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St. Thomas (Minn.) vs North Dakota Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 66-67
34-28 32-39
Position#42
Record24-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game71.8
St. Thomas (Minn.)
USA
vs
North Dakota 🏆
USA
Position#196
Record17-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game77.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota
10 Jan 2027
ST. v NORT
upcoming
07 Mar 2026
ST. 66
NORT67
29 Jan 2026
ST. 80
NORT81
08 Mar 2025
ST. 85
NORT69
27 Feb 2025
ST. 86
NORT71
27 Jan 2024
ST. 64
NORT74
19 Dec 2022
ST. 75
NORT62
10 Feb 2022
ST. 70
NORT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.) winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
North Dakota winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

St. Thomas (Minn.)USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
99-64
99
64
+35
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
77-62
77
62
+15
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
94-98
94
98
-4
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
104-64
104
64
+40
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
84-62
84
62
+22
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
80-67
80
67
+13
H06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
43-35
37-46
52-25
47-39
31-28
46-34
39-36
53-39
42-47
52-51
43-29
61-35
39-37
41-45
50-27
34-35
31-28
37-25
39-37
41-30
156.6Avg total
85.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)83.271.8155.0+11.375%
Season at home (17)85.668.5154.1+17.294%
Season away (15)80.475.7156.1+4.753%
Last 10 (10)85.870.8156.6+15.070%
Last 5 (5)83.265.6148.8+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)76.362.0138.3+14.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.073.7157.7+10.376%
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A30/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
76-73
76
73
+3
H06/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
79-98
79
98
-19
H07/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
66-83
66
83
-17
H14/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
63-96
63
96
-33
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
45-46
48-40
35-43
46-37
29-42
47-31
27-43
52-55
26-37
46-34
32-31
34-52
37-35
48-35
44-42
39-49
31-44
32-52
42-29
41-38
159.6Avg total
78.1Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)77.377.8155.2-0.552%
Season at home (18)82.074.7156.7+7.356%
Season away (15)71.781.6153.3-9.947%
Last 10 (10)78.181.5159.6-3.460%
Last 5 (5)76.081.4157.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.587.2155.8-18.825%
vs Similar (14)78.278.2156.4+0.057%
vs Weaker (6)79.069.5148.5+9.583%
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +1.0+1.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.0+8.01st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +7.0+7.02nd half: +1.0+1.0
St. Thomas (Minn.)North Dakota
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
St. Thomas (Minn.)Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
North Dakota
#196
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H30/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
52-25
52
25
+27
H01/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A05/02
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A13/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H27/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
31-28
31
28
+3
H01/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H06/03
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.9Scored
32.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.533.373.8+7.283%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.631.173.7+11.494%-
Last 30 away (14)38.135.873.9+2.471%-
Last 10 (10)40.932.973.8+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)40.431.672.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)40.030.770.7+9.3100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.034.074.0+5.980%-
This opponent (North Dakota) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
North DakotaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver
#239
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A24/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A30/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H06/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H07/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H14/02
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H07/03
NCAA
74.0Avg total
34.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.937.173.9-0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.134.973.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)34.439.673.9-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.839.274.0-4.440%-
Last 5 (5)37.236.273.4+1.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)31.938.970.8-7.025%-
vs Similar (14)37.738.676.4-0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)36.835.272.0+1.750%-
This opponent (St. Thomas (Minn.)) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
St. Thomas (Minn.) wins
3
North Dakota wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota80-81
16/01/26North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)80-91
09/03/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota85-69
28/02/25St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota86-71
04/01/25North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)80-88
28/01/24St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota64-74
30/12/23North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)45-70
25/02/23North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)82-74
20/12/22St. Thomas (Minn.) v North Dakota75-62
22/02/22North Dakota v St. Thomas (Minn.)74-84
St. Thomas (Minn.)last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26HSouth Dakota St.80-67
01/03/26HNebraska O.68-53
27/02/26HNorth Dakota St84-62
21/02/26ADenver80-82
15/02/26AUMKC104-64
13/02/26ANebraska O.94-98
08/02/26HOral Roberts92-75
05/02/26ASouth Dakota St.77-62
01/02/26HUMKC99-64
30/01/26HNorth Dakota80-81
North Dakotalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HDenver83-67
28/02/26ANorth Dakota St63-96
21/02/26ASouth Dakota St.83-91
20/02/26HUMKC85-70
14/02/26HNorth Dakota St66-83
12/02/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-71
07/02/26HDenver79-98
06/02/26HNebraska O.76-73
30/01/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)81-80
24/01/26ADenver93-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

St. Thomas (Minn.)
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW75%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayWWLWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %75%94%53%
Points / game83.285.680.4
Allowed / game71.868.575.7
Point differential+11.3+17.2+4.7
Avg total155.0154.1156.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
North Dakota
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW52%
HomeWLLWW56%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331815
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game77.382.071.7
Allowed / game77.874.781.6
Point differential-0.5+7.3-9.9
Avg total155.2156.7153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%39%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)50% (6)100% (4)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St3326779%81.169.8+11.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)3224875%83.271.8+11.3
3 North Dakota33171652%77.377.8-0.5
4 South Dakota Coyotes32161650%79.680.2-0.6
5 Nebraska O.33161748%76.076.4-0.5
6 Denver32151747%82.882.8+0.0
7 South Dakota St.32141844%75.472.8+2.6
8 Oral Roberts33102330%73.377.5-4.2
9 UMKC3142713%69.383.9-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
St. Thomas (Minn.)343266
North Dakota283967
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