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Croatia vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 06 Jul 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 103-75
25-12 22-19 27-20 29-24
Position#5
Record8-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game96.9
Allowed / game69.8
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#67
Record2-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.8
EuropeWorld CupRound 6· NSD Gradski vrt
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
100-60
100
60
+40
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
93-88
93
88
+5
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
89-91 OT
89
91
-2
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
123-50
123
50
+73
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
12-21
24-17
24-19
19-19
28-8
19-19
28-23
25-10
25-25
22-17
24-14
14-15
20-26
26-24
29-22
18-16
24-22
26-19
17-21
10-15
35-12
24-14
33-10
31-14
167.1Avg total
97.6Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)96.969.8166.7+27.189%
Season at home (4)98.868.0166.8+30.8100%
Season away (5)95.471.2166.6+24.280%
Last 10 (10)97.669.5167.1+28.190%
Last 5 (5)98.072.0170.0+26.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)89.768.5158.2+21.183%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
60avg 82
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 82
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 82
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
85avg 82
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
72avg 82
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
69-89
69
89
-20
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
94-54
94
54
+40
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-54
83
54
+29
no box
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
12-18
25-11
13-18
17-22
19-14
19-20
27-13
23-15
28-21
20-18
21-35
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
22-28
19-22
18-17
20-17
22-26
9-24
22-19
16-20
25-25
17-22
14-24
15-14
32-15
26-8
13-16
23-15
24-12
21-17
23-13
15-12
15-23
22-22
18-31
31-16
160.4Avg total
81.6Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.674.8155.4+5.840%
Season at home (3)83.777.0160.7+6.733%
Season away (2)76.071.5147.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)81.678.8160.4+2.840%
Last 5 (5)80.674.8155.4+5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)77.084.2161.2-7.212%
vs Similar (12)80.882.4163.2-1.642%
vs Weaker (10)84.973.3158.2+11.680%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +6.5+6.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +8.3+8.3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +2.5+2.5
CroatiaIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/12
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H27/02
World Cup
Germany
#8
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A01/03
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
59-26
59
26
+33
A03/07
World Cup
85.5Avg total
50.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.336.081.3+9.370%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.834.381.1+12.580%-
Last 30 away (15)43.837.781.5+6.160%-
Last 10 (10)50.235.385.5+14.980%-
Last 5 (5)49.837.287.0+12.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.133.779.8+12.579%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A07/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#8
L
31-50
31
50
-19
A28/11
World Cup
Croatia
#5
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H01/12
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
58-23
58
23
+35
H27/02
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A01/03
World Cup
Germany
#8
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H03/07
World Cup
81.9Avg total
41.0Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.479.4-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.540.180.6+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.2-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)41.040.981.9+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.881.4+3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.945.983.8-8.012%-
vs Similar (12)38.539.377.8-0.842%-
vs Weaker (10)40.537.377.8+3.250%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.5
51.6%
-39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.0
38.8%
-27.0
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
-17.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jul 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WLWWWWWWWW
Israel
LWWLLLLWWL
#5
League position
#67
+22.7
Net rating
+7.7
120.4
Offensive rating
111.7
97.6
Defensive rating
104.0
57.9%
Effective FG%
54.1%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
15.9%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.37
40.6%
3-point %
38.8%
74.0%
Assist %
67.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Croatia   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia wins
0
Israel wins
DateGameScore
01/12/25Israel v Croatia71-85
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26ACyprus123-50
01/03/26AGermany89-91 OT
27/02/26HGermany93-88
01/12/25AIsrael85-71
28/11/25HCyprus100-60
20/08/25ADenmark79-76
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71
06/08/25ANorway101-68
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/07/26HGermany86-92
01/03/26ACyprus83-54
27/02/26HCyprus94-54
01/12/25HCroatia71-85
28/11/25AGermany69-89
07/09/25AGreece79-84
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106
02/09/25ABelgium92-89
31/08/25HFrance82-69
30/08/25APoland64-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game96.998.895.4
Allowed / game69.868.071.2
Point differential+27.1+30.8+24.2
Avg total166.7166.8166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%75%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Israel
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game80.683.776.0
Allowed / game74.877.071.5
Point differential+5.8+6.7+4.5
Avg total155.4160.7147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia660100%94.267.2+27.0
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Canada550100%101.682.6+19.0
4 Brazil550100%91.674.4+17.2
5 Poland660100%94.379.3+15.0
6 Turkey660100%88.573.7+14.8
7 Croatia98189%96.969.8+27.1
8 Jordan65183%85.060.0+25.0
9 Senegal65183%88.267.7+20.5
10 Ivory Coast65183%94.875.2+19.7
11 Argentina65183%86.266.7+19.5
12 Lebanon65183%89.572.3+17.2
13 Spain65183%87.771.2+16.5
14 Uruguay65183%83.568.2+15.3
15 Germany65183%92.380.0+12.3
16 Iran65183%75.363.5+11.8
17 Italy65183%87.376.8+10.5
18 Mali65183%80.774.3+6.3
19 Cameroon65183%76.771.8+4.8
20 France54180%81.473.6+7.8
21 Finland54180%79.876.6+3.2
22 Mexico43175%92.882.8+10.0
23 Ukraine107370%81.974.6+7.3
24 South Sudan64267%82.765.3+17.3
25 New Zealand64267%93.278.8+14.3
26 Angola64267%84.772.5+12.2
27 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
28 Guinea64267%72.564.3+8.2
29 Japan64267%83.275.0+8.2
30 Tunisia64267%74.868.5+6.3
31 Qatar64267%80.074.3+5.7
32 Nigeria64267%79.774.7+5.0
33 Montenegro64267%68.572.3-3.8
34 Slovenia53260%86.882.6+4.2
35 Serbia53260%85.081.4+3.6
36 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
37 Romania148657%76.976.6+0.3
38 Latvia63350%83.777.5+6.2
39 Portugal63350%80.874.8+6.0
40 Lithuania63350%90.585.0+5.5
41 Estonia63350%84.880.5+4.3
42 Greece63350%72.268.0+4.2
43 Egypt63350%77.773.7+4.0
44 Hungary105550%80.977.6+3.3
45 Netherlands105550%80.377.3+3.0
46 Saudi Arabia63350%76.874.3+2.5
47 Switzerland168850%73.172.8+0.3
48 South Korea63350%78.078.0+0.0
49 China63350%84.084.8-0.8
50 Cape Verde63350%79.881.8-2.0
51 Georgia63350%80.882.8-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Czech Republic63350%81.386.2-4.8
54 Colombia42250%79.284.5-5.2
55 Iceland63350%84.089.7-5.7
56 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
57 Austria146843%83.084.9-1.9
58 Israel52340%80.674.8+5.8
59 Bosnia & Herzegovina52340%78.673.8+4.8
60 Bahamas52340%90.289.2+1.0
61 Sweden52340%81.284.8-3.6
62 Jamaica52340%88.0100.2-12.2
63 Philippines62433%77.579.5-2.0
64 Chinese Taipