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Crailsheim Merlins vs Vechta Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 102-93
21-26 25-24 25-17 31-26
Position#17
Record5-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game92.5
vs
Position#6
Record17-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game81.7
GermanyBBLRound 27· Arena Hohenlohe
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Vechta
06 Apr 2024
CME102
VEC93
24 Apr 2021
CME98
VEC81
16 Jun 2020
CME66
VEC95
23 Nov 2019
CME101
VEC88
02 Nov 2018
CME68
VEC70
04 May 2018
CME87
VEC103
11 Nov 2017
CME77
VEC73
23 Mar 2013
CME78
VEC91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vechta winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 67
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 67
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 67
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
89-100
89
100
-11
77avg 67
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 67
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
80-86
80
86
-6
76avg 67
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
82-97
82
97
-15
76avg 67
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
93-98
93
98
-5
89avg 67
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
74avg 67
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 67
A30/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-14
25-22
12-25
11-19
27-21
11-31
17-17
26-29
25-18
22-26
20-16
29-25
22-28
22-24
23-23
22-25
15-22
12-26
13-25
18-7
23-28
18-17
21-15
18-26
14-20
25-22
19-26
24-29
21-26
20-34
26-24
26-14
26-19
19-21
8-10
27-26
24-24
20-31
20-22
22-13
170.5Avg total
81.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)79.692.5172.1-12.919%
Season at home (12)80.989.2170.1-8.233%
Season away (14)78.595.4173.9-16.97%
Last 10 (10)81.589.0170.5-7.520%
Last 5 (5)84.289.4173.6-5.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)76.894.0170.7-17.210%
vs Similar (9)87.786.7174.3+1.056%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VechtaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVechta
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
74-77
74
77
-3
61avg 79
A21/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
W
79-71
79
71
+8
77avg 79
H28/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
109-87
109
87
+22
49avg 79
H04/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
89-98
89
98
-9
76avg 79
H11/02
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
92-77
92
77
+15
85avg 79
A14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
72-86
72
86
-14
57avg 79
H02/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
90-88 OT
90
88
+2
no box
A10/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
86-81
86
81
+5
77avg 79
H18/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
92-79
92
79
+13
90avg 79
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
77-80
77
80
-3
68avg 79
A30/03
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
17-15
25-14
16-24
22-23
18-18
20-13
19-17
36-22
15-28
25-22
33-15
21-25
20-18
24-23
24-32
21-20
24-25
25-17
22-15
19-19
27-21
19-18
7-28
21-24
19-32
18-14
22-10
27-24
16-24
19-20
24-13
22-15
22-27
28-17
20-20
15-17
23-24
22-26
17-13
168.4Avg total
86.0Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)89.181.7170.8+7.465%
Season at home (13)89.480.6170.0+8.869%
Season away (13)88.882.8171.6+6.162%
Last 10 (10)86.082.4168.4+3.660%
Last 5 (5)83.482.8166.2+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.586.5172.0-1.050%
vs Similar (13)82.283.8166.0-1.738%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)95.278.1173.3+17.292%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Crailsheim MerlinsVechta
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A14/02
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A01/03
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/03
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
41-60
41
60
-19
A16/03
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H23/03
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A30/03
BBL
88.7Avg total
41.3Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.785.5-5.927%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.142.783.8-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)38.748.387.0-9.619%-
Last 10 (10)41.347.488.7-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.048.490.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.046.585.4-7.520%-
vs Similar (9)42.244.486.7-2.244%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A21/01
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H28/01
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H04/02
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H11/02
BBL
Rostock
#15
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A14/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H02/03
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-56
40
56
-16
A10/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H18/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A25/03
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A30/03
BBL
86.6Avg total
42.1Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.742.484.1-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.141.283.3+0.847%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.985.1-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.586.6-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.548.087.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)40.341.782.0-1.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.542.586.1+1.054%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.6
49.2%
54.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.8
35.5%
35.4%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.216.3
84.9%
76.0%16.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vechta: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.5
55.1%
54.6%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.712.2
41.1%
35.4%36.6
🏀 Free throws15.511.9
76.8%
76.0%11.9
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
LWLLLLLWLL
Vechta
LWWWLWLWWL
#17
League position
#6
-9.4
Net rating
+9.6
104.2
Offensive rating
117.9
113.6
Defensive rating
108.3
50.9%
Effective FG%
58.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
20.0%
Turnover %
19.8%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
36.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.5%
3-point %
41.1%
54.0%
Assist %
55.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 117.9Defence113.6 · 108.3Shooting50.9% · 58.1%3-point %35.5% · 41.1%Ball care20.0% · 19.8%Off. rebounds26.4% · 36.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Vechta
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crailsheim Merlins wins
6
Vechta wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24AHeidelberg86-90
23/03/24HGottingen80-76
16/03/24ASyntainics MBC93-98
09/03/24HChemnitz82-97
01/03/24AWurzburg80-86
14/02/24AOldenburg58-80
10/02/24HLudwigsburg89-100
02/02/24ATubingen96-85
28/01/24ABayern81-98
20/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-80
Vechtalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/24ABonn77-80
25/03/24ABasketball Braunschweig92-79
18/03/24HUlm86-81
10/03/24ABayern90-88 OT
02/03/24HLudwigsburg72-86
14/02/24ARostock92-77
11/02/24HAlba Berlin89-98
04/02/24HHeidelberg109-87
28/01/24HHamburg79-71
21/01/24ALudwigsburg74-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeWLLLW33%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %19%33%7%
Points / game79.680.978.5
Allowed / game92.589.295.4
Point differential-12.9-8.2-16.9
Avg total172.1170.1173.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)60% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Vechta
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL65%
HomeWWLLW69%
AwayLWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %65%69%62%
Points / game89.189.488.8
Allowed / game81.780.682.8
Point differential+7.4+8.8+6.1
Avg total170.8170.0171.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%31%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)60% (5)50% (6)
Overtime %15%15%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2521484%89.577.6+11.9
2 Chemnitz2621581%88.778.2+10.5
3 Alba Berlin2318578%92.082.0+10.0
4 Wurzburg2619773%86.678.8+7.8
5 Ulm2718967%91.686.5+5.1
6 Vechta2617965%89.181.7+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg26161062%88.381.3+7.0
8 Bonn26161062%90.285.7+4.5
9 Hamburg25131252%86.086.8-0.9
10 Oldenburg27131448%84.884.6+0.1
11 Basketball Braunschweig26111542%83.385.6-2.3
12 Bamberg27111641%88.191.0-2.9
13 Gottingen2681831%86.894.6-7.8
14 Syntainics MBC2781930%86.092.9-6.9
15 Rostock2671927%89.193.5-4.5
16 Heidelberg2662023%83.095.0-12.1
17 Tubingen2762122%84.496.4-12.0
18 Crailsheim Merlins2652119%79.692.5-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins21252531102
Vechta2624172693
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