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Clemson vs North Dakota Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 85-66
Projected total 150.9
Final 92-77
38-40 54-37
Position#121
Record2-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game72.5
Clemson 🏆
USA
Vs
95%
■ CLEM 95%■ NORT 5%
Pythia win probability
North Dakota
USA
Position#299
Record1-1
FormWWLLW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game87.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Clemson hosts North Dakota in an NCAA matchup on 9 November 2026, with the model clearly favouring Clemson at 95% versus 5% for North Dakota, a reflection of Clemson's unbeaten 2-0 season record, 83.5 points per game and 72.5 allowed, and their 117th league position, compared to North Dakota's 1-1 record, 71.5 points per game and 87.5 allowed from 268th. Clemson has won both home games, 82-73 against American University on 6 November and 85-72 against Stetson on 2 November, and has a 3-2 record over their last five games, while North Dakota's road outings include a 93-90 win over Winthrop on 7 November and two recent losses to Minnesota and North Dakota St. The projected score of 85-66 and total of 150.9 points underline Clemson's offensive edge, and the home line of -21.5 carries a 41% chance of covering, with a 44% probability of the over on the 153.0 total line. Clemson's 1% overtime probability suggests a decisive finish, and the game will likely see the Tigers maintain their early-season momentum.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Clemson winWon
94.8%fair 1.06
Best odds1.02
Implied94.3%
Edge+0.4pp
North Dakota winLost
5.2%fair 19.17
Best odds26.00
Implied5.7%
Edge-0.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 14:16 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ClemsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
L
65-70
65
70
-5
H21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
80-75
80
75
+5
H28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
L
63-67
63
67
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
W
79-76
79
76
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H12/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A14/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H20/03
NCAA
Stetson
#385
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H03/11
NCAA
American University
#294
W
82-73
82
73
+9
H07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-33
29-37
38-35
42-40
30-27
33-40
33-39
46-37
41-23
30-39
39-31
41-48
22-41
39-32
25-32
36-35
49-24
36-48
39-35
43-38
144.1Avg total
72.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)83.572.5156.0+11.0100%
Season at home (2)83.572.5156.0+11.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.771.4144.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)73.872.8146.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.071.7136.7-6.733%
vs Similar (13)70.669.4140.0+1.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)74.765.0139.7+9.786%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H14/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
67-66
67
66
+1
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#57
L
50-85
50
85
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#342
W
93-90
93
90
+3
A07/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-37
46-34
32-31
34-52
37-35
48-35
44-42
39-49
31-44
32-52
42-29
41-38
28-34
39-32
30-38
32-32
25-41
25-44
42-45
51-45
151.3Avg total
72.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.587.5159.0-16.050%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)71.587.5159.0-16.050%
Last 10 (10)72.478.9151.3-6.550%
Last 5 (5)71.075.6146.6-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)68.384.1152.4-15.833%
vs Similar (12)81.478.8160.2+2.767%
vs Weaker (5)79.668.6148.2+11.080%
This opponent (Clemson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148Actual: Over 148
Over 148
57.1%
@ 1.43-7.9pp
Under 148
42.9%
@ 2.65+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.43
Under
Bet365
2.65
Over/Under 153 · main lineActual: Over 153
Over 153
44.4%
@ 1.88-6.1pp
Under 153
55.6%
@ 1.94+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Over/Under 158Actual: Over 158
Over 158
32.4%
@ 2.50-5.1pp
Under 158
67.6%
@ 1.50+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Clemson total 83Actual: Clemson over 83
Over 83
58.2%
Under 83
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Clemson total 87 · main lineActual: Clemson over 87
Over 87
41.4%
@ 1.86-8.3pp
Under 87
58.6%
@ 1.84+8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.86
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
Clemson total 91Actual: Clemson over 91
Over 91
26.2%
Under 91
73.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Dakota total 62Actual: North Dakota over 62
Over 62
65.6%
Under 62
34.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
North Dakota total 66 · main lineActual: North Dakota over 66
Over 66
49.3%
@ 1.87-0.2pp
Under 66
50.7%
@ 1.85+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Marathon Be
1.83
North Dakota total 70Actual: North Dakota over 70
Over 70
33.2%
Under 70
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Clemson -24.5Actual: North Dakota +24.5
CLEM -24.5
31.2%
@ 2.30-9.6pp
NORT +24.5
68.8%
@ 1.57+9.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.22
NORT
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Spread Clemson -21.5 · main lineActual: North Dakota +21.5
CLEM -21.5
41.1%
@ 1.89-9.8pp
NORT +21.5
58.9%
@ 1.96+9.8pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.84
Marathon Be
1.84
NORT
Pinnacle
1.96
Bet365
1.93
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.89
