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Coppin State vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 59-93
34-40 25-53
Position#354
Record3-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game65.4
Allowed / game86.4
vs
Position#43
Record6-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Coppin State v UMBC Retrievers
29 Dec 2025
COPP59
UMBC93
30 Nov 2023
COPP89
UMBC70
13 Dec 2020
COPP49
UMBC66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Coppin State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Coppin StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Penn
#576
W
103-62
103
62
+41
H18/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
58-101
58
101
-43
A23/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A26/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A30/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
49-91
49
91
-42
A04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
50-92
50
92
-42
A06/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
65-87
65
87
-22
A10/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
77-107
77
107
-30
A14/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
55-88
55
88
-33
A19/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
67-97
67
97
-30
A22/12
NCAA
1H
2H
54-23
49-39
28-54
30-47
24-37
44-28
39-41
45-54
32-40
17-51
14-55
36-37
26-43
39-44
41-43
36-64
24-36
31-52
25-53
42-44
156.1Avg total
67.6Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)65.486.4151.9-21.019%
Season at home (1)103.062.0165.0+41.0100%
Season away (15)62.988.1151.0-25.113%
Last 10 (10)67.688.5156.1-20.920%
Last 5 (5)62.894.2157.0-31.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)64.885.0149.8-20.212%
vs Similar (3)63.064.7127.7-1.767%
vs Weaker (2)95.562.0157.5+33.5100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
60-63
60
63
-3
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
69-94
69
94
-25
A21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-34
36-45
28-32
32-28
17-47
35-42
48-29
54-23
34-22
37-35
37-45
44-45
25-26
48-40
43-39
36-44
30-36
30-27
29-45
40-49
148.2Avg total
73.9Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.772.8146.4+0.950%
Season at home (6)76.263.0139.2+13.267%
Season away (6)71.282.5153.7-11.333%
Last 10 (10)73.974.3148.2-0.450%
Last 5 (5)72.479.2151.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (11)73.482.5155.8-9.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)78.873.1151.9+5.854%
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.8-11.81st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -9.1-9.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
-15-7+0+7+151st half1st half: -11.8-11.81st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: -9.1-9.12nd half: +1.4+1.4
Coppin StateUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Coppin StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Penn
#576
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H18/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A23/11
NCAA
Rider
#367
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A26/11
NCAA
Loyola Maryland
#314
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A30/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
14-55
14
55
-41
A06/12
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
26-43
26
43
-17
A10/12
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A14/12
NCAA
Navy
#24
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A19/12
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
25-53
25
53
-28
A22/12
NCAA
73.2Avg total
30.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.240.070.2-9.720%-
Last 30 at home (7)32.733.165.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (23)29.542.071.5-12.613%-
Last 10 (10)30.742.573.2-11.810%-
Last 5 (5)26.046.072.0-20.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)29.142.071.0-12.912%-
vs Similar (3)26.032.058.0-6.033%-
vs Weaker (2)51.027.078.0+24.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Army
#318
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H12/12
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A21/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
33.6Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.638.473.9-2.833%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.173.9-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)34.539.473.9-4.925%-
Last 10 (10)33.635.569.1-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.271.0-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (11)32.039.171.1-7.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)37.436.073.4+1.446%-
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Coppin State wins
4
UMBC Retrievers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25AGeorgetown67-97
19/12/25ANavy55-88
14/12/25ARadford77-107
10/12/25ASaint Josephs Hawks65-87
06/12/25ALiberty50-92
04/12/25AWest Virginia49-91
30/11/25ALoyola Maryland84-95
26/11/25ARider68-65
23/11/25AVCU Rams58-101
18/11/25HCentral Penn103-62
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ASouth Florida69-94
12/12/25HArmy60-63
09/12/25HBuffalo79-83
06/12/25ABucknell73-66
04/12/25AGeorgetown81-90
29/11/25HDelaware State71-57
24/11/25HNotre Dame MD102-52
20/11/25AGeorge Washington52-89
16/11/25HWagner71-70 OT
11/11/25AMorgan State81-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Coppin State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL19%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %19%100%13%
Points / game65.4103.062.9
Allowed / game86.462.088.1
Point differential-21.0+41.0-25.1
Avg total151.9165.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%100%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.776.271.2
Allowed / game72.863.082.5
Point differential+0.9+13.2-11.3
Avg total146.4139.2153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Howard149564%75.670.7+4.9
2 Norfolk State1661038%74.973.4+1.5
3 Delaware State145936%61.971.8-9.9
4 N. Carolina Central1541127%72.378.5-6.3
5 Md.-East. Shore1741324%63.473.9-10.5
6 Coppin State1631319%65.486.4-21.0
7 Morgan State1321115%69.084.0-15.0
8 South Carolina St141137%65.986.5-20.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Vermont148657%78.174.2+3.9
2 UMBC Retrievers126650%73.772.8+0.9
3 NJIT145936%64.677.9-13.4
4 UMass Lowell1551033%76.980.5-3.5
5 Bryant University1441029%64.672.1-7.4
6 Binghamton1541127%68.776.7-8.0
7 Maine Black Bears141137%58.470.6-12.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Coppin State342559
UMBC Retrievers405393
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