Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2018

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 78-60

18-17 16-19 23-12 21-12

Position#8

Record3-1

FormLWWWL

Points / game73.0

Allowed / game67.2

Boca Juniors 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#9

Record1-4

FormWLLLL

Points / game73.4

Allowed / game85.2

Liga A

Other2018-19

Meetings · Boca Juniors v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boca Juniors winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boca Juniors Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

79-85

-6

H11/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

77-74

A15/10

Torneo Super 20

Ferro

#11

63-68

-5

A20/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

108-109 OT

108

109

-1

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

73-81

-8

A26/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

77-87

-10

H28/10

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#14

79-56

+23

A08/12

Liga A

Penarol

#16

79-77

H13/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

82-81

H16/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

52-55

-3

H18/12

Liga A

21-12

12-21

20-21

26-31

14-16

13-17

24-22

26-19

21-19

16-16

13-13

13-20

16-20

16-18

19-12

23-24

15-30

12-17

23-17

13-17

21-19

17-21

26-30

20-10

10-8

29-19

20-19

12-21

19-14

25-20

23-22

21-17

15-16

22-30

24-18

10-18

17-8

13-14

12-15

154.2Avg total

76.9Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	73.0	67.2	140.2	+5.8	75%
Season at home (3)	71.0	71.0	142.0	+0.0	67%
Season away (1)	79.0	56.0	135.0	+23.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	76.9	77.3	154.2	-0.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	73.8	71.2	145.0	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	78.3	81.0	159.3	-2.7	36%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	72.6	76.3	148.9	-3.6	45%
vs Weaker (8)	76.1	72.6	148.8	+3.5	62%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

85-91

-6

A11/11

ACB

Barcelona

84-101

101

-17

H18/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

79-85

-6

A24/11

ACB

Argentino

#17

96-85

+11

H06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

61-92

-31

H08/12

Liga A

San Pablo Burgos

#12

80-79

H09/12

ACB

Ferro

65-74

-9

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

81-91

-10

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

78-89

-11

A17/12

Liga A

Ferro

67-86

-19

A19/12

Liga A

21-23

22-25

17-18

25-25

19-26

11-25

25-21

29-29

19-19

16-25

18-20

26-21

22-22

22-30

20-11

32-22

11-21

20-24

7-22

23-25

13-16

22-15

20-23

25-25

17-16

13-15

18-22

17-21

14-19

16-27

26-29

25-16

17-20

26-21

24-27

11-21

20-21

20-18

16-19

11-28

164.9Avg total

77.6Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	73.4	85.2	158.6	-11.8	20%
Season at home (3)	74.0	83.7	157.7	-9.7	33%
Season away (2)	72.5	87.5	160.0	-15.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	77.6	87.3	164.9	-9.7	20%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	83.8	158.0	-9.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	70.6	87.0	157.6	-16.4	14%
vs Similar ◀ (19)	76.9	78.2	155.1	-1.3	42%
vs Weaker (4)	78.8	76.5	155.2	+2.2	50%

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Boca JuniorsEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.8	17.6	35.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.2	16.6	32.8	-0.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	18.9	38.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	16.6	31.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.4	17.2	34.5	+0.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	18.2	37.8	+1.5	73%	-
vs Weaker (8)	15.9	17.5	33.4	-1.6	38%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.2	36.8	-1.6	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	20.3	37.6	-3.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.1	20.6	36.7	-4.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	17.9	18.2	36.2	-0.3	37%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	21.5	40.0	-3.0	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.8	35.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.2	17.3	34.5	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	18.3	35.5	-1.1	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.1	15.4	30.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	13.0	29.4	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	18.3	18.5	36.7	-0.2	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	16.4	19.0	35.4	-2.6	27%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.9	15.1	32.0	+1.8	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	20.3	39.0	-1.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.8	20.9	39.7	-2.2	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.5	41.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.0	22.0	38.0	-6.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	53%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	19.5	39.0	+0.0	25%	-

Boca JuniorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

33-33

H11/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

27-33

-6

A15/10

Torneo Super 20

Ferro

#11

37-35

A20/10

Torneo Super 20

Obras Sanitarias

32-38

-6

A22/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

27-47

-20

A26/10

Torneo Super 20

Hispano Americano

#16

34-36

-2

H28/10

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#14

30-18

+12

A08/12

Liga A

Penarol

#16

31-35

-4

H13/12

Liga A

Quilmes

#20

36-33

H16/12

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#15

27-26

H18/12

Liga A

64.8Avg total

31.4Scored

33.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	35.4	70.4	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	33.4	33.9	67.3	-0.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.8	37.1	73.9	-0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	31.4	33.4	64.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	29.6	61.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.6	35.6	71.3	+0.0	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	32.8	32.6	65.4	+0.1	50%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tecnyconta Zaragoza

43-48

-5

A11/11

ACB

Barcelona

30-51

-21

H18/11

ACB

Gran Canaria

#11

35-44

-9

A24/11

ACB

Argentino

#17

44-52

-8

H06/12

Liga A

San Lorenzo

31-45

-14

H08/12

Liga A

San Pablo Burgos

#12

35-31

H09/12

ACB

Ferro

30-31

-1

H10/12

Liga A

Obradoiro CAB

#15

30-46

-16

A15/12

ACB

Gimnasia

43-41

A17/12

Liga A

Ferro

40-39

A19/12

Liga A

78.9Avg total

36.1Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	39.5	75.8	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	36.2	39.9	76.1	-3.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.4	39.0	75.4	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	42.8	78.9	-6.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.6	37.6	73.2	-2.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	32.1	42.6	74.7	-10.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	37.5	38.0	75.5	-0.5	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	38.0	41.0	79.0	-3.0	0%	-

