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UMBC Retrievers vs Army Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 60-63
30-36 30-27
Position#43
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game71.6
vs
Army 🏆
USA
Position#318
Record4-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game77.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Army winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State-York
#423
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
L
79-83
79
83
-4
H09/12
NCAA
1H
2H
39-25
35-28
37-41
34-36
45-34
36-45
28-32
32-28
17-47
35-42
48-29
54-23
34-22
37-35
37-45
44-45
25-26
48-40
43-39
36-44
147.1Avg total
75.5Scored
71.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.571.6147.1+3.960%
Season at home (5)79.463.0142.4+16.480%
Season away (5)71.680.2151.8-8.640%
Last 10 (10)75.571.6147.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)81.269.6150.8+11.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (12)74.481.7156.1-7.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)80.473.9154.3+6.558%
This opponent (Army) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A09/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
59-114
59
114
-55
H12/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
52-75
52
75
-23
H15/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A19/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A22/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
67-84
67
84
-17
H25/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A26/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H29/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H02/12
NCAA
Gallaudet Univ.
#679
W
111-53
111
53
+58
H07/12
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
47-39
30-49
29-65
31-36
21-39
28-39
45-47
22-28
43-48
36-46
31-38
33-27
48-46
33-30
33-36
37-45
33-39
46-27
65-26
154.1Avg total
73.5Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.577.7151.2-4.336%
Season at home (7)73.376.7150.0-3.443%
Season away (4)73.879.5153.2-5.825%
Last 10 (10)73.580.6154.1-7.130%
Last 5 (5)82.074.4156.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)65.886.3152.2-20.50%
vs Similar (22)69.874.1144.0-4.355%
vs Weaker (1)73.049.0122.0+24.0100%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: -2.8-2.8
UMBC RetrieversArmy
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Penn State-York
#423
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H29/11
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#339
L
25-26
25
26
-1
A06/12
NCAA
Buffalo
#180
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H09/12
NCAA
69.3Avg total
35.3Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.774.8-2.733%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.337.274.5+0.146%-
Last 30 away (17)35.139.974.9-4.824%-
Last 10 (10)35.334.069.3+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.269.6+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (12)33.039.872.8-6.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.036.074.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Army) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ArmyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A09/11
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H12/11
NCAA
Harvard
#133
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H15/11
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A19/11
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A22/11
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H25/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A26/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#296
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H29/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H02/12
NCAA
Gallaudet Univ.
#679
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H07/12
NCAA
69.6Avg total
32.5Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.867.9-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.434.771.1+1.750%-
Last 30 away (14)29.434.964.2-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)32.537.169.6-4.630%-
Last 5 (5)37.035.072.0+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)29.540.269.7-10.70%-
vs Similar (22)33.434.067.4-0.650%-
vs Weaker (1)36.027.063.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
0
Army wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HBuffalo79-83
06/12/25ABucknell73-66
04/12/25AGeorgetown81-90
29/11/25HDelaware State71-57
24/11/25HNotre Dame MD102-52
20/11/25AGeorge Washington52-89
16/11/25HWagner71-70 OT
11/11/25AMorgan State81-79
08/11/25ADayton71-77
04/11/25HPenn State-York74-53
Armylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25HGallaudet Univ.111-53
02/12/25HGeorge Washington70-84
29/11/25HManhattan81-78 OT
26/11/25AFairleigh Dickinson81-73
25/11/25HEast Texas A&M67-84
22/11/25AMarist65-76
19/11/25ACornell73-86
15/11/25HHarvard52-75
12/11/25HDuke59-114
09/11/25ASt. Thomas (Minn.)76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL60%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game75.579.471.6
Allowed / game71.663.080.2
Point differential+3.9+16.4-8.6
Avg total147.1142.4151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Army
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW36%
HomeLLWLW43%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1174
Win %36%43%25%
Points / game73.573.373.8
Allowed / game77.776.779.5
Point differential-4.3-3.4-5.8
Avg total151.2150.0153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers106460%75.571.6+3.9
2 Vermont116555%78.775.3+3.5
3 UMass Lowell114736%78.079.3-1.3
4 NJIT114736%64.478.6-14.3
5 Binghamton103730%65.472.6-7.2
6 Bryant University113827%62.670.5-7.8
7 Maine Black Bears121118%59.870.3-10.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Patriot League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 American University117464%81.670.5+11.2
2 Colgate116555%77.572.1+5.4
3 Navy116555%72.069.2+2.8
4 Holy Cross125742%66.972.9-6.0
5 Boston University114736%74.475.5-1.2
6 Army114736%73.577.7-4.3
7 Loyola Maryland113827%74.776.9-2.2
8 Lehigh113827%69.974.1-4.2
9 Lafayette113827%69.574.9-5.4
10 Bucknell123925%66.176.8-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
UMBC Retrievers303060
Army362763
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