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Cluj-Napoca vs Zadar Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 85-83
Projected total 168.5
Scheduled
Position#12
Record3-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.3
Vs
56%
44%
■ CNA 56%■ ZAD 44%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.3/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record3-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game75.9
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· BTarena
Domestic2026
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cluj-Napoca host Zadar in the ABA League. Pythia makes Cluj-Napoca the favourite at 56% and projects 85-83, about 168 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Cluj-Napoca are 3-4 this season (85.7 scored, 86.3 allowed a game), form LLLLW; Zadar are 3-4 this season (75.1 scored, 75.9 allowed a game), form WLLWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cluj-Napoca win
55.9%fair 1.79
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar win
44.1%fair 2.27
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cluj-NapocaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCluj-Napoca
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#19
W
93-75
93
75
+18
97avg 86
A14/10
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 86
A18/10
ABA League
London Lions
#9
L
72-89
72
89
-17
72avg 86
H21/10
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#20
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 86
H23/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#22
L
97-113
97
113
-16
94avg 86
A27/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
L
77-97
77
97
-20
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#5
L
73-113
73
113
-40
no box
A05/11
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#6
L
91-93
91
93
-2
no box
H08/11
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#16
L
81-89
81
89
-8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
77-71
77
71
+6
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-26
25-14
25-20
27-15
17-27
17-24
20-16
21-22
22-21
15-19
18-24
17-25
24-16
29-30
27-15
20-17
29-30
22-32
22-28
24-23
18-34
31-23
17-19
11-21
19-36
22-23
11-28
21-26
23-25
29-17
21-23
18-28
19-21
14-31
30-21
18-16
16-13
23-15
14-21
24-22
174.3Avg total
83.6Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.786.3172.0-0.643%
Season at home (4)88.283.5171.8+4.850%
Season away (3)82.390.0172.3-7.733%
Last 10 (10)83.690.7174.3-7.130%
Last 5 (5)79.892.6172.4-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)80.595.2175.7-14.721%
vs Similar ◀ (8)85.982.1168.0+3.862%
vs Weaker (8)92.281.4173.6+10.988%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.175.9151.0-0.743%
Season at home (3)85.069.7154.7+15.3100%
Season away (4)67.880.5148.2-12.80%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Cluj-Napoca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1251%1302%1353%1405%1457%1509%15511%16012%16511%17011%1758%1806%1854%1903%1952%2001%2051%2100%215
0%1252%1355%1459%15512%16511%1756%1853%1951%2050%215
Pythia expects about 168 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%).
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
63.6%
Under 162.5
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
51.4%
Under 167.5
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
39.2%
Under 172.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cluj-Napoca total 81.5
Over 81.5
63.4%
Under 81.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cluj-Napoca total 85.5
Over 85.5
48.1%
Under 85.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cluj-Napoca total 89.5
Over 89.5
33.2%
Under 89.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zadar total 78.5
Over 78.5
68.3%
Under 78.5
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zadar total 82.5
Over 82.5
53.0%
Under 82.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zadar total 86.5
Over 86.5
37.4%
Under 86.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

3%5%8%10%0%-301%-272%-242%-213%-184%-156%-127%-99%-69%-36%+010%+310%+68%+96%+125%+154%+182%+212%+241%+271%+300%+33
1%-272%-214%-157%-99%-310%+38%+95%+152%+211%+270%+33
Margin from Cluj-Napoca's side (positive = Cluj-Napoca win). Pythia's expected margin is +1.7; Cluj-Napoca win by 1+ in 49% of simulations.
Spread Cluj-Napoca -3
CNA -3
46.9%
ZAD +3
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
CNA
No market prices yet.
ZAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Cluj-Napoca 0
CNA 0
55.9%
ZAD 0
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
CNA
No market prices yet.
ZAD
No market prices yet.
Spread Cluj-Napoca +3
CNA +3
64.8%
ZAD -3
35.2%
Best 5 market prices
CNA
No market prices yet.
ZAD
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.6-4.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
Cluj-NapocaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cluj-NapocaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#19
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A14/10
Eurocup
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A18/10
ABA League
London Lions
#9
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H21/10
Eurocup
Studentski Centar
#20
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H23/10
ABA League
Frankfurt
#22
L
51-62
51
62
-11
A27/10
Eurocup
Partizan
#2
L
49-57
49
57
-8
A02/11
ABA League
Tenerife
#5
L
41-59
41
59
-18
A05/11
Eurocup
KK Bosna
#6
W
52-42
52
42
+10
H08/11
ABA League
Turk Telekom
#16
L
33-52
33
52
-19
H10/11
Eurocup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H14/11
ABA League
90.7Avg total
43.0Scored
47.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.745.489.1-1.650%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.542.486.9+2.157%-
Last 30 away (16)43.147.991.0-4.944%-
Last 10 (10)43.047.790.7-4.740%-
Last 5 (5)42.847.690.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)41.050.891.8-9.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)43.140.984.0+2.262%-
vs Weaker (8)49.140.489.5+8.888%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Cluj-Napoca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cluj-Napocatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cluj-Napoca: 84.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.722.5
59.7%
57.4%45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.88.7
33.7%
33.1%26.1
🏀 Free throws18.113.1
72.4%
73.2%13.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
57.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
73.2%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cluj-Napoca
WLLLLLWLLW
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#13
-3.3
Net rating
+21.3
96.9
Offensive rating
102.8
100.2
Defensive rating
81.5
56.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
16.8%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.7%
3-point %
34.7%
63.5%
Assist %
60.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence96.9 · 102.8Defence100.2 · 81.5Shooting56.0% · 55.5%3-point %33.7% · 34.7%Ball care16.8% · 13.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cluj-Napoca   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cluj-Napoca wins
0
Zadar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPerspektiva Ilirija77-71
10/11/26HTurk Telekom81-89
08/11/26HKK Bosna91-93
05/11/26ATenerife73-113
02/11/26APartizan77-97
27/10/26AFrankfurt97-113
23/10/26HStudentski Centar100-78
21/10/26HLondon Lions72-89
18/10/26ASpartak Subotica75-89
14/10/26ASiauliai93-75
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cluj-Napoca
ABA League 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%50%33%
Points / game85.788.282.3
Allowed / game86.383.590.0
Point differential-0.6+4.8-7.7
Avg total172.0171.8172.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%100%0%
Points / game75.185.067.8
Allowed / game75.969.780.5
Point differential-0.7+15.3-12.8
Avg total151.0154.7148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda65183%93.283.5+9.7
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 Cedevita Olimpija64267%85.580.0+5.5
6 KK Bosna64267%90.587.3+3.2
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 Mega Basket62433%82.392.7-10.3
17 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
18 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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