Spread Clemson -18.5Actual: North Dakota +18.5
CLEM -18.5
51.7%
@ 1.57-7.6pp
NORT +18.5
48.3%
@ 2.30+7.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CLEM
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
NORT
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.25

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.6-2.6
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.2+3.21st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: -2.6-2.6
ClemsonNorth Dakota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ClemsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida State
#167
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Louisville
#53
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H28/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
30-27
30
27
+3
A04/03
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#309
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H07/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#190
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H12/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#45
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A13/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A14/03
NCAA
Iowa
#81
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H20/03
NCAA
Stetson
#385
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H03/11
NCAA
American University
#294
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H07/11
NCAA
67.2Avg total
35.2Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)35.030.865.8+4.363%13%
Last 30 at home (17)36.629.466.0+7.371%12%
Last 30 away (13)32.932.665.5+0.354%15%
Last 10 (10)35.232.067.2+3.270%10%
Last 5 (5)34.832.667.4+2.260%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.735.764.3-7.033%0%
vs Similar (13)34.030.464.4+3.654%8%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)37.430.167.4+7.379%21%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/03
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A08/03
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A09/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#57
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A03/11
NCAA
Winthrop
#342
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A07/11
NCAA
71.3Avg total
33.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 73
Last 30 (30)35.537.472.9-1.940%40%
Last 30 at home (14)38.434.973.3+3.464%29%
Last 30 away (16)33.139.672.6-6.519%50%
Last 10 (10)33.737.671.3-3.940%30%
Last 5 (5)33.437.470.8-4.020%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)31.739.170.8-7.417%42%
vs Similar (12)38.537.876.2+0.858%42%
vs Weaker (5)36.035.871.8+0.240%40%
This opponent (Clemson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: North Dakota win
CLEM win
no forecast
@ 1.07
NORT win
no forecast
@ 8.50
1st half Spread Clemson -12.5 · main lineActual: North Dakota +12.5
CLEM -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
NORT +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Over/Under 73 · main lineActual: Over 73
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Clemson 1st half total 43 · main lineActual: Clemson under 43
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
North Dakota 1st half total 30 · main lineActual: North Dakota over 30
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half: CLEM + total 72.5
CLEM & over
no forecast
@ 2.00
CLEM & under
no forecast
@ 2.00
1st half: Draw + total 72.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 41.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 41.00
1st half: NORT + total 72.5
NORT & over
no forecast
@ 17.00
NORT & under
no forecast
@ 17.00
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Over 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.71
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Over 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.14
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Clemson -13.5Actual: North Dakota +13.5
CLEM -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
NORT +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.71
1st half Spread Clemson -11.5Actual: North Dakota +11.5
CLEM -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
NORT +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.06
1st half Spread Clemson -14.5Actual: North Dakota +14.5
CLEM -14.5
no forecast
@ 2.32
NORT +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Clemson -10.5Actual: North Dakota +10.5
CLEM -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
NORT +10.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Over 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.44
Under
no forecast
@ 2.57
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Clemson (regulation)
CLEM
no forecast
@ 1.08
Draw
no forecast
@ 34.00
NORT
no forecast
@ 10.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CLEM win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
NORT win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CLEM leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: NORT leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Clemson under 91.574.7%1.42
Betano
1.42		----+10.7ppLost
Clemson under 90.571.3%1.51
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.50		---+10.5ppLost
Clemson under 92.577.8%1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34		---+10.1ppWon
North Dakota +2571.0%1.52
Bet365
1.52		----+9.7ppWon
Clemson under 94.583.3%1.25
Bet365
1.25		----+8.6ppWon
Clemson under 96.587.9%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+8.4ppWon
Clemson under 97.589.8%1.14
Bet365
1.14		----+8.3ppWon
