On 7 November 2026 the NCAA contest pits Winthrop against North Dakota, with the model rating Winthrop as the clear favourite because of its 95% win probability, a projected 88-69 score and a strong 81% chance to cover the -9.5 line; North Dakota faces a 5% win chance and a 44% over probability on the 159.5 total. Winthrop has a 0-1 record from its sole game, scoring 98.0 points per game and allowing 103.0, while North Dakota also sits 0-1, averaging 50.0 points and conceding 85.0, both languishing near the bottom of their standings at 275 and 392 respectively. In the last five outings Winthrop has gone 3-2, with a recent 73-71 home win over Presbyterian, whereas North Dakota has a 2-3 record, highlighted by a 67-66 away victory over St. Thomas (Minn.). Their only previous meeting ended 90-88 in favour of North Dakota on 18 December 2025. The projected total of 157.1 points falls short of the 159.5 line, giving the model a 44% chance of an over, and the game carries a 1% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 98.0 | 103.0 | 201.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 98.0 | 103.0 | 201.0 | -5.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.8 | 81.4 | 164.2 | +1.4 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.4 | 83.2 | 164.6 | -1.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 85.0 | 85.0 | 170.0 | +0.0 | 33% |
| vs Similar (4) | 71.5 | 80.0 | 151.5 | -8.5 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 85.0 | 75.4 | 160.3 | +9.6 | 77% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 50.0 | 85.0 | 135.0 | -35.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 50.0 | 85.0 | 135.0 | -35.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.0 | 79.7 | 150.7 | -8.7 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 65.0 | 76.8 | 141.8 | -11.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 66.1 | 83.5 | 149.6 | -17.5 | 27% |
| vs Similar (13) | 79.6 | 78.5 | 158.1 | +1.2 | 62% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 79.6 | 68.6 | 148.2 | +11.0 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.0 | 35.1 | 74.1 | +3.9 | 63% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 40.7 | 33.1 | 73.8 | +7.7 | 73% | 47% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 37.2 | 37.1 | 74.3 | +0.1 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.3 | 37.2 | 74.5 | +0.1 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.8 | 38.2 | 74.0 | -2.4 | 40% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 40.3 | 36.7 | 77.0 | +3.7 | 33% | 67% |
| vs Similar (4) | 32.8 | 40.0 | 72.8 | -7.2 | 50% | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (22) | 39.5 | 34.9 | 74.3 | +4.6 | 68% | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 75.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.1 | 37.3 | 72.4 | -2.1 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 37.8 | 35.3 | 73.1 | +2.5 | 60% | 27% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 32.5 | 39.2 | 71.7 | -6.7 | 20% | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.2 | 37.4 | 69.6 | -5.2 | 40% | 10% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.2 | 37.2 | 68.4 | -6.0 | 20% | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (11) | 30.7 | 38.5 | 69.3 | -7.8 | 18% | 18% |
| vs Similar (13) | 37.8 | 38.0 | 75.8 | -0.2 | 54% | 38% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 36.0 | 35.8 | 71.8 | +0.2 | 40% | 40% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winthrop -13 | 72.1% | 2.55 | 2.55 | - | - | - | - | +35.6pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -10 | 80.4% | 1.97 | 2.11 | 1.95 | 1.91 | 1.91 | - | +35.3pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -10.5 | 78.5% | 2.06 | 2.20 | 2.10 | 2.00 | 1.96 | - | +35.2pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -12.5 | 73.0% | 2.41 | 2.47 | 2.35 | - | - | - | +34.5pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -12 | 75.1% | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | +34.0pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -11 | 77.9% | 2.10 | 2.10 | - | - | - | - | +33.7pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -9.5 | 80.9% | 1.92 | 2.02 | 2.00 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.87 | +33.7pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -9 | 82.8% | 1.85 | 1.93 | 1.86 | 1.83 | 1.80 | - | +33.4pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -11.5 | 75.8% | 2.16 | 2.27 | 2.15 | 2.07 | - | - | +32.8pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -8.5 | 83.2% | 1.80 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.82 | 1.80 | 1.75 | +31.3pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -8 | 85.0% | 1.73 | 1.75 | 1.75 | 1.72 | 1.68 | - | +30.6pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -7.5 | 85.3% | 1.68 | 1.72 | 1.69 | 1.68 | 1.67 | 1.64 | +28.6pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -7 | 87.0% | 1.60 | 1.62 | 1.58 | - | - | - | +28.2pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 76 | 77.4% | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | - | +27.4pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -6.5 | 87.3% | 1.56 | 1.57 | 1.57 | 1.55 | - | - | +26.7pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -5.5 | 89.0% | 1.48 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | - | +26.5pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -6 | 88.8% | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | - | +26.3pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 76.5 | 78.1% | 1.77 | 1.79 | 1.75 | - | - | - | +25.5pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 75.5 | 75.0% | 1.87 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.90 | 1.86 | +25.4pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 74.5 | 71.8% | 2.04 | 2.07 | 2.00 | - | - | - | +25.0pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -4.5 | 90.6% | 1.41 | 1.42 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +24.9pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -5 | 90.4% | 1.41 | 1.41 | - | - | - | - | +24.8pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 77.5 | 80.8% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +24.4pp | Lost |
