Colorado State will host Portland State on 11 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Colorado State as the clear favourite at 84% because of their undefeated 2-0 record, 81.0 points per game and 70.5 allowed per game, and a 102nd league position that reflects a strong early season performance; Portland State sits at 197th with a 1-1 record, 85.5 points per game and 69.0 allowed per game. Colorado State has won both of its games, scoring 81.0 and allowing 70.5 on the road as well, and has a 2-0 home record with 81.0 points per game and 70.5 allowed; its last five games include three wins and two losses, with a recent 78-67 victory over Idaho at home on 6 November and a 84-74 win over Montana State on 2 November, while Portland State's season shows a 1-1 record, 85.5 points per game and 69.0 allowed, with a 0-1 road record and a 60-79 loss to Seattle on 7 November, and a 111-59 win over Lewis & Clark College at home on 3 November. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 79-68 score, 147.5 total points, a -14.5 home line with a 38% chance the home team covers, a 148.5 total line with a 47% chance of the over, and a 3% overtime probability, ending with Colorado State's 84% win probability.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Colorado State winWon
83.5%fair 1.20
Best odds1.09
Implied91.7%
Edge-8.2pp
Portland State winLost
16.5%fair 6.06
Best odds13.00
Implied8.3%
Edge+8.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 145Actual: Over 145
Over 145
55.7%
@ 1.40-10.3pp
Under 145
44.3%
@ 2.72+10.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Over/Under 150 · main lineActual: Over 150
Over 150
43.2%
@ 1.88-7.4pp
Under 150
56.8%
@ 1.95+7.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.78
Bet365
1.74
Under
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
SBO
1.88
Over/Under 155Actual: Over 155
Over 155
31.5%
@ 2.40-7.3pp
Under 155
68.5%
@ 1.52+7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
📊 3. Team Totals
Colorado State total 77Actual: Colorado State over 77
Over 77
59.5%
Under 77
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Colorado State total 81 · main lineActual: Colorado State over 81
Over 81
42.9%
@ 1.85-7.1pp
Under 81
57.1%
@ 1.85+7.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Colorado State total 85Actual: Colorado State over 85
Over 85
27.5%
Under 85
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portland State total 62Actual: Portland State over 62
Over 62
73.3%
Under 62
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portland State total 66 · main lineActual: Portland State over 66
Over 66
58.3%
@ 1.85+8.3pp
Under 66
41.7%
@ 1.85-8.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Portland State total 70Actual: Portland State over 70
Over 70
42.1%
Under 70
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Colorado State -19.5Actual: Portland State +19.5
COLO -19.5
22.7%
@ 2.62-15.0pp
PORT +19.5
77.3%
@ 1.55+15.0pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
Betano
2.62
Bet365
2.30
PORT
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.42
Spread Colorado State -16.5 · main lineActual: Portland State +16.5
COLO -16.5
31.3%
@ 1.94-18.3pp
PORT +16.5
68.7%
@ 1.91+18.3pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
Pinnacle
1.94
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.85
SBO
1.85
PORT
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Be
1.88
SBO
1.85
Spread Colorado State -13.5Actual: Colorado State -13.5
COLO -13.5
41.3%
@ 1.72-15.8pp
PORT +13.5
58.7%
@ 2.30+15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
COLO
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathon Be
1.63
Bet365
1.55
PORT
Bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
2.23
Betano
2.10
1xBet
2.00
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Colorado StatePortland State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winnerActual: Portland State win
COLO win
no forecast
@ 1.24
PORT win
no forecast
@ 4.10
2nd half Spread Colorado State -6.5 · main lineActual: Portland State +6.5
COLO -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.82
PORT +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
2nd half Over/Under 76.5 · main lineActual: Over 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
Colorado State 2nd half total 42.5 · main lineActual: Colorado State over 42.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Portland State 2nd half total 35.5 · main lineActual: Portland State over 35.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
2nd half Spread Colorado State -7.5Actual: Portland State +7.5
COLO -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.93
PORT +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
2nd half Over/Under 78.5Actual: Over 78.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Colorado State (regulation)
COLO
no forecast
@ 1.27
Draw
no forecast
@ 21.00
PORT
no forecast
@ 4.05
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Portland State +17
70.9%
1.79
Marathon Bet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.75
-
+18.0pp
Won
Portland State +18
73.9%
1.68
Bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
-
-
-
+16.8pp
Won
Portland State +20
79.3%
1.50
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
-
+16.8pp
Won
Portland State +17.5
71.8%
1.71
SBO
1.81
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.64
+16.7pp
Won
Portland State +19
76.7%
1.58
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.58
-
-
-
+16.5pp
Won
Colorado State under 84.5
70.0%
1.65
Pinnacle
1.75
Betano
1.55
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Lost
Portland State +21
81.7%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+16.0pp
Won
Portland State +18.5
74.6%
1.59
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.50
-
-
+15.6pp
Won
Portland State +19.5
77.3%
1.48
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.42
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Won
Portland State +22
83.9%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+15.0pp
Won
