PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Colorado faces Portland on 18 November 2026 in the NCAA, and Pythia rates Colorado the clear favourite, giving it a 99% chance to win because of its 2-1 season record, 81.0 points per game and 70.3 points allowed per game, compared with Portland's 2-2 record, 86.8 points per game and 93.5 points allowed per game. Colorado's season shows a 2-1 record, 81.0 points scored and 70.3 points allowed per game, and it remains 162nd in the league; its home record is also 2-1 with the same averages, and it has won two of its last five games, including a 94-59 victory over Abilene Christian and an 83-75 win over San Diego Toreros. Portland's season totals 2-2, 86.8 points per game and 93.5 points allowed per game, and it is 236th in the league; its road record is 1-0 with 73.0 points scored and 66.0 points allowed, and it has won two of its last five games, notably a 73-66 win over Hawaii. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 98-67 score, a total of 164.7 points, and gives Colorado a 99% probability to win and a 1% probability for Portland; the model sees no chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 81.0 | 70.3 | 151.3 | +10.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (3) | 81.0 | 70.3 | 151.3 | +10.7 | 67% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 80.7 | 80.1 | 160.8 | +0.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 78.4 | 159.4 | +2.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 73.0 | 81.7 | 154.7 | -8.7 | 20% |
| vs Similar (11) | 79.6 | 76.9 | 156.5 | +2.7 | 64% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 89.8 | 68.5 | 158.2 | +21.2 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 87.0 | 93.6 | 180.6 | -6.6 | 40% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.5 | 100.5 | 191.0 | -10.0 | 25% |
| Season away (1) | 73.0 | 66.0 | 139.0 | +7.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.6 | 84.9 | 163.5 | -6.3 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 93.6 | 180.6 | -6.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 70.5 | 77.6 | 148.2 | -7.1 | 35% |
| vs Similar (10) | 73.3 | 78.4 | 151.7 | -5.1 | 40% |
| vs Weaker (1) | 56.0 | 130.0 | 186.0 | -74.0 | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.4 | 37.8 | 73.2 | -2.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (20) | 36.8 | 35.8 | 72.5 | +1.0 | 55% | - |
| Last 30 away (10) | 32.7 | 41.8 | 74.5 | -9.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.1 | 36.7 | 72.8 | -0.6 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.0 | 36.6 | 69.6 | -3.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (15) | 30.7 | 40.3 | 71.0 | -9.5 | 20% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 39.8 | 36.4 | 76.2 | +3.5 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (4) | 41.0 | 32.2 | 73.2 | +8.8 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.0 | 36.6 | 71.5 | -1.6 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 39.7 | 38.1 | 77.8 | +1.6 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 29.6 | 34.9 | 64.4 | -5.3 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.2 | 37.1 | 74.3 | +0.1 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 40.6 | 84.8 | +3.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (17) | 32.5 | 34.2 | 66.7 | -1.6 | 47% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 34.1 | 38.1 | 72.2 | -4.0 | 30% | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | 30.0 | 60.0 | 90.0 | -30.0 | 0% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | San Diego Toreros | 83-75 |
| 07/11/26 | H | San Diego State | 66-77 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Abilene Christian | 94-59 |
| 11/03/26 | H | Oklahoma State | 83-92 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Arizona | 79-89 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Utah Utes | 92-78 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Houston | 62-102 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Kansas State | 79-70 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Oklahoma State | 83-69 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Brigham Young | 86-90 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | East Texas A&M | 88-94 OT |
| 10/11/26 | A | Hawaii | 73-66 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Bethesda | 56-130 |
| 07/11/26 | H | UT Arlington | 85-89 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Willamette | 133-89 |
| 08/03/26 | A | San Francisco | 65-82 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Washington State | 74-68 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Pepperdine | 77-68 |
| 28/02/26 | H | San Diego Toreros | 87-74 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Gonzaga | 48-89 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WLW | 67% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 3 | - |
| Win % | 67% | 67% | - |
| Points / game | 81.0 | 81.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 70.3 | 70.3 | - |
| Point differential | +10.7 | +10.7 | - |
| Avg total | 151.3 | 151.3 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 33% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWL | 40% |
| Home | WLLL | 25% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Win % | 40% | 25% | 100% |
| Points / game | 87.0 | 90.5 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 93.6 | 100.5 | 66.0 |
| Point differential | -6.6 | -10.0 | +7.0 |
| Avg total | 180.6 | 191.0 | 139.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 25% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Baylor | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 59.7 | +35.7 |
| 2 |  West Virginia | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.7 | 53.3 | +32.3 |
| 3 |  Kansas | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 59.7 | +31.3 |
| 4 |  TCU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 95.0 | 67.2 | +27.8 |
| 5 |  Arizona State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 63.2 | +22.2 |
| 6 |  Brigham Young | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 96.5 | 75.8 | +20.8 |
| 7 |  Texas Tech | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 78.7 | 59.3 | +19.3 |
| 8 |  Utah Utes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 61.3 | +11.3 |
| 9 |  UCF Knights | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 77.2 | +8.5 |
| 10 |  Arizona | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 87.2 | 74.0 | +13.2 |
| 11 |  Houston | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 84.7 | 62.3 | +22.3 |
| 12 |  Oklahoma State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.7 | 72.0 | +20.7 |
| 13 |  Iowa State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 61.3 | +19.7 |
| 14 |  Cincinnati | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.7 | 60.0 | +13.7 |
| 15 | Colorado | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 81.0 | 70.3 | +10.7 |
| 16 |  Kansas State | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 83.3 | 76.0 | +7.3 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Oregon State | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.2 | 69.5 | +23.8 |
| 2 |  Santa Clara | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 85.8 | 72.5 | +13.2 |
| 3 |  San Francisco | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 72.7 | 63.3 | +9.3 |
| 4 |  St. Marys (CA) | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 93.5 | 76.5 | +17.0 |
| 5 |  San Diego Toreros | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 84.2 | 75.5 | +8.8 |
| 6 |  Pacific | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 74.7 | 53.7 | +21.0 |
| 7 |  Pepperdine | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 96.0 | 70.0 | +26.0 |
| 8 |  Gonzaga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 90.5 | 73.0 | +17.5 |
| 9 | Portland | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 87.0 | 93.6 | -6.6 |
| 10 |  Seattle | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 73.3 | -3.0 |
| 11 |  Loyola Marymount | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 84.5 | 74.8 | +9.8 |
| 12 |  Washington State | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 67.7 | 77.0 | -9.3 |
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