| North Dakota under 75 | 74.2% | 1.84 | 1.85 | 1.84 | 1.84 | - | - | +23.9pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -3.5 | 92.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +23.1pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -4 | 91.9% | 1.35 | 1.35 | - | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Lost |
| Winthrop (regulation) | 94.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | - | - | +21.8pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -3 | 93.0% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +21.6pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -2.5 | 93.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +21.1pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -2 | 94.3% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Lost |
| Winthrop -1.5 | 94.4% | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.23 | - | - | - | +19.5pp | Lost |
| Winthrop win | 95.1% | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.23 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.21 | +17.2pp | Lost |
| Winthrop over 82.5 | 72.0% | 1.61 | 1.68 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +16.1pp | Won |
| Winthrop over 81.5 | 75.3% | 1.45 | 1.45 | - | - | - | - | +12.9pp | Won |
| Winthrop over 80.5 | 78.4% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +12.6pp | Won |
| Winthrop over 79.5 | 81.2% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Winthrop over 75.5 | 90.1% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +10.6pp | Won |
| Winthrop over 73.5 | 93.1% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | +8.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 98.8% | 1.02 | 1.03 | 1.02 | - | - | - | +7.2pp | - |
| Under 166.5 | 72.2% | 1.41 | 1.44 | 1.37 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| Under 165.5 | 70.1% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.41 | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Lost |
| Under 167.5 | 74.3% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Lost |
| Under 166 | 71.6% | 1.40 | 1.40 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | Lost |
| Under 167 | 73.7% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Lost |
| Under 169.5 | 78.1% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +3.3pp | Lost |
| Under 179.5 | 91.7% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Lost |
| Under 174.5 | 86.0% | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | - | - | +2.9pp | Lost |
| Over 134.5 | 91.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -0.3pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 86.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -3.2pp | Won |
| North Dakota over 56.5 | 89.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 78.1% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -5.7pp | Won |
| North Dakota over 58.5 | 84.8% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -6.7pp | Won |
| North Dakota over 60.5 | 79.6% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -10.6pp | Won |
| North Dakota over 62.5 | 73.4% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -14.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19/12/25 | North Dakota v Winthrop | 90-88 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/26 | A | Queens Royals | 98-103 |
| 08/03/26 | A | High Point | 76-91 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Presbyterian | 73-71 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Charleston Southern | 86-81 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Presbyterian | 74-70 |
| 27/02/26 | A | Charleston Southern | 84-86 |
| 21/02/26 | A | High Point | 87-89 |
| 19/02/26 | H | USC Upstate | 68-64 |
| 13/02/26 | A | Gardner Webb | 103-85 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Longwood | 79-74 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Minnesota | 50-85 |
| 09/03/26 | A | North Dakota St | 62-70 |
| 08/03/26 | A | St. Thomas (Minn.) | 67-66 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Denver | 83-67 |
| 28/02/26 | A | North Dakota St | 63-96 |
| 21/02/26 | A | South Dakota St. | 83-91 |
| 20/02/26 | H | UMKC | 85-70 |
| 14/02/26 | H | North Dakota St | 66-83 |
| 12/02/26 | A | South Dakota Coyotes | 72-71 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Denver | 79-98 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 98.0 | - | 98.0 |
| Allowed / game | 103.0 | - | 103.0 |
| Point differential | -5.0 | - | -5.0 |
| Avg total | 201.0 | - | 201.0 |
| Over 160.5 | 100% | - | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 50.0 | - | 50.0 |
| Allowed / game | 85.0 | - | 85.0 |
| Point differential | -35.0 | - | -35.0 |
| Avg total | 135.0 | - | 135.0 |
| Over 160.5 | 0% | - | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 67.5 | 53.0 | +14.5 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 98.0 | 74.5 | +23.5 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 78.5 | 73.5 | +5.0 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 98.0 | 103.0 | -5.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 70.0 | 80.5 | -10.5 | |
| 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 77.5 | 89.0 | -11.5 | |
| 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 66.0 | 80.0 | -14.0 | |
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 48.0 | 92.0 | -44.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 69.5 | 57.5 | +12.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 94.5 | 79.5 | +15.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 74.5 | 77.0 | -2.5 | |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 80.5 | 84.5 | -4.0 | |
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.0 | 86.5 | -16.5 | |
| 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.7 | 81.0 | -6.3 | |
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 68.0 | 75.0 | -7.0 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 55.0 | 85.0 | -30.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 50.0 | 85.0 | -35.0 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 45 | 45 | 90 | |
| 42 | 51 | 93 |
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