Colorado State under 88.5
82.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+14.8pp
Won
Portland State +23
85.9%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+14.5pp
Won
Portland State +20.5
79.8%
1.42
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.36
-
-
-
+14.3pp
Won
Portland State +23.5
86.2%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Portland State +21.5
82.1%
1.35
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
+13.6pp
Won
Colorado State under 86.5
76.6%
1.46
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+13.4pp
Lost
Portland State +22.5
84.3%
1.30
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Portland State +24
87.7%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Won
Colorado State under 85.5
73.4%
1.51
Bet365
1.55
Betano
1.47
-
-
-
+12.7pp
Lost
Portland State +24.5
87.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Won
Colorado State under 90.5
87.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+12.3pp
Won
Colorado State under 87.5
79.6%
1.35
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
+11.9pp
Won
Colorado State under 92.5
90.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+11.3pp
Won
Colorado State under 89.5
84.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+11.0pp
Won
Colorado State under 91.5
89.0%
1.18
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
-
+10.2pp
Won
Colorado State under 93.5
92.3%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+10.0pp
Won
Colorado State under 94.5
93.7%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+9.3pp
Won
Colorado State under 96.5
95.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+8.2pp
Won
Colorado State under 95.5
94.8%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+7.7pp
Won
Colorado State under 98.5
97.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.6pp
Won
Colorado State under 97.5
96.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Colorado State under 100.5
98.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Won
Colorado State under 99.5
97.8%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Won
Under 157
72.8%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
Under 156
70.7%
1.45
Bet365
1.45
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Lost
Under 157.5
73.3%
1.38
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Lost
Under 158
74.8%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Push
Under 158.5
75.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Won
Under 156.5
71.3%
1.40
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.39
-
-
-
+5.3pp
Lost
Portland State over 61.5
74.2%
1.31
Betano
1.31
-
-
-
-
+5.0pp
Won
Under 160.5
78.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Portland State over 51.5
95.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Won
Portland State over 53.5
92.6%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Under 175.5
95.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.2pp
Won
Portland State over 52.5
93.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Under 170.5
91.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Portland State over 59.5
80.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Overtime: no
96.8%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Won
Portland State over 55.5
89.4%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Portland State over 62.5
70.9%
1.33
Bet365
1.34
Betano
1.33
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Under 165.5
86.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Portland State over 54.5
91.1%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.1pp
Won
Portland State over 58.5
82.9%
1.14
Bet365
1.14
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Portland State over 56.5
87.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Under 172.5
93.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Portland State over 60.5
77.3%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Won
Over 122.5
93.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Portland State over 57.5
85.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Won
Under 167.5
88.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Over 127.5
88.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-0.7pp
Won
Portland State under 80.5
88.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Won
Over 125.5
91.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.7pp
Won
Colorado State (regulation)
81.5%
1.07
1xBet
1.10
Betano
1.07
Marathon Bet
1.04
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Under 162.5
82.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-2.8pp
Won
Portland State under 78.5
84.3%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-3.2pp
Won
Over 137.5
72.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Colorado State +3.5
88.7%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-3.5pp
Won
Over 132.5
81.9%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-3.6pp
Won
Portland State under 77.5
82.0%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Portland State under 74.5
73.5%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Portland State under 76.5
79.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-4.4pp
Won
Over 130.5
85.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.6pp
Won
Colorado State over 70.5
81.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-7.2pp
Won
Colorado State over 71.5
78.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.3pp
Won
Colorado State -1.5
81.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-8.0pp
Won
Colorado State win
83.5%
1.05
BetVictor
1.09
Betano
1.06
Pinnacle
1.05
Marathon Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-8.2pp
Won
Over 135.5
76.6%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-8.4pp
Won
Colorado State over 72.5
75.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-9.8pp
Won
Colorado State over 73.5
72.0%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
-10.3pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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