Creighton hosts Le Moyne on 5 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names the Bluejays as the clear favourite, rating them 91% to win because of their undefeated 1-0 record, 76.0 points scored per game and only 61.0 points allowed, placing them 148th in the league. Le Moyne, still 0-1 with 64.0 points per game and 106.0 points allowed, sits 386th, and their single loss to Nebraska 64-106 shows a defensive struggle. Creighton's only game was a 76-61 home victory over UMKC, and their last five games record of 2-3 reflects a modest start to the season. Le Moyne's last five games were 1-4, with losses to Nebraska, Stonehill and New Haven Chargers. No head-to-head history is recorded. Pythia projects a 85-70 score, with a total of 154.4 points, and assigns a 47% probability that the over on the 155.5 line will hit; the model also gives a 2% chance of overtime. The projected 85-70 outcome underscores Creighton's dominant offensive output against Le Moyne's defensive lapses.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 76.0 | 61.0 | 137.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 76.0 | 61.0 | 137.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 71.2 | 72.8 | 144.0 | -1.6 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 68.6 | 140.6 | +3.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 65.6 | 76.5 | 142.1 | -10.9 | 25% |
| vs Similar (17) | 81.1 | 74.8 | 155.9 | +6.2 | 59% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 76.0 | 61.0 | 137.0 | +15.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 64.0 | 106.0 | 170.0 | -42.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (1) | 64.0 | 106.0 | 170.0 | -42.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 71.8 | 75.0 | 146.8 | -3.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.6 | 77.8 | 145.4 | -10.2 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 53.0 | 95.0 | 148.0 | -42.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (21) | 71.9 | 75.4 | 147.2 | -3.5 | 33% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 78.7 | 65.1 | 143.9 | +13.6 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 35.9 | 37.1 | 73.0 | -1.2 | 47% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 38.0 | 37.8 | 75.8 | +0.2 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 33.2 | 36.2 | 69.4 | -3.1 | 38% | 38% |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.9 | 37.9 | 71.8 | -4.0 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.2 | 35.4 | 68.6 | -2.2 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (12) | 29.9 | 38.1 | 68.0 | -8.2 | 8% | 25% |
| vs Similar (17) | 40.3 | 36.4 | 76.6 | +3.9 | 76% | 65% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (1) | 33.0 | 39.0 | 72.0 | -6.0 | 0% | 0% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 74.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 34.0 | 35.8 | 69.7 | -1.8 | 27% | 30% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 33.2 | 34.4 | 67.6 | -1.2 | 31% | 15% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 34.5 | 36.8 | 71.4 | -2.3 | 24% | 41% |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.9 | 37.5 | 70.4 | -4.6 | 20% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.0 | 38.6 | 69.6 | -7.6 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 30.0 | 41.0 | 71.0 | -11.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (21) | 33.4 | 35.4 | 68.8 | -2.0 | 24% | 29% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 36.6 | 32.9 | 69.4 | +3.7 | 43% | 29% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Le Moyne +22 | 73.0% | 2.70 | 2.70 | - | - | - | - | +38.7pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +23 | 75.9% | 2.50 | 2.50 | - | - | - | - | +38.4pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +24 | 78.6% | 2.25 | 2.25 | - | - | - | - | +37.5pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +25 | 81.0% | 2.12 | 2.12 | - | - | - | - | +37.4pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +24.5 | 79.1% | 2.16 | 2.20 | 2.12 | - | - | - | +36.4pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +23.5 | 76.5% | 2.30 | 2.35 | 2.25 | - | - | - | +36.4pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +22.5 | 73.8% | 2.47 | 2.55 | 2.40 | - | - | - | +36.3pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne +21.5 | 70.9% | 2.66 | 2.75 | 2.57 | - | - | - | +36.1pp | Lost |
| Creighton under 93 | 80.2% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +30.5pp | Won |
| Creighton under 92.5 | 77.9% | 1.88 | 1.96 | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.85 | 1.83 | +29.8pp | Won |
| Creighton under 93.5 | 80.8% | 1.83 | 1.85 | 1.80 | - | - | - | +29.6pp | Won |
| Creighton under 94.5 | 83.4% | 1.57 | 1.74 | 1.50 | 1.47 | - | - | +29.2pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 63.5 | 72.2% | 1.88 | 2.02 | 1.90 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | +25.5pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 62.5 | 75.5% | 1.82 | 1.88 | 1.80 | 1.78 | - | - | +25.2pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 61.5 | 78.5% | 1.59 | 1.76 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | +25.0pp | Lost |
| Creighton under 91.5 | 74.8% | 1.84 | 1.86 | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.83 | 1.80 | +24.8pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 63 | 74.7% | 1.85 | 1.85 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Lost |
| Creighton under 91 | 74.0% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +24.2pp | Won |
| Creighton under 90.5 | 71.5% | 1.89 | 1.91 | 1.90 | 1.85 | - | - | +22.6pp | Won |
| Creighton under 95.5 | 85.8% | 1.45 | 1.50 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +22.3pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 64 | 71.2% | 1.86 | 1.87 | 1.85 | - | - | - | +21.5pp | Lost |
| Creighton under 96.5 | 88.0% | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.34 | - | - | - | +19.7pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 60.5 | 81.3% | 1.48 | 1.53 | 1.42 | - | - | - | +19.0pp | Lost |
