Colorado State faces Loyola Chicago on 14 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model ranking Colorado State as the clear favourite because it is undefeated at 3-0, averaging 83.0 points per game and allowing only 70.7, while Loyola Chicago sits 2-1, scoring 82.0 and conceding 70.7; Colorado State's three straight wins, all at home, include 87-71 over Portland State, 78-67 over Idaho and 84-74 over Montana State, and the team has never lost a game this season, whereas Loyola Chicago's lone defeat came away to Air Force 93-107. In head-to-head history Colorado State has won both meetings, most recently 80-67 on 16 November 2025. Pythia projects a 83-66 victory for Colorado State, giving the home team a 93% chance to win and a 7% chance for Loyola Chicago, with a projected total of 149.6 points; the home line is -9.5 and the model estimates a 75% probability that Colorado State will cover, while the total line of 152.5 has a 43% chance of hitting over, and there is a 2% chance of overtime. Colorado State's dominant home record and recent performance suggest they will extend their unbeaten streak.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Colorado State winLost
93.1%fair 1.07
Best odds1.28
Implied76.4%
Edge+16.7pp
Loyola Chicago winWon
6.9%fair 14.57
Best odds4.40
Implied23.6%
Edge-16.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Colorado State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
59.8%
@ 1.40-6.1pp
Under 145.5
40.2%
@ 2.72+6.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.70
Over/Under 150.5 · main lineActual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
47.5%
@ 1.88-3.0pp
Under 150.5
52.5%
@ 2.02+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
SBO
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Under
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
WilliamHill
1.91
Over/Under 155.5Actual: Under 155.5
Over 155.5
35.5%
@ 2.40-5.0pp
Under 155.5
64.5%
@ 1.60+5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.18
Under
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Colorado State total 77Actual: Colorado State under 77
Over 77
75.1%
Under 77
24.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colorado State total 81 · main lineActual: Colorado State under 81
Over 81
60.1%
@ 1.87+10.4pp
Under 81
39.9%
@ 1.85-10.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Colorado State total 85Actual: Colorado State under 85
Over 85
43.4%
Under 85
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loyola Chicago total 68Actual: Loyola Chicago over 68
Over 68
42.0%
Under 68
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loyola Chicago total 72 · main lineActual: Loyola Chicago over 72
Over 72
27.0%
@ 1.85-23.0pp
Under 72
73.0%
@ 1.85+23.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Loyola Chicago total 76Actual: Loyola Chicago under 76
Over 76
15.5%
Under 76
84.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Colorado State -11Actual: Loyola Chicago +11
COLO -11
71.7%
@ 2.44+32.6pp
LOYO +11
28.3%
@ 1.66-32.6pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.10
LOYO
Bet365
1.66
Pinnacle
1.57
Spread Colorado State -8 · main lineActual: Loyola Chicago +8
COLO -8
80.2%
@ 1.93+30.4pp
LOYO +8
19.8%
@ 2.10-30.4pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.88
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.66
LOYO
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Marathon Be
1.83
Spread Colorado State -5Actual: Loyola Chicago +5
COLO -5
87.0%
@ 1.41+21.3pp
LOYO +5
13.0%
@ 2.70-21.3pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
Bet365
1.41
LOYO
Bet365
2.70
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Colorado StateLoyola Chicago
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Colorado State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Colorado State win
COLO win
no forecast
@ 1.42
LOYO win
no forecast
@ 2.87
2nd half Spread Colorado State -4.5 · main lineActual: Colorado State -4.5
COLO -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
LOYO +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
2nd half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Under 80.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Colorado State 2nd half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Colorado State under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Loyola Chicago 2nd half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Loyola Chicago under 37.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.88
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half Spread Colorado State -3.5Actual: Colorado State -3.5
COLO -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
LOYO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
2nd half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Under 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Loyola Chicago (regulation)
COLO
no forecast
@ 1.47
Draw
no forecast
@ 18.50
LOYO
no forecast
@ 2.90
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Colorado State -10
74.7%
2.04
Pinnacle
2.33
Bet365
1.96
SBO
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.92
-
+33.7pp
Lost
Colorado State -9
77.6%
1.93
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathon Bet
2.01
1xBet
1.91
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.80
+32.6pp
Lost
Colorado State -11
71.7%
2.27
Pinnacle
2.44
Bet365
2.10
-
-
-
+32.6pp
Lost
Colorado State -9.5
75.5%
1.92
Pinnacle
2.23
Bet365
1.91
Betano
1.90
SBO
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.87
+32.5pp
Lost
Colorado State -10.5
72.6%
2.12
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.02
Bet365
2.00
-
-
+31.6pp
Lost
Colorado State -8.5
78.2%
1.87
Pinnacle
2.03
Marathon Bet
1.95
BetVictor
1.91
1xBet
1.91
SBO
1.78
+30.9pp
Lost
Colorado State -8