This opponent (Boca Juniors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.4	39.8	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.3	19.3	38.6	+0.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	21.6	41.2	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.8	42.0	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	21.9	41.4	-2.5	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.9	19.8	41.6	+2.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.7	38.4	-1.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	20.9	39.1	-2.7	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	18.4	37.6	+0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	21.2	40.3	-2.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	24.0	44.8	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	37%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.0	18.5	38.5	+1.5	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	20.1	20.3	40.4	-0.2	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	20.2	41.8	+1.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	23.3	45.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	22.2	40.0	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	25.0	45.4	-4.6	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	20.5	19.5	39.9	+1.0	47%	-
vs Weaker (4)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.1	79.2	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	38.3	76.6	-0.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.0	42.2	82.2	-2.2	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.1	40.4	82.5	+1.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.6	83.8	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	39.5	42.2	81.7	-2.6	45%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	35.5	38.2	73.6	-2.7	18%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	40.0	83.4	+3.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.1	40.2	79.3	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.6	41.9	81.4	-2.3	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	38.2	76.9	+0.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	44.5	86.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	46.2	84.8	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.4	44.4	82.9	-6.0	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (19)	39.1	39.6	78.6	-0.5	42%	-
vs Weaker (4)	40.8	35.5	76.2	+5.2	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Boca Juniorstheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 77.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀52%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 52% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.9	20.2	50.6%	53.8%	40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	8.0	31.6%	32.9%	24.0
🏀 Free throws	17.8	13.0	73.0%	71.7%	13.0

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.5	20.4	53.0%	53.8%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	9.1	37.9%	32.9%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	22.5	17.3	76.9%	71.7%	17.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.8	19.3	50.9%	53.8%	38.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	9.0	32.0%	32.9%	27.0
🏀 Free throws	20.2	15.0	74.4%	71.7%	15.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.6	21.8	52.3%	53.8%	43.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.3	8.3	35.6%	32.9%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.3	74.6%	71.7%	15.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Boca Juniors wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
07/04/18	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	81-80
05/03/18	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	72-82
10/02/17	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	69-74
25/01/17	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-76
07/03/16	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	84-46
22/01/16	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	70-61
06/04/15	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	69-89
09/03/15	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	84-86
10/02/14	Estudiantes v Boca Juniors	62-57
02/02/14	Boca Juniors v Estudiantes	93-57

Boca Juniorslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
18/12/18	H	Hispano Americano	52-55
16/12/18	H	Quilmes	82-81
13/12/18	H	Penarol	79-77
08/12/18	A	Libertad	79-56
28/10/18	H	Hispano Americano	77-87
26/10/18	A	Hispano Americano	73-81
22/10/18	A	Obras Sanitarias	108-109 OT
20/10/18	A	Ferro	63-68
15/10/18	A	Hispano Americano	77-74
11/10/18	H	San Lorenzo	79-85

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
19/12/18	A	Ferro	67-86
17/12/18	A	Gimnasia	78-89
15/12/18	A	Obradoiro CAB	81-91
10/12/18	H	Ferro	65-74
09/12/18	H	San Pablo Burgos	80-79
08/12/18	H	San Lorenzo	61-92
06/12/18	H	Argentino	96-85
24/11/18	A	Gran Canaria	79-85
18/11/18	H	Barcelona	84-101
11/11/18	A	Tecnyconta Zaragoza	85-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boca Juniors

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWL	75%
Home	WWL	67%
Away	W	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	3	1
Win %	75%	67%	100%
Points / game	73.0	71.0	79.0
Allowed / game	67.2	71.0	56.0
Point differential	+5.8	+0.0	+23.0
Avg total	140.2	142.0	135.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	0%	100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	67% (3)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2018-19

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLL	20%
Home	WLL	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	73.4	74.0	72.5
Allowed / game	85.2	83.7	87.5
Point differential	-11.8	-9.7	-15.0
Avg total	158.6	157.7	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	33%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	4	4	0	100%	90.0	72.2	+17.8
2	Instituto de Cordoba	2	2	0	100%	99.5	90.0	+9.5
3	Regatas	5	4	1	80%	88.0	77.6	+10.4
4	La Union	4	3	1	75%	94.5	86.0	+8.5
5	Quimsa	4	3	1	75%	94.8	88.2	+6.5
6	Boca Juniors	4	3	1	75%	73.0	67.2	+5.8
7	Gimnasia	5	3	2	60%	85.2	80.8	+4.4
8	Ferro	5	3	2	60%	81.2	79.2	+2.0
9	San Martin	5	3	2	60%	78.2	80.2	-2.0
10	Olimpico	2	1	1	50%	77.5	71.5	+6.0
11	Comunicaciones Mercedes	4	2	2	50%	85.2	81.0	+4.2
12	Obras Sanitarias	4	2	2	50%	81.8	85.0	-3.2
13	Weber Bahia	2	1	1	50%	72.5	81.5	-9.0
14	Libertad	5	2	3	40%	73.2	76.0	-2.8
15	Hispano Americano	3	1	2	33%	74.0	80.7	-6.7
16	Penarol	4	1	3	25%	88.2	90.0	-1.8
17	Estudiantes	5	1	4	20%	73.4	85.2	-11.8
18	Atenas	3	0	3	0%	78.7	89.7	-11.0
19	Quilmes	4	0	4	0%	80.0	93.5	-13.5
20	Argentino	4	0	4	0%	80.8	95.2	-14.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Boca Juniors	18	16	23	21	78
Estudiantes	17	19	12	12	60

← all games of the day

Boca Juniors vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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