| Creighton under 98.5 | 91.5% | 1.27 | 1.30 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +18.6pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 59.5 | 83.9% | 1.37 | 1.44 | 1.35 | 1.33 | - | - | +16.8pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 56.5 | 90.1% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +14.7pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 57.5 | 88.3% | 1.25 | 1.29 | 1.22 | - | - | - | +14.4pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 54.5 | 93.2% | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +9.7pp | Won |
| Le Moyne over 55.5 | 91.8% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +9.5pp | Lost |
| Le Moyne over 53.5 | 94.4% | 1.10 | 1.12 | 1.07 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Under 180.5 | 94.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Under 163 | 70.8% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Won |
| Under 175.5 | 90.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Under 163.5 | 71.5% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Over 130.5 | 93.0% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Under 165.5 | 75.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -0.7pp | Won |
| Under 170.5 | 84.0% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -1.1pp | Won |
| Creighton (regulation) | 89.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -1.2pp | Won |
| Over 135.5 | 87.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -1.8pp | Won |
| Creighton over 71.5 | 91.1% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| Creighton over 72.5 | 89.4% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Creighton win | 90.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -3.5pp | Won |
| Over 140.5 | 80.3% | 1.10 | 1.10 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Lost |
| Creighton over 73.5 | 87.5% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -4.8pp | Won |
| Creighton over 74.5 | 85.3% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -5.4pp | Won |
| Over 145.5 | 70.7% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | -5.5pp | Lost |
| Creighton over 75.5 | 82.9% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | -8.3pp | Won |
| Le Moyne under 79.5 | 83.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -8.4pp | Won |
| Creighton over 76.5 | 80.2% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -9.2pp | Won |
| Le Moyne under 77.5 | 78.8% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | -11.5pp | Won |
| Creighton over 77.5 | 77.3% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -12.1pp | Won |
| Creighton over 78.5 | 74.1% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -13.0pp | Won |
| Le Moyne under 75.5 | 72.7% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | -15.3pp | Won |
| Creighton -7.5 | 75.9% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | -16.3pp | Won |
| Creighton over 79.5 | 70.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -16.4pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | H | UMKC | 76-61 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Seton Hall | 61-72 |
| 04/03/26 | A | Butler | 76-59 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Providence | 76-79 |
| 26/02/26 | H | DePaul | 71-72 |
| 21/02/26 | A | St. John's (N.Y.) | 52-81 |
| 19/02/26 | A | Uconn | 91-84 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Villanova | 69-80 |
| 12/02/26 | A | DePaul | 71-72 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Seton Hall | 69-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/26 | A | Nebraska | 64-106 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Stonehill | 71-81 |
| 28/02/26 | A | New Haven Chargers | 59-66 |
| 27/02/26 | H | Fairleigh Dickinson | 76-59 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Stonehill | 68-77 |
| 20/02/26 | A | Central Connecticut State | 77-78 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Chicago State | 81-63 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Mercyhurst Lakers | 58-57 |
| 07/02/26 | H | St. Francis (PA) | 86-84 |
| 06/02/26 | A | Wagner | 78-79 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 76.0 | 76.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 61.0 | 61.0 | - |
| Point differential | +15.0 | +15.0 | - |
| Avg total | 137.0 | 137.0 | - |
| Over 154.5 | 0% | 0% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | L | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | - | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 64.0 | - | 64.0 |
| Allowed / game | 106.0 | - | 106.0 |
| Point differential | -42.0 | - | -42.0 |
| Avg total | 170.0 | - | 170.0 |
| Over 154.5 | 100% | - | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 97.0 | 52.0 | +45.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 86.0 | 46.0 | +40.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 97.5 | 62.5 | +35.0 | |
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 43.0 | +35.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 56.0 | +27.0 | |
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 80.0 | 58.0 | +22.0 | |
| 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 58.0 | +17.0 | |
| 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 66.5 | 51.0 | +15.5 | |
| 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 76.0 | 61.0 | +15.0 | |
| 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 78.0 | 63.0 | +15.0 | |
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 73.5 | 69.5 | +4.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 62.5 | 81.5 | -19.0 | |
| 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 60.0 | 70.5 | -10.5 | |
| 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 58.0 | 74.0 | -16.0 | |
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 50.0 | 76.0 | -26.0 | |
| 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 49.5 | 80.5 | -31.0 | |
| 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 52.5 | 85.0 | -32.5 | |
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 64.0 | 106.0 | -42.0 | |
| 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 47.0 | 96.0 | -49.0 | |
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 55.0 | 109.5 | -54.5 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 29 | 83 | |
| 17 | 38 | 55 |
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