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Colorado State vs San Diego State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 83-74
0-0 38-25 0-0 45-49
Position#90
Record16-10
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game70.9
Colorado State 🏆
USA
vs
San Diego State
USA
Position#70
Record18-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game69.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Colorado State v San Diego State
30 Jan 2027
COLO v SAN
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
COLO83
SAN 74
08 Feb 2025
COLO68
SAN 63
30 Jan 2024
COLO79
SAN 71
18 Jan 2023
COLO76
SAN 82
12 Mar 2022
COLO58
SAN 63
04 Feb 2022
COLO58
SAN 57
04 Dec 2019
COLO57
SAN 79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Diego State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
73-79
73
79
-6
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
57-68
57
68
-11
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
91-74
91
74
+17
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
79-68
79
68
+11
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
91-86
91
86
+5
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
22-36
0-0
47-43
0-0
30-39
0-0
43-40
0-0
38-21
0-0
43-31
0-0
35-25
0-0
26-40
0-0
27-33
0-0
23-40
0-0
23-27
0-0
34-41
0-0
30-29
0-0
35-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
44-35
0-0
37-40
0-0
42-28
0-0
47-39
0-0
44-47
141.8Avg total
71.7Scored
70.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)76.570.9147.5+5.662%
Season at home (15)79.568.0147.5+11.567%
Season away (11)72.574.9147.5-2.455%
Last 10 (10)71.770.1141.8+1.650%
Last 5 (5)76.670.6147.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)68.677.0145.6-8.420%
vs Similar ◀ (11)69.268.8138.0+0.455%
vs Weaker (13)83.370.6153.9+12.785%
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
83-79
83
79
+4
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
73-50
73
50
+23
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
88-54
88
54
+34
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
L
63-73
63
73
-10
H18/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
38-25
0-0
36-32
0-0
48-35
0-0
35-44
0-0
37-35
0-0
32-35
0-0
39-34
0-0
43-37
0-0
33-27
0-0
40-23
0-0
34-34
0-0
32-37
0-0
35-24
0-0
37-39
0-0
45-26
0-0
43-28
0-0
36-25
0-0
35-32
0-0
33-29
0-0
30-44
138.6Avg total
74.1Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)79.169.5148.6+9.672%
Season at home (15)83.369.1152.3+14.280%
Season away (10)72.970.1143.0+2.860%
Last 10 (10)74.164.5138.6+9.670%
Last 5 (5)72.063.6135.6+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.574.8135.2-14.225%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.974.4151.2+2.557%
vs Weaker (12)83.263.2146.4+20.192%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +8.4+8.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +1.2+1.2
Colorado StateSan Diego State
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#275
L
22-36
22
36
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Boise State
#101
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A17/01
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H21/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H24/01
NCAA
San Diego State
#70
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A29/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
23-27
23
27
-4
A01/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#349
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H08/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A11/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H14/02
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A19/02
NCAA
66.4Avg total
33.6Scored
32.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.432.468.8+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.531.770.2+6.871%-
Last 30 away (13)33.533.366.8+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)33.632.866.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.871.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.833.665.4-1.860%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)33.932.466.3+1.536%-
vs Weaker (13)38.432.570.8+5.985%-
This opponent (San Diego State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Diego StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#148
W
38-25
38
25
+13
A15/01
NCAA
New Mexico
#50
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H18/01
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A22/01
NCAA
UNLV
#192
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A24/01
NCAA
Colorado State
#90
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H29/01
NCAA
Utah State
#20
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A31/01
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H04/02
NCAA
Air Force
#371
W
45-26
45
26
+19
A08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#86
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H15/02
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#95
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H18/02
NCAA
67.2Avg total
37.8Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.131.769.8+6.473%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.730.268.9+8.683%-
Last 30 away (12)37.234.071.2+3.258%-
Last 10 (10)37.829.467.2+8.490%-
Last 5 (5)36.627.664.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.834.866.5-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.931.468.3+5.671%-
vs Weaker (12)41.731.172.8+10.692%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Colorado State wins
7
San Diego State wins
DateGameScore
29/01/26San Diego State v Colorado State73-50
09/02/25Colorado State v San Diego State68-63
15/01/25San Diego State v Colorado State75-60
14/02/24San Diego State v Colorado State71-55
31/01/24Colorado State v San Diego State79-71
09/03/23San Diego State v Colorado State64-61
22/02/23San Diego State v Colorado State77-58
19/01/23Colorado State v San Diego State76-82 OT
12/03/22Colorado State v San Diego State58-63
05/02/22Colorado State v San Diego State58-57
Colorado Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26AUNLV91-86
14/02/26HWyoming79-68
11/02/26AAir Force91-74
08/02/26HSan Jose State65-57
01/02/26AWyoming57-68
29/01/26ASan Diego State50-73
24/01/26HUtah State61-65
21/01/26HAir Force81-52
17/01/26ABoise State73-79
14/01/26AFresno State69-79
San Diego Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/26HGrand Canyon63-73
15/02/26HNevada71-57
08/02/26AAir Force88-54
04/02/26HWyoming72-63
31/01/26AUtah State66-71
29/01/26HColorado State73-50
24/01/26AUNLV82-71
22/01/26AGrand Canyon69-70
18/01/26HNew Mexico83-79
15/01/26AWyoming74-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %62%67%55%
Points / game76.579.572.5
Allowed / game70.968.074.9
Point differential+5.6+11.5-2.4
Avg total147.5147.5147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%47%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Diego State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %72%80%60%
Points / game79.183.372.9
Allowed / game69.569.170.1
Point differential+9.6+14.2+2.8
Avg total148.6152.3143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %8%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah State2623388%84.368.6+15.7
2 New Mexico2620677%81.569.2+12.3
3 San Diego State2518772%79.169.5+9.6
4 Grand Canyon2617965%75.268.5+6.7
5 Nevada2617965%76.071.8+4.2
6 Colorado State26161062%76.570.9+5.6
7 Boise State27161159%78.674.4+4.3
8 Wyoming26141254%78.073.5+4.5
9 UNLV27141352%79.978.7+1.1
10 Fresno State26121446%74.072.6+1.5
11 San Jose State2772026%70.777.4-6.6
12 Air Force2732411%61.680.1-18.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Colorado State03804583
San Diego State02504974
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