Clemson under 98.591.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		----+7.0ppWon
Clemson under 100.594.1%1.07
Bet365
1.07		----+6.6ppWon
Under 159.570.5%1.41
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40		---+4.9ppLost
Under 160.572.6%1.36
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.35		---+4.6ppLost
Under 16072.0%1.37
Bet365
1.37		----+4.5ppLost
Under 16174.1%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+4.1ppLost
Clemson (regulation)93.9%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02		---+4.0ppWon
Under 178.595.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+3.3ppWon
Under 161.574.6%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+3.2ppLost
Under 173.591.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		----+2.5ppWon
Under 163.578.4%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+2.2ppLost
North Dakota under 71.571.4%1.31
Betano
1.31		----+2.2ppLost
North Dakota under 80.592.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.3ppWon
North Dakota over 51.592.5%1.02
Bet365
1.02		----+1.3ppWon
Under 168.586.3%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+1.2ppLost
North Dakota over 52.590.9%1.03
Bet365
1.03		----+0.7ppWon
Clemson win94.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Bet365
1.01		--+0.4ppWon
North Dakota under 78.589.4%1.05
Bet365
1.05		----+0.4ppWon
Clemson over 72.589.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----0.0ppWon
North Dakota over 53.589.2%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----0.2ppWon
North Dakota over 60.570.4%1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28		----0.4ppWon
North Dakota over 54.587.2%1.06
Bet365
1.06		-----0.7ppWon
North Dakota under 74.580.6%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----0.9ppLost
Over 128.591.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01		-----1.1ppWon
North Dakota under 76.585.5%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----1.2ppLost
North Dakota under 75.583.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.3ppLost
North Dakota under 72.574.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----1.5ppLost
North Dakota over 57.579.9%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----1.6ppWon
North Dakota over 55.585.0%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----1.6ppWon
North Dakota over 56.582.6%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----1.8ppWon
North Dakota over 58.576.9%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----1.9ppWon
Clemson over 74.585.5%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----2.0ppWon
North Dakota over 59.573.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22		-----2.4ppWon
Clemson -6.586.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.1ppWon
Over 133.585.9%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----3.7ppWon
Clemson over 76.580.4%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----4.0ppWon
Clemson over 77.577.5%1.13
Bet365
1.13		-----4.8ppWon
Clemson over 78.574.4%1.16
Bet365
1.16		-----5.1ppWon
Clemson -11.574.7%1.15
Bet365
1.15		-----5.8ppWon
Over 138.577.8%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----7.3ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Clemson wins
0
North Dakota wins
No previous meetings.
Clemsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26HAmerican University82-73
03/11/26HStetson85-72
20/03/26HIowa61-67
14/03/26ADuke61-73
13/03/26ANorth Carolina80-79
12/03/26HWake Forest71-62
07/03/26HGeorgia Tech79-76
04/03/26ANorth Carolina63-67
28/02/26HLouisville80-75
21/02/26HFlorida State65-70
North Dakotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AWinthrop93-90
03/11/26AMinnesota50-85
09/03/26ANorth Dakota St62-70
08/03/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)67-66
07/03/26HDenver83-67
28/02/26ANorth Dakota St63-96
21/02/26ASouth Dakota St.83-91
20/02/26HUMKC85-70
14/02/26HNorth Dakota St66-83
12/02/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Clemson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game83.583.5-
Allowed / game72.572.5-
Point differential+11.0+11.0-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over 153100%100%-
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
North Dakota
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
Home--
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %50%-50%
Points / game71.5-71.5
Allowed / game87.5-87.5
Point differential-16.0--16.0
Avg total159.0-159.0
Over 15350%-50%
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke220100%98.551.0+47.5
2 Louisville220100%95.563.5+32.0
3 Virginia Tech220100%92.060.5+31.5
4 Virginia330100%92.368.0+24.3
5 North Carolina220100%94.571.0+23.5
6 Boston College220100%73.552.5+21.0
7 Pittsburgh330100%85.764.7+21.0
8 California330100%95.074.7+20.3
9 SMU Mustangs220100%90.071.0+19.0
10 NC State220100%80.063.5+16.5
11 Georgia Tech220100%85.069.0+16.0
12 Notre Dame220100%78.564.0+14.5
13 Stanford220100%77.564.0+13.5
14 Clemson220100%83.572.5+11.0
15 Syracuse32167%85.363.3+22.0
16 Miami (FL)21150%75.067.0+8.0
17 Wake Forest21150%67.068.0-1.0
18 Florida State21150%80.090.0-10.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota St.220100%69.557.5+12.0
2 Oral Roberts21150%74.562.0+12.5
3 UMKC21150%80.584.5-4.0
4 North Dakota21150%71.587.5-16.0
5 South Dakota Coyotes31233%91.382.0+9.3
6 St. Thomas (Minn.)31233%72.076.7-4.7
7 Nebraska O.31233%65.387.7-22.3
8 North Dakota St41325%76.083.5-7.5
9 Denver2020%64.069.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Clemson385492
North Dakota403777
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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