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Wurzburg vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-80
28-23 17-18 15-21 26-18
Position#4
Record14-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game79.4
Wurzburg 🏆
Germany
vs
Crailsheim Merlins
Germany
Position#17
Record4-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game93.2
GermanyBBLRound 22· Tectake Arena
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Wurzburg v Crailsheim Merlins
01 Mar 2024
WUR86
CME80
26 Dec 2022
WUR87
CME78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wurzburg winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

WurzburgGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWurzburg
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
98-96
98
96
+2
80avg 66
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
83-78
83
78
+5
20avg 66
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
83-78
83
78
+5
76avg 66
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
no box
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
82-90
82
90
-8
69avg 66
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
91-78
91
78
+13
85avg 66
A20/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 66
H28/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
89-100
89
100
-11
34avg 66
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
104-65
104
65
+39
101avg 66
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
94-91
94
91
+3
82avg 66
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
19-25
21-32
30-20
23-13
5-22
27-28
28-15
14-17
19-14
26-18
24-29
19-19
19-22
24-24
25-22
17-17
20-25
14-22
31-26
23-13
23-27
22-14
23-24
14-19
23-20
22-15
17-21
20-23
20-24
23-25
26-28
32-14
25-21
23-14
24-16
24-24
16-24
28-21
26-22
175.9Avg total
90.7Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)85.779.4165.1+6.270%
Season at home (9)82.475.9158.3+6.667%
Season away (11)88.382.3170.5+6.073%
Last 10 (10)90.785.2175.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)90.881.8172.6+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.276.4137.6-15.20%
vs Similar (14)80.182.1162.3-2.043%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.977.8169.7+14.190%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 67
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 67
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 67
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 67
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
59-106
59
106
-47
15avg 67
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 67
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
81-98
81
98
-17
72avg 67
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 67
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
89-100
89
100
-11
77avg 67
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
58-80
58
80
-22
43avg 67
A14/02
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
16-29
26-16
19-14
23-30
18-21
20-12
31-15
18-28
11-34
11-21
22-24
15-27
22-14
25-22
12-25
11-19
27-21
11-31
17-17
26-29
25-18
22-26
20-16
29-25
22-28
22-24
23-23
22-25
15-22
12-26
13-25
18-7
169.4Avg total
78.7Scored
90.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.593.2171.8-14.719%
Season at home (10)80.989.7170.6-8.830%
Season away (11)76.496.5172.8-20.19%
Last 10 (10)78.790.7169.4-12.020%
Last 5 (5)78.888.6167.4-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.793.7169.4-17.95%
vs Similar (9)84.683.9168.4+0.756%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: -3.8-3.8
WurzburgCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
WurzburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A23/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A27/12
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H29/12
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A08/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A14/01
BBL
Rostock
#15
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A20/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H28/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A04/02
BBL
Bamberg
#11
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H09/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A14/02
BBL
80.5Avg total
40.3Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.477.8-1.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.438.377.7+1.143%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.477.8-3.131%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.280.5+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)44.041.885.8+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)30.239.069.2-8.820%-
vs Similar (14)38.240.678.9-2.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.738.179.8+3.660%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H20/01
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A28/01
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A02/02
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H10/02
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A14/02
BBL
84.9Avg total
38.9Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.943.982.8-5.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.541.682.1-1.140%-
Last 30 away (15)37.346.183.5-8.820%-
Last 10 (10)38.946.084.9-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)40.646.487.0-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)38.045.883.8-7.821%-
vs Similar (9)41.639.981.4+1.756%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Wurzburg) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Wurzburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Wurzburg: 89.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.6
52.0%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.112.4
39.9%
35.4%37.2
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
76.0%15.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.3
54.0%
54.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.6
28.8%
35.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws22.618.7
82.7%
76.0%18.7
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Wurzburg
WWLWWLWWWW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLLLWLLL
#4
League position
#17
+8.7
Net rating
-15.0
122.5
Offensive rating
101.2
113.8
Defensive rating
116.2
55.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
11.8%
Turnover %
21.6%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
28.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.37
39.9%
3-point %
28.8%
47.7%
Assist %
54.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence122.5 · 101.2Defence113.8 · 116.2Shooting55.6% · 49.3%3-point %39.9% · 28.8%Ball care11.8% · 21.6%Off. rebounds32.5% · 28.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Wurzburg   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Wurzburg wins
0
Crailsheim Merlins wins
DateGameScore
23/12/23Crailsheim Merlins v Wurzburg96-98
15/04/23Crailsheim Merlins v Wurzburg85-86
26/12/22Wurzburg v Crailsheim Merlins87-78
Wurzburglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24ALudwigsburg94-91
09/02/24HBamberg104-65
04/02/24ABasketball Braunschweig89-100
28/01/24HAlba Berlin76-75
20/01/24ARostock91-78
14/01/24AAlba Berlin82-90
08/01/24ATubingen107-101 OT
29/12/23HOldenburg83-78
27/12/23ABamberg83-78
23/12/23ACrailsheim Merlins98-96
Crailsheim Merlinslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24AOldenburg58-80
10/02/24HLudwigsburg89-100
02/02/24ATubingen96-85
28/01/24ABayern81-98
20/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-80
13/01/24ALudwigsburg59-106
06/01/24HSyntainics MBC87-76
30/12/23HHamburg84-89
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Wurzburg
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLWLW73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %70%67%73%
Points / game85.782.488.3
Allowed / game79.475.982.3
Point differential+6.2+6.6+6.0
Avg total165.1158.3170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (4)100% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL19%
HomeLLWLL30%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%30%9%
Points / game78.580.976.4
Allowed / game93.289.796.5
Point differential-14.7-8.8-20.1
Avg total171.8170.6172.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern2017385%90.176.8+13.2
2 Chemnitz2117481%87.176.4+10.7
3 Alba Berlin1813572%93.185.1+7.9
4 Wurzburg2014670%85.779.4+6.2
5 Vechta2114767%90.581.4+9.0
6 Ulm2114767%92.088.5+3.5
7 Bonn2214864%90.885.6+5.1
8 Ludwigsburg2113862%89.580.8+8.8
9 Hamburg2011955%87.088.2-1.1
10 Basketball Braunschweig22111150%84.686.0-1.4
11 Oldenburg21101148%84.284.5-0.3
12 Bamberg2181338%87.590.1-2.6
13 Rostock2061430%90.394.5-4.2
14 Gottingen2061430%90.198.1-8.0
15 Syntainics MBC2161529%84.991.1-6.2
16 Tubingen2151624%86.296.6-10.4
17 Crailsheim Merlins2141719%78.593.2-14.7
18 Heidelberg2131814%81.996.1-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Wurzburg2817152686
Crailsheim Merlins2318211880
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