80.2%
1.82
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Bet
1.88
1xBet
1.80
Bet365
1.66
-
+30.4pp
Lost
Colorado State -7.5
80.7%
1.73
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.82
1xBet
1.73
Bet365
1.64
Betano
1.62
+28.4pp
Lost
Colorado State -7
82.7%
1.67
Pinnacle
1.76
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+28.2pp
Lost
Colorado State -6
85.0%
1.57
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+26.6pp
Lost
Colorado State -6.5
83.1%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.69
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.55
-
-
+26.5pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 72
73.0%
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
-
-
+23.0pp
Lost
Colorado State -5.5
85.3%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+22.2pp
Lost
Colorado State -5
87.0%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+21.3pp
Lost
Colorado State -4.5
87.3%
1.40
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
+21.2pp
Lost
Colorado State (regulation)
92.1%
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.24
-
-
+20.8pp
Lost
Colorado State -3.5
89.1%
1.34
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
Colorado State -4
88.9%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+20.0pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 72.5
73.9%
1.75
WilliamHill
1.80
Pinnacle
1.74
Betano
1.70
-
-
+19.7pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 71.5
70.6%
1.84
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Betano
1.82
+19.1pp
Lost
Colorado State -3
90.4%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+19.0pp
Lost
Colorado State -2.5
90.5%
1.29
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 73.5
77.0%
1.55
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
-
+18.5pp
Won
Loyola Chicago under 74.5
79.8%
1.50
1xBet
1.57
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+18.3pp
Won
Colorado State -1.5
92.2%
1.25
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+18.2pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 77.5
87.0%
1.33
1xBet
1.33
-
-
-
-
+17.7pp
Won
Colorado State -2
92.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+17.6pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 75.5
82.4%
1.39
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
-
+17.3pp
Won
Colorado State win
93.1%
1.23
Marathon Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.26
BetVictor
1.24
Betano
1.22
+16.7pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 76.5
84.8%
1.31
Betano
1.32
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+15.1pp
Won
Loyola Chicago under 80.5
92.0%
1.15
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
+11.2pp
Won
Loyola Chicago under 78.5
88.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Won
Colorado State over 74.5
81.7%
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
-
-
-
+10.6pp
Lost
Colorado State over 77.5
72.6%
1.49
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.45
-
-
+10.1pp
Lost
Colorado State over 76.5
75.9%
1.37
Betano
1.37
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Lost
Colorado State over 75.5
78.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
+9.7pp
Lost
Colorado State +6.5
97.3%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Colorado State over 73.5
84.3%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+9.0pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago under 81.5
93.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+8.3pp
Won
Colorado State over 71.5
88.6%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Lost
Colorado State +10.5
98.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.5pp
Lost
Colorado State over 70.5
90.4%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Lost
Overtime: no
98.4%
1.03
WilliamHill
1.04
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Colorado State over 69.5
92.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
Under 158.5
71.1%
1.39
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
+4.6pp
Won
Under 159.5
73.2%
1.34
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
+4.1pp
Won
Under 176.5
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 158
70.5%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Under 159
72.6%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Won
Under 171.5
91.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Under 161.5
77.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Under 166.5
85.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Colorado State under 97.5
92.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 126.5
92.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.4pp
Won
Colorado State under 95.5
88.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.8pp
Won
Over 131.5
86.8%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Lost
Colorado State under 93.5
84.6%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-3.4pp
Won
Loyola Chicago over 54.5
87.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Colorado State under 91.5
79.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-5.1pp
Won
Colorado State under 90.5
76.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Won
Over 136.5
79.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-6.0pp
Lost
Loyola Chicago over 56.5
83.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Colorado State under 89.5
73.1%
1.14
Bet365
1.16
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-8.2pp
Won
Loyola Chicago over 58.5
77.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-11.1pp
Won
Loyola Chicago over 60.5
71.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.4pp
Won
Loyola Chicago +24.5
74.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-14.6pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.