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Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-70
32-39 42-31
Position#90
Record17-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game71.0
Colorado State 🏆
USA
vs
Fresno State
USA
Position#275
Record12-15
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game72.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-39
43-40
38-21
43-31
35-25
26-40
27-33
23-40
23-27
34-41
30-29
35-28
47-39
44-35
37-40
42-28
47-39
44-47
38-25
45-49
142.7Avg total
73.1Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.871.0147.8+5.763%
Season at home (16)79.768.4148.1+11.369%
Season away (11)72.574.9147.5-2.455%
Last 10 (10)73.169.6142.7+3.560%
Last 5 (5)81.871.8153.6+10.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar (11)69.269.0138.2+0.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)83.370.6153.9+12.785%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
79-62
79
62
+17
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
98-96
98
96
+2
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
78-91
78
91
-13
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
93-63
93
63
+30
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
82-92
82
92
-10
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
26-27
37-33
23-36
51-47
19-26
38-42
44-39
35-23
49-50
49-46
28-28
31-41
35-47
43-44
45-33
48-30
40-42
42-50
44-32
34-48
152.5Avg total
76.1Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)74.272.9147.0+1.344%
Season at home (17)76.069.9145.9+6.159%
Season away (10)71.177.8148.9-6.720%
Last 10 (10)76.176.4152.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)78.079.0157.0-1.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.776.1144.8-7.328%
vs Similar (6)81.779.0160.7+2.750%
vs Weaker (5)77.861.8139.6+16.080%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.5+3.51st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +0.4+0.4
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H21/02
NCAA
66.9Avg total
35.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.032.268.2+3.863%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.931.469.3+6.571%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.366.8+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)35.231.766.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.474.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar (11)32.931.964.8+1.036%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.432.570.8+5.985%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H18/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A22/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
19-26
19
26
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A31/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H04/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A08/02
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A11/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H14/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A18/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H22/02
NCAA
71.3Avg total
35.3Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.468.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)34.131.966.0+2.256%-
Last 30 away (12)32.838.271.0-5.325%-
Last 10 (10)35.336.071.3-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.436.474.8+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)30.134.464.5-4.422%-
vs Similar (6)38.736.375.0+2.367%-
vs Weaker (5)38.633.071.6+5.680%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Colorado State wins
1
Fresno State wins
DateGameScore
14/01/26Fresno State v Colorado State79-69
26/01/25Fresno State v Colorado State64-69
08/01/25Colorado State v Fresno State91-64
04/02/24Fresno State v Colorado State61-73
08/03/23Colorado State v Fresno State67-65
18/02/23Fresno State v Colorado State57-60
07/01/23Colorado State v Fresno State79-57
12/02/22Colorado State v Fresno State65-50
12/03/21Colorado State v Fresno State72-62
30/12/20Colorado State v Fresno State81-59
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26HSan Diego State83-74
19/02/26AUNLV91-86
14/02/26HWyoming79-68
11/02/26AAir Force91-74
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
29/01/26ASan Diego State50-73
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
Fresno Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HNew Mexico78-80
18/02/26AWyoming82-92
14/02/26HAir Force93-63
11/02/26AUtah State78-91
08/02/26ANevada59-69
04/02/26HUNLV98-96
31/01/26AAir Force79-62
25/01/26HGrand Canyon57-68
22/01/26ANew Mexico74-83
18/01/26HWyoming63-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW63%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayLLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271611
Win %63%69%55%
Points / game76.879.772.5
Allowed / game71.068.474.9
Point differential+5.7+11.3-2.4
Avg total147.8148.1147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%44%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fresno State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWLWWL59%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271710
Win %44%59%20%
Points / game74.276.071.1
Allowed / game72.969.977.8
Point differential+1.3+6.1-6.7
Avg total147.0145.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)44% (9)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2723485%84.069.0+15.0
2 New Mexico2721678%81.469.5+11.9
3 San Diego State2618869%78.970.0+8.9
4 Nevada2718967%76.172.0+4.1
5 Grand Canyon27171063%74.868.6+6.2
6 Colorado State27171063%76.871.0+5.7
7 Boise State27161159%78.674.4+4.3
8 Wyoming27151256%77.773.2+4.5
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State27121544%74.272.9+1.3
11 San Jose State2772026%70.777.4-6.6
12 Air Force2732411%61.680.1-18.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State324274
Fresno State393170
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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