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Forli vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 10 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 87-82 (OT)
23-22 19-15 15-16 18-22 12-7
Position#6
Record5-4
FormWWLLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game70.6
Forli 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record4-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game80.8
ItalySerie A2Round 10· PalaGalassi
Other2024-25
Meetings · Forli v Orzinuovi
10 Nov 2024
FORL87
ORZI82
15 Oct 2023
FORL86
ORZI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormForli
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
68-85
68
85
-17
58avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 68
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
75-59
75
59
+16
73avg 68
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
84avg 68
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
63-82
63
82
-19
59avg 68
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
71-50
71
50
+21
62avg 68
H16/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
73-64
73
64
+9
63avg 68
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
57avg 68
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
L
67-69
67
69
-2
55avg 68
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
92-67
92
67
+25
93avg 68
A06/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
23-23
19-22
15-21
17-20
17-16
10-14
25-27
21-13
18-13
20-18
16-15
21-17
19-23
16-21
16-11
9-20
19-25
19-18
16-19
18-9
20-15
11-14
22-12
14-14
20-18
17-17
22-15
20-17
27-20
9-22
17-22
13-18
21-14
20-20
13-17
20-12
24-14
22-20
26-21
146.3Avg total
74.3Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.070.6145.6+4.456%
Season at home (4)76.266.0142.2+10.275%
Season away (5)74.074.2148.2-0.240%
Last 10 (10)74.372.0146.3+2.350%
Last 5 (5)75.266.2141.4+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)73.773.2146.9+0.547%
vs Weaker (13)81.071.4152.4+9.692%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
80-86
80
86
-6
60avg 69
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
70avg 69
H29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 69
A06/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
72avg 69
A09/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 69
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 69
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 69
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 69
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
65-67
65
67
-2
59avg 69
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
79-86
79
86
-7
72avg 69
H06/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-32
24-22
13-4
18-28
21-21
21-24
11-16
17-9
18-22
21-16
22-27
25-19
23-25
22-19
23-20
7-16
34-22
22-17
20-24
11-18
26-36
20-22
15-17
20-23
22-25
12-21
22-19
21-19
23-19
30-16
18-18
11-18
21-18
17-19
10-15
17-15
27-18
17-25
13-21
22-22
160.2Avg total
78.9Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)78.880.8159.6-2.044%
Season at home (5)81.282.4163.6-1.260%
Season away (4)75.878.8154.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)78.981.3160.2-2.440%
Last 5 (5)76.881.2158.0-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.981.1157.0-5.223%
vs Similar ◀ (14)79.479.4158.7+0.043%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.3160.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.8-1.8
ForliOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trieste
#5
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A24/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H02/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H06/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A13/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H16/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A20/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A27/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H02/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A06/11
Serie A2
71.2Avg total
37.2Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.036.375.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.234.873.9+4.475%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.177.0+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)37.234.071.2+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.430.269.6+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.836.172.9+0.753%-
vs Weaker (13)41.936.678.5+5.369%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Agrigento
#19
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H27/10
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A03/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H06/11
Serie A2
88.5Avg total
44.6Scored
43.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.141.281.3-1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.440.682.1+0.856%-
Last 30 away (14)38.541.980.4-3.450%-
Last 10 (10)44.643.988.5+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.886.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.042.580.5-4.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.040.981.9+0.164%-
vs Weaker (3)44.736.781.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Forli: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.118.9
48.3%
50.1%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.6
34.2%
34.6%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.7
75.6%
74.4%12.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.220.7
51.5%
50.1%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.1
29.8%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.715.2
73.4%
74.4%15.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Forli
WLLWWLWWLL
Orzinuovi
LLWLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#14
+2.3
Net rating
-3.5
106.4
Offensive rating
103.9
104.0
Defensive rating
107.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
49.0%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
26.2%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
34.2%
3-point %
29.8%
46.0%
Assist %
58.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 103.9Defence104.0 · 107.4Shooting49.4% · 49.0%3-point %34.2% · 29.8%Ball care15.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds26.2% · 27.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Forli   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Forli wins
0
Orzinuovi wins
DateGameScore
17/12/23Orzinuovi v Forli71-72
15/10/23Forli v Orzinuovi86-69
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24ABasket Torino92-67
02/11/24HLibertas Livorno67-69
27/10/24ARimini73-81
20/10/24AAvellino Basket73-64
16/10/24HPesaro71-50
13/10/24ABrindisi63-82
06/10/24HVerona92-86 OT
02/10/24HCento75-59
29/09/24ACividale69-77
24/05/24ATrieste68-85
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/24HUrania Milano79-86
03/11/24APesaro65-67
27/10/24HBasket Torino82-71
20/10/24AJuVi Cremona77-84
16/10/24HRimini81-98
13/10/24HAssigeco Piacenza87-81
09/10/24AFortitudo Bologna75-80
06/10/24ACento86-84
29/09/24HCantu77-76 OT
21/04/24AAgrigento80-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forli
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%75%40%
Points / game75.076.274.0
Allowed / game70.666.074.2
Point differential+4.4+10.2-0.2
Avg total145.6142.2148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%25%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game78.881.275.8
Allowed / game80.882.478.8
Point differential-2.0-1.2-3.0
Avg total159.6163.6154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini109190%84.276.5+7.7
2 Cividale108280%77.974.7+3.2
3 Udine107370%82.172.6+9.5
4 Urania Milano107370%79.973.6+6.3
5 Cantu107370%78.573.2+5.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%73.872.2+1.6
7 Verona106460%81.975.8+6.1
8 Forli95456%75.070.6+4.4
9 Fortitudo Bologna94544%75.174.7+0.4
10 Avellino Basket94544%74.976.0-1.1
11 Orzinuovi94544%78.880.8-2.0
12 JuVi Cremona104640%79.080.7-1.7
13 Vigevano104640%74.878.0-3.2
14 Basket Torino104640%73.676.9-3.3
15 Nardo104640%75.782.3-6.6
16 Brindisi103730%73.075.8-2.8
17 Cento103730%70.876.5-5.7
18 Libertas Livorno103730%71.176.8-5.7
19 Pesaro103730%70.377.2-6.9
20 Assigeco Piacenza102820%75.981.3-5.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Forli231915181287
Orzinuovi22151622782
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