3
50.9%
50.1%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.4
32.9%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.1%
74.4%11.9
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
LLLWWWWWWW
Orzinuovi
WLWLWWLLLW
#5
League position
#14
+7.2
Net rating
+3.1
106.8
Offensive rating
104.5
99.6
Defensive rating
101.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
50.3%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.7%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.0%
33.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.2%
3-point %
32.9%
54.7%
Assist %
71.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 104.5Defence99.6 · 101.4Shooting47.4% · 50.3%3-point %31.2% · 32.9%Ball care16.3% · 17.0%Off. rebounds33.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Cividale   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cividale wins
1
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
06/12/23Cividale v Orzinuovi71-75
08/10/23Orzinuovi v Cividale68-73
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24AUrania Milano79-81 OT
11/12/24ANardo77-84
06/12/24HAvellino Basket85-90 OT
29/11/24ACento79-62
16/11/24HFortitudo Bologna86-75
13/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza80-75
09/11/24HSebastiani Rieti77-63
06/11/24ALibertas Livorno66-62
01/11/24HCantu80-72
25/10/24HVigevano73-68
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HLibertas Livorno87-68
08/12/24ABrindisi83-88
01/12/24HNardo66-58
24/11/24ASebastiani Rieti66-77
17/11/24HVerona72-64
13/11/24HVigevano100-98 OT
10/11/24AForli82-87 OT
06/11/24HUrania Milano79-86
03/11/24APesaro65-67
27/10/24HBasket Torino82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL69%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %69%88%50%
Points / game79.179.079.1
Allowed / game75.972.579.2
Point differential+3.2+6.5-0.1
Avg total154.9151.5158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %19%12%25%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW50%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%78%14%
Points / game79.181.276.3
Allowed / game79.277.881.0
Point differential-0.1+3.4-4.7
Avg total158.2159.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %19%22%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1614288%83.575.9+7.6
2 Udine1612475%83.374.1+9.2
3 Cantu1612475%79.172.4+6.7
4 Cividale1611569%79.175.9+3.2
5 Urania Milano1610662%77.974.7+3.2
6 Verona169756%77.574.2+3.2
7 Forli169756%76.874.3+2.4
8 Sebastiani Rieti169756%74.173.2+0.9
9 Avellino Basket169756%76.977.1-0.2
10 Fortitudo Bologna168850%75.674.6+0.9
11 Orzinuovi168850%79.179.2-0.1
12 Brindisi167944%77.177.5-0.4
13 Basket Torino167944%75.577.8-2.2
14 Pesaro167944%75.879.6-3.8
15 JuVi Cremona1661038%79.982.3-2.4
16 Libertas Livorno1651131%73.477.0-3.6
17 Nardo1651131%74.081.0-7.0
18 Cento1651131%70.477.6-7.2
19 Vigevano1641225%76.682.0-5.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza1631319%75.480.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale2621103087
Orzinuovi2517232489
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