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Vechta vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 96-58
18-16 24-20 25-12 29-10
Position#6
Record4-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game83.8
Vechta 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#17
Record1-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game97.8
GermanyBBLRound 7· RASTA Dome
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Vechta v Crailsheim Merlins
11 Nov 2023
VEC96
CME58
27 Dec 2020
VEC81
CME98
02 May 2020
VEC v CME
upcoming
30 Apr 2019
VEC95
CME92
06 May 2018
VEC62
CME71
20 Jan 2018
VEC86
CME78
09 Dec 2012
VEC97
CME88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vechta winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VechtaGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVechta
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
L
78-78
78
78
+0
no box
A02/06
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
73-66
73
66
+7
no box
H04/06
Pro A
Rostock
#20
W
84-76
84
76
+8
75avg 78
H23/09
German Cup
Bamberg
#11
W
101-79
101
79
+22
84avg 78
H28/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
W
84-79
84
79
+5
78avg 78
H01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
103-72
103
72
+31
97avg 78
H07/10
BBL
Gottingen
#15
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
no box
H12/10
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
80-98
80
98
-18
70avg 78
A22/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
no box
H28/10
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
81-85
81
85
-4
67avg 78
A03/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
17-28
16-10
19-14
15-19
22-12
14-12
22-23
24-20
18-19
21-15
21-22
22-25
24-23
37-10
18-21
28-25
15-18
24-19
17-17
32-20
23-22
25-16
23-14
16-16
23-26
21-16
25-27
27-22
17-32
18-22
18-22
25-21
13-16
21-19
20-23
14-23
24-20
17-16
26-26
170.4Avg total
88.2Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.083.8174.8+7.267%
Season at home (4)96.280.0176.2+16.2100%
Season away (2)80.591.5172.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)88.282.2170.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)92.488.8181.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)76.680.0156.6-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.679.6170.1+11.074%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
101-92
101
92
+9
99avg 75
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
W
84-83
84
83
+1
79avg 75
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
L
69-79
69
79
-10
64avg 75
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
73-79
73
79
-6
64avg 75
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
85-81
85
81
+4
79avg 75
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
75-110
75
110
-35
61avg 75
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
L
104-110 OT
104
110
-6
no box
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
62-97
62
97
-35
48avg 75
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
68-90
68
90
-22
59avg 75
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
63-99
63
99
-36
53avg 75
H04/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
29-18
26-28
20-28
17-23
27-24
18-20
22-16
20-17
19-17
12-28
18-17
17-26
18-16
14-20
24-17
19-23
20-12
25-23
21-23
14-30
26-29
18-30
17-21
17-26
27-13
21-21
25-30
17-29
15-25
15-11
15-32
25-18
14-29
11-20
18-23
14-15
20-25
15-33
14-26
170.4Avg total
78.4Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.297.8174.0-21.717%
Season at home (3)70.092.3162.3-22.333%
Season away (3)82.3103.3185.7-21.00%
Last 10 (10)78.492.0170.4-13.630%
Last 5 (5)74.4101.2175.6-26.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)80.792.3173.1-11.620%
vs Similar (13)82.586.5169.0-3.931%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -3.9-3.9Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q3: -5.9-5.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
VechtaCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VechtaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tubingen
#2
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/06
Pro A
Tubingen
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/06
Pro A
Rostock
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H23/09
German Cup
Bamberg
#11
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H28/09
BBL
Bonn
#7
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H01/10
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
55-42
55
42
+13
H07/10
BBL
Gottingen
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H12/10
German Cup
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A22/10
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H28/10
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A03/11
BBL
85.8Avg total
42.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.282.8+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.837.681.4+6.159%-
Last 30 away (13)41.243.584.7-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.385.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)42.843.686.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)39.646.285.8-6.620%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.538.882.3+4.757%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#9
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H29/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#17
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H05/05
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A07/05
BBL
Giessen
#13
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A23/09
German Cup
Rostock
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H29/09
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/10
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A07/10
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
32-54
32
54
-22
H22/10
BBL
Bonn
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A29/10
BBL
Oldenburg
#8
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H04/11
BBL
83.4Avg total
40.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.483.7-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.741.582.2-0.747%-
Last 30 away (15)39.945.385.1-5.427%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.383.4-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)37.847.885.6-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.544.683.1-6.127%-
vs Similar (13)43.242.085.2+1.254%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Vechta) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Vechtatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vechta: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.619.0
49.2%
54.6%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.211.9
40.8%
35.4%35.7
🏀 Free throws16.113.1
81.4%
76.0%13.1
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.1
51.0%
54.6%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.48.3
35.5%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.212.5
68.7%
76.0%12.5
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Vechta
LWLWWWWWWL
Crailsheim Merlins
LLLLLWLLWW
#6
League position
#17
+8.6
Net rating
-19.0
116.4
Offensive rating
98.0
107.9
Defensive rating
117.1
54.4%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
16.6%
Turnover %
22.8%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
26.7%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
40.8%
3-point %
35.5%
58.6%
Assist %
55.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.4 · 98.0Defence107.9 · 117.1Shooting54.4% · 51.9%3-point %40.8% · 35.5%Ball care16.6% · 22.8%Off. rebounds33.5% · 26.7%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 30%
■ Vechta   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Vechta wins
5
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Vechtalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23AHamburg81-85
28/10/23HBasketball Braunschweig97-90 OT
22/10/23AAlba Berlin80-98
12/10/23HGottingen101-99 OT
07/10/23HTubingen103-72
01/10/23HBonn84-79
28/09/23HBamberg101-79
23/09/23HRostock84-76
04/06/23HTubingen73-66
02/06/23ATubingen78-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/11/23HOldenburg63-99
29/10/23ABonn68-90
22/10/23HBayern62-97
07/10/23AGottingen104-110 OT
02/10/23AAlba Berlin75-110
29/09/23HRostock85-81
23/09/23AGiessen73-79
07/05/23ASyntainics MBC69-79
05/05/23HFrankfurt84-83
29/04/23HBamberg101-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Vechta
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game91.096.280.5
Allowed / game83.880.091.5
Point differential+7.2+16.2-11.0
Avg total174.8176.2172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %17%25%0%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %17%33%0%
Points / game76.270.082.3
Allowed / game97.892.3103.3
Point differential-21.7-22.3-21.0
Avg total174.0162.3185.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ulm76186%93.787.9+5.9
2 Alba Berlin65183%99.582.3+17.2
3 Chemnitz65183%83.574.3+9.2
4 Oldenburg75271%90.682.0+8.6
5 Bayern64267%86.375.3+11.0
6 Vechta64267%91.083.8+7.2
7 Ludwigsburg53260%87.677.0+10.6
8 Hamburg74357%85.489.0-3.6
9 Bonn63350%87.284.0+3.2
10 Basketball Braunschweig63350%84.385.2-0.8
11 Wurzburg52340%72.873.8-1.0
12 Bamberg52340%88.895.6-6.8
13 Rostock62433%93.798.0-4.3
14 Syntainics MBC72529%83.189.0-5.9
15 Gottingen51420%91.4103.0-11.6
16 Heidelberg61517%89.097.5-8.5
17 Tubingen61517%85.396.2-10.8
18 Crailsheim Merlins61517%76.297.8-21.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Vechta1824252996
Crailsheim Merlins1620121058
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