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Pesaro vs Orzinuovi Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 67-65
18-21 19-17 15-10 15-17
Position#9
Record2-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game77.4
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record4-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 8· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orzinuovi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
76-94
76
94
-18
62avg 69
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
90avg 69
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
L
79-91
79
91
-12
63avg 69
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 69
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
67-80
67
80
-13
56avg 69
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
82-77
82
77
+5
80avg 69
H06/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
71avg 69
A12/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
50-71
50
71
-21
41avg 69
A16/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
63-73
63
73
-10
55avg 69
H20/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
60-77
60
77
-17
50avg 69
A26/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
11-23
21-24
22-26
22-26
21-23
23-19
25-18
20-27
24-15
11-35
24-14
12-16
33-11
30-28
11-23
16-26
24-22
13-17
14-15
21-22
17-12
22-22
22-21
20-24
17-17
20-21
23-24
9-18
15-20
14-11
12-22
20-25
19-16
14-14
10-18
20-19
13-17
11-20
16-21
154.7Avg total
73.4Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.777.4147.1-7.729%
Season at home (3)70.776.7147.3-6.033%
Season away (4)69.078.0147.0-9.025%
Last 10 (10)73.481.3154.7-7.930%
Last 5 (5)67.076.8143.8-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)77.688.9166.5-11.327%
vs Similar (13)76.882.5159.3-5.831%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)76.579.0155.5-2.550%
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOrzinuovi
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
L
78-79
78
79
-1
76avg 69
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
91-76
91
76
+15
90avg 69
H14/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
80-86
80
86
-6
60avg 69
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
70avg 69
H29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 69
A06/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
75-80
75
80
-5
72avg 69
A09/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 69
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
81-98
81
98
-17
71avg 69
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-84
77
84
-7
67avg 69
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
82-71
82
71
+11
76avg 69
H27/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
14-19
12-26
32-20
30-24
20-13
17-27
24-12
25-32
24-22
13-4
18-28
21-21
21-24
11-16
17-9
18-22
21-16
22-27
25-19
23-25
22-19
23-20
7-16
34-22
22-17
20-24
11-18
26-36
20-22
15-17
20-23
22-25
12-21
22-19
21-19
23-19
30-16
18-18
11-18
162.9Avg total
81.4Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.782.0162.7-1.357%
Season at home (4)81.881.5163.2+0.275%
Season away (3)79.382.7162.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)81.481.5162.9-0.150%
Last 5 (5)80.482.8163.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)76.882.2159.1-5.425%
vs Similar (15)76.176.6152.7-0.540%
vs Weaker (3)84.076.3160.3+7.7100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.2-4.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -3.2-3.2Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.4+0.4
PesaroOrzinuovi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A20/04
Lega A
Cremona
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H28/04
Lega A
Venezia
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A05/05
Lega A
Nardo
#19
W
45-27
45
27
+18
A29/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#18
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H02/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H06/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A12/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H20/10
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A26/10
Serie A2
77.6Avg total
37.6Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.241.981.1-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.741.481.1-1.736%-
Last 30 away (16)38.742.481.1-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.077.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)34.238.072.2-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.244.082.2-5.827%-
vs Similar (13)39.840.280.0-0.538%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)42.537.580.0+5.050%-
This opponent (Orzinuovi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OrzinuoviLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#16
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A06/04
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H14/04
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A21/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/09
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A09/10
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H16/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A20/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H27/10
Serie A2
87.7Avg total
44.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.679.6-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.139.979.9+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)37.641.579.1-3.943%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.987.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)46.844.491.2+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.043.081.0-5.033%-
vs Similar (15)38.539.578.1-1.053%-
vs Weaker (3)44.736.781.3+8.067%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.9
52.1%
50.1%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.1
30.8%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws15.911.7
73.6%
74.4%11.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orzinuovitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orzinuovi: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.4
53.3%
50.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.9
32.0%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.615.9
73.6%
74.4%15.9
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWLWLWL
Orzinuovi
WLLWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#14
-13.1
Net rating
-0.1
100.1
Offensive rating
106.4
113.2
Defensive rating
106.6
49.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
17.6%
Turnover %
16.4%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.34
30.8%
3-point %
32.0%
51.1%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 106.4Defence113.2 · 106.6Shooting49.7% · 51.2%3-point %30.8% · 32.0%Ball care17.6% · 16.4%Off. rebounds25.3% · 23.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Orzinuovi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pesaro wins
0
Orzinuovi wins
No previous meetings.
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/24AUrania Milano60-77
20/10/24HVerona63-73
16/10/24AForli50-71
12/10/24ASebastiani Rieti80-86
06/10/24HAvellino Basket82-77
02/10/24HVigevano67-80
29/09/24ANardo86-78
05/05/24AVenezia79-91
28/04/24HCremona91-86
20/04/24ATortona76-94
Orzinuovilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/24HBasket Torino82-71
20/10/24AJuVi Cremona77-84
16/10/24HRimini81-98
13/10/24HAssigeco Piacenza87-81
09/10/24AFortitudo Bologna75-80
06/10/24ACento86-84
29/09/24HCantu77-76 OT
21/04/24AAgrigento80-86
14/04/24HLatina91-76
06/04/24ATreviglio78-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game69.770.769.0
Allowed / game77.476.778.0
Point differential-7.7-6.0-9.0
Avg total147.1147.3147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Orzinuovi
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game80.781.879.3
Allowed / game82.081.582.7
Point differential-1.3+0.2-3.3
Avg total162.7163.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini87188%85.076.5+8.5
2 Sebastiani Rieti76186%77.672.0+5.6
3 Cantu86275%77.171.5+5.6
4 Cividale86275%79.577.8+1.8
5 Udine75271%83.071.7+11.3
6 Urania Milano74357%78.673.1+5.4
7 Verona74357%81.477.6+3.9
8 Orzinuovi74357%80.782.0-1.3
9 Forli84450%72.971.0+1.9
10 Fortitudo Bologna63350%77.877.0+0.8
11 JuVi Cremona84450%78.878.4+0.4
12 Avellino Basket63350%76.076.2-0.2
13 Vigevano73443%74.974.1+0.7
14 Nardo73443%75.081.9-6.9
15 Basket Torino83538%73.474.8-1.4
16 Libertas Livorno83538%72.677.2-4.6
17 Pesaro72529%69.777.4-7.7
18 Brindisi71614%68.375.1-6.9
19 Cento71614%70.680.9-10.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro1819151567
Orzinuovi2117101765
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