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Croatia vs Ireland Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 19 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-49
24-5 32-12 14-16 19-16
Position#7
Record5-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game69.0
Croatia 🏆
vs
Ireland
Position#29
Record2-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game84.7
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1· Marino Cvetkovic
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ireland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
90-85
90
85
+5
no box
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
86-94
86
94
-8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
100-75
100
75
+25
106avg 78
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
L
79-87
79
87
-8
76avg 78
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
64-56
64
56
+8
51avg 78
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
84-74
84
74
+10
77avg 78
H26/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
21-21
24-21
22-25
23-18
21-20
22-25
22-22
21-27
18-24
30-19
25-16
27-16
18-21
19-13
19-24
23-29
13-21
19-17
15-11
17-7
23-19
27-17
21-20
13-18
159.9Avg total
82.3Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.569.0149.5+11.583%
Season at home (3)82.371.3153.7+11.067%
Season away (3)78.766.7145.3+12.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.377.6159.9+4.760%
Last 5 (5)82.677.2159.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.5157.1-9.910%
vs Similar (7)79.982.7162.6-2.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.167.0144.1+10.185%
This opponent (Ireland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IrelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIreland
Date
Competition
Andorra
#2
W
96-81
96
81
+15
no box
A10/08
Small Countries European Championship
San Marino
#4
W
107-59
107
59
+48
no box
H12/08
Small Countries European Championship
Gibraltar
#5
W
113-63
113
63
+50
no box
A14/08
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#3
W
97-66
97
66
+31
no box
H15/08
Small Countries European Championship
Cyprus
#40
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
70-97
70
97
-27
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
72-83
72
83
-11
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
83-75 OT
83
75
+8
no box
H27/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
66-92
66
92
-26
no box
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
H03/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-23
28-22
21-15
18-21
34-9
25-13
21-23
27-14
31-14
26-14
26-18
30-17
23-17
28-15
22-22
24-12
20-17
24-14
22-19
15-23
13-28
28-15
9-30
20-24
14-28
23-13
15-20
20-22
15-15
23-11
10-21
16-17
22-23
13-28
15-20
16-21
25-25
22-20
18-30
17-13
164.4Avg total
86.7Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.784.7160.3-9.033%
Season at home (3)78.386.7165.0-8.333%
Season away (3)73.082.7155.7-9.733%
Last 10 (10)86.777.7164.4+9.060%
Last 5 (5)74.687.0161.6-12.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)70.182.1152.3-12.014%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (12)87.262.4149.6+24.883%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: +7.5+7.5Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.9+1.9
CroatiaIreland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H08/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#16
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A11/09
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A10/11
EuroBasket
Poland
#24
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H13/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H26/02
EuroBasket
77.5Avg total
38.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.037.074.9+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.433.172.5+6.471%-
Last 30 away (16)36.740.477.1-3.731%-
Last 10 (10)38.938.677.5+0.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.281.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)35.741.176.8-5.420%-
vs Similar (7)38.641.379.9-2.729%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.431.570.8+7.985%-
This opponent (Ireland) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IrelandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Andorra
#2
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A10/08
Small Countries European Championship
San Marino
#4
W
59-22
59
22
+37
H12/08
Small Countries European Championship
Gibraltar
#5
W
57-28
57
28
+29
A14/08
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#3
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H15/08
Small Countries European Championship
Cyprus
#40
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A25/11
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H27/02
EuroBasket
Austria
#30
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H03/07
EuroBasket
83.0Avg total
46.6Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)43.132.575.6+10.568%-
Last 30 at home (11)43.228.872.0+14.482%-
Last 30 away (8)42.937.680.5+5.250%-
Last 10 (10)46.636.483.0+10.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.280.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.440.177.6-2.729%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (12)46.328.174.4+18.392%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.3
53.6%
50.6%34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.5%
32.5%25.0
🏀 Free throws25.820.2
78.1%
71.4%20.2
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irelandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ireland: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.8
49.8%
50.6%33.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.811.3
60.2%
71.4%11.3
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/6 games with a box score before 19 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWLWLWLWWL
Ireland
LLWLLWWWWW
#7
League position
#29
+16.0
Net rating
-11.3
108.2
Offensive rating
97.7
92.1
Defensive rating
109.0
51.4%
Effective FG%
52.2%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.8%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.5%
3-point %
36.8%
72.7%
Assist %
66.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 97.7Defence92.1 · 109.0Shooting51.4% · 52.2%3-point %32.5% · 36.8%Ball care19.6% · 20.8%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.0%Free throws0.45 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Croatia   ■ Ireland
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Ireland wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/23HAustria84-74
23/02/23ASwitzerland64-56
13/11/22HPoland79-87
10/11/22AAustria100-75
11/09/22AFinland86-94
08/09/22HUkraine90-85
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
Irelandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/22HSwitzerland82-88
30/06/22AAustria66-92
27/02/22HCyprus83-75 OT
24/02/22ASwitzerland72-83
28/11/21HAustria70-97
25/11/21ACyprus81-73
15/08/21HMalta97-66
14/08/21AGibraltar113-63
12/08/21HSan Marino107-59
10/08/21AAndorra96-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game80.582.378.7
Allowed / game69.071.366.7
Point differential+11.5+11.0+12.0
Avg total149.5153.7145.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ireland
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL33%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%33%33%
Points / game75.778.373.0
Allowed / game84.786.782.7
Point differential-9.0-8.3-9.7
Avg total160.3165.0155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
2 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
3 Croatia65183%80.569.0+11.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria75271%79.672.9+6.7
6 Slovakia64267%73.272.7+0.5
7 Romania106460%72.671.1+1.5
8 Switzerland126650%69.770.4-0.8
9 Norway115645%70.674.0-3.4
10 Austria125742%74.976.4-1.5
11 Denmark104640%75.273.2+2.0
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2432141989
Ireland512161649
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