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Georgetown vs UMBC Retrievers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 90-81
45-37 45-44
Position#225
Record5-2
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Position#43
Record5-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game68.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Georgetown v UMBC Retrievers
03 Dec 2025
GEOR90
UMBC81
02 Dec 2024
GEOR86
UMBC62
26 Nov 2022
GEOR79
UMBC70
08 Dec 2021
GEOR100
UMBC71
25 Nov 2020
GEOR70
UMBC62
17 Dec 2019
GEOR81
UMBC55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Georgetown winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMBC Retrievers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GeorgetownUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H05/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H03/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A07/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H15/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
79-84 OT
79
84
-5
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
65-78
65
78
-13
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-29
46-44
34-38
43-45
40-38
27-33
42-34
45-36
32-27
38-33
41-36
42-34
33-36
46-38
44-27
48-48
31-40
38-29
20-41
45-37
151.2Avg total
77.4Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)79.373.0152.3+6.371%
Season at home (5)81.273.4154.6+7.880%
Season away (2)74.572.0146.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)77.473.8151.2+3.660%
Last 5 (5)79.676.2155.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)63.674.0137.6-10.412%
vs Similar (13)77.373.5150.8+3.862%
vs Weaker (9)71.665.2136.8+6.367%
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H27/02
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#423
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
81-79
81
79
+2
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
71-70 OT
71
70
+1
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
52-89
52
89
-37
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
102-52
102
52
+50
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
71-57
71
57
+14
H29/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-43
38-35
39-41
30-38
31-41
43-44
39-25
35-28
37-41
34-36
45-34
36-45
28-32
32-28
17-47
35-42
48-29
54-23
34-22
37-35
145.8Avg total
73.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)74.668.1142.7+6.471%
Season at home (4)79.558.0137.5+21.5100%
Season away (3)68.081.7149.7-13.733%
Last 10 (10)73.971.9145.8+2.050%
Last 5 (5)75.469.4144.8+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)77.087.8164.8-10.80%
vs Similar (14)74.281.2155.4-7.036%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)83.570.5154.0+13.070%
This opponent (Georgetown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +4.1+4.12nd half: +2.0+2.0
GeorgetownUMBC Retrievers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
GeorgetownLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Villanova
#138
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H05/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A08/03
NCAA
DePaul
#269
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H12/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Maryland
#305
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A07/11
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H12/11
NCAA
Clemson
#56
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H15/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A28/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#38
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H29/11
NCAA
69.2Avg total
34.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.634.468.0-0.843%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.533.967.5-0.453%-
Last 30 away (13)33.835.068.8-1.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.669.2+0.050%-
Last 5 (5)33.836.069.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)29.637.066.6-7.425%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.069.2+1.238%-
vs Weaker (9)35.032.767.7+2.367%-
This opponent (UMBC Retrievers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMBC RetrieversLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Albany Great Danes
#197
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Vermont
#97
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H01/03
NCAA
Bryant University
#81
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/03
NCAA
Penn State-York
#423
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H04/11
NCAA
Dayton
#65
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/11
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A11/11
NCAA
Wagner
#249
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H16/11
NCAA
George Washington
#160
L
17-47
17
47
-30
A20/11
NCAA
Notre Dame MD
#558
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H24/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H29/11
NCAA
70.9Avg total
35.4Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.174.8-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.836.374.2+1.546%-
Last 30 away (17)35.739.575.2-3.829%-
Last 10 (10)35.435.570.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)34.432.867.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.045.683.6-7.60%-
vs Similar (14)33.538.772.2-5.229%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)40.134.975.0+5.260%-
This opponent (Georgetown) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Georgetown wins
0
UMBC Retrievers wins
Georgetownlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HMiami (FL)65-78
28/11/25ADayton79-84 OT
22/11/25HWagner92-75
15/11/25HClemson79-74
12/11/25HBinghamton83-70
07/11/25AMaryland70-60
03/11/25HMorgan State87-70
12/03/25HDePaul67-71
08/03/25ADePaul77-83
05/03/25HVillanova75-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/25HDelaware State71-57
24/11/25HNotre Dame MD102-52
20/11/25AGeorge Washington52-89
16/11/25HWagner71-70 OT
11/11/25AMorgan State81-79
08/11/25ADayton71-77
04/11/25HPenn State-York74-53
08/03/25ABryant University74-85
01/03/25HVermont69-79
27/02/25HAlbany Great Danes74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Georgetown
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL71%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%80%50%
Points / game79.381.274.5
Allowed / game73.073.472.0
Point differential+6.3+7.8+2.5
Avg total152.3154.6146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%50%
UMBC Retrievers
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game74.679.568.0
Allowed / game68.158.081.7
Point differential+6.4+21.5-13.7
Avg total142.7137.5149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Seton Hall98189%75.961.3+14.6
2 Uconn87188%79.860.6+19.1
3 Butler87188%90.071.6+18.4
4 Villanova76186%82.066.9+15.1
5 Georgetown75271%79.373.0+6.3
6 Xavier96367%78.772.8+5.9
7 DePaul85362%77.870.9+6.9
8 Creighton85362%77.571.5+6.0
9 St. John's (N.Y.)74357%92.376.4+15.9
10 Marquette95456%81.474.2+7.2
11 Providence95456%90.483.7+6.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMBC Retrievers75271%74.668.1+6.4
2 Vermont95456%82.676.9+5.7
3 UMass Lowell93633%75.179.9-4.8
4 Binghamton93633%65.772.0-6.3
5 Bryant University93633%63.370.1-6.8
6 NJIT93633%62.979.1-16.2
7 Maine Black Bears100100%58.869.2-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Georgetown454590
UMBC Retrievers374481
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