PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Crailsheim Merlins Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:30
Final 98-81
21-27 31-11 17-17 29-26
Position#1
Record12-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game76.2
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#17
Record3-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game93.8
GermanyBBLRound 18· BMW Park
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Bayern v Crailsheim Merlins
28 Jan 2024
BAY98
CME81
30 Oct 2022
BAY88
CME77
27 Mar 2022
BAY93
CME64
21 May 2021
BAY83
CME79
19 May 2021
BAY86
CME66
31 Jan 2021
BAY103
CME105
01 Dec 2019
BAY82
CME63
21 Apr 2019
BAY99
CME79
29 Nov 2015
BAY106
CME59
28 Mar 2015
BAY110
CME76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crailsheim Merlins winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
83-57
83
57
+26
84avg 75
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
83-85
83
85
-2
80avg 75
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
62-76
62
76
-14
52avg 75
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
91-85
91
85
+6
88avg 75
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
71-92
71
92
-21
62avg 75
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
86avg 75
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
91-69
91
69
+22
90avg 75
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 75
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
W
86-73
86
73
+13
82avg 75
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
64-76
64
76
-12
48avg 75
H25/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-7
17-19
17-11
25-20
24-22
22-20
23-23
14-20
12-19
15-15
20-16
15-26
27-16
24-23
16-18
24-28
18-24
18-21
17-19
18-28
22-22
17-16
20-19
22-24
24-12
20-27
13-14
34-16
19-19
24-11
23-21
16-14
23-25
15-19
25-16
23-13
19-20
10-20
21-19
14-17
158.0Avg total
80.4Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)88.076.2164.2+11.880%
Season at home (7)90.674.3164.9+16.3100%
Season away (8)85.877.9163.6+7.962%
Last 10 (10)80.477.6158.0+2.850%
Last 5 (5)82.876.2159.0+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)79.089.8168.8-10.80%
vs Similar (12)81.979.8161.8+2.158%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)87.775.7163.3+12.083%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMerlins
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 67
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
87-94
87
94
-7
49avg 67
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
W
87-84
87
84
+3
67avg 67
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
87-97
87
97
-10
33avg 67
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
96-98
96
98
-2
94avg 67
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
67-95
67
95
-28
58avg 67
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
84-89
84
89
-5
69avg 67
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
87-76
87
76
+11
92avg 67
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
59-106
59
106
-47
15avg 67
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 67
H20/01
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
18-24
22-19
20-28
29-25
18-23
21-19
19-27
16-26
12-19
29-25
30-14
19-29
20-26
20-19
28-23
19-28
25-19
32-21
20-30
26-26
14-22
9-29
18-18
16-29
26-16
19-14
23-30
18-21
20-12
31-15
18-28
11-34
11-21
22-24
15-27
22-14
25-22
12-25
11-19
172.2Avg total
81.0Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)77.993.8171.8-15.918%
Season at home (9)80.088.6168.6-8.633%
Season away (8)75.699.8175.4-24.10%
Last 10 (10)81.091.2172.2-10.220%
Last 5 (5)73.489.2162.6-15.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)75.792.4168.1-16.612%
vs Similar (11)83.585.2168.7-1.645%
vs Weaker (1)78.073.0151.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -5.2-5.2Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -4.2-4.2
BayernCrailsheim Merlins
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H30/12
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A03/01
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A05/01
Euroleague
Rostock
#15
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A07/01
BBL
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/01
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A11/01
Euroleague
Bamberg
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H14/01
BBL
Alba Berlin
#18
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A18/01
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/01
BBL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/01
Euroleague
77.1Avg total
39.4Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.639.379.9+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.139.880.9+1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)40.338.879.1+1.559%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.777.1+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.043.079.0-7.017%-
vs Similar (12)40.340.881.2-0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)43.235.879.1+7.483%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Heidelberg
#16
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H20/11
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A25/11
BBL
Tubingen
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
H02/12
BBL
Bamberg
#11
L
39-55
39
55
-16
A18/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H23/12
BBL
Chemnitz
#3
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A26/12
BBL
Hamburg
#10
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H30/12
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H06/01
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A13/01
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H20/01
BBL
84.9Avg total
39.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.142.981.9-3.833%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.440.881.2-0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)37.645.282.8-7.621%-
Last 10 (10)39.145.884.9-6.720%-
Last 5 (5)37.843.481.2-5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.944.582.4-6.524%-
vs Similar (11)41.540.481.8+1.155%-
vs Weaker (1)36.044.080.0-8.00%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.9
50.0%
54.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.611.5
41.7%
35.4%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.711.1
75.5%
76.0%11.1
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.5 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.820.0
55.9%
54.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.3
29.2%
35.4%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.115.5
77.1%
76.0%15.5
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
LWWWLLWLLW
Crailsheim Merlins
LLWLLLLWLL
#1
League position
#17
+3.4
Net rating
-12.5
110.9
Offensive rating
104.7
107.5
Defensive rating
117.2
55.6%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
19.3%
Turnover %
19.0%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
28.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
41.7%
3-point %
29.2%
57.0%
Assist %
56.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 104.7Defence107.5 · 117.2Shooting55.6% · 50.5%3-point %41.7% · 29.2%Ball care19.3% · 19.0%Off. rebounds30.3% · 28.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Bayern   ■ Crailsheim Merlins
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Bayern wins
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/24HLyon-Villeurbanne64-76
21/01/24AChemnitz86-73
18/01/24AAlba Berlin82-65
14/01/24HBamberg91-69
11/01/24AFenerbahce91-98 OT
09/01/24HReal Madrid71-92
07/01/24ARostock91-85
05/01/24AOlimpia Milano62-76
03/01/24AVirtus Bologna83-85
30/12/23HHeidelberg83-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HBasketball Braunschweig70-80
13/01/24ALudwigsburg59-106
06/01/24HSyntainics MBC87-76
30/12/23HHamburg84-89
26/12/23AChemnitz67-95
23/12/23HWurzburg96-98
18/12/23ABamberg87-97
02/12/23HTubingen87-84
25/11/23AUlm87-94
20/11/23HHeidelberg86-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game88.090.685.8
Allowed / game76.274.377.9
Point differential+11.8+16.3+7.9
Avg total164.2164.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Crailsheim Merlins
BBL 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %18%33%0%
Points / game77.980.075.6
Allowed / game93.888.699.8
Point differential-15.9-8.6-24.1
Avg total171.8168.6175.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (4)-
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz1815383%87.175.4+11.7
2 Bayern1512380%88.076.2+11.8
3 Ulm1813572%92.488.5+3.9
4 Alba Berlin1410471%92.685.3+7.3
5 Wurzburg1611569%84.478.6+5.8
6 Vechta1711665%90.181.0+9.1
7 Hamburg1610662%88.489.1-0.7
8 Ludwigsburg1811761%88.480.1+8.4
9 Bonn1911858%90.585.5+5.0
10 Oldenburg189950%85.985.4+0.5
11 Basketball Braunschweig1981142%83.186.6-3.5
12 Rostock1761135%91.294.1-2.9
13 Bamberg1861233%87.190.4-3.3
14 Syntainics MBC1861233%85.488.9-3.6
15 Gottingen1651131%91.9100.1-8.2
16 Tubingen1851328%87.496.7-9.3
17 Crailsheim Merlins1731418%77.993.8-15.9
18 Heidelberg1831517%81.895.4-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2131172998
Crailsheim Merlins2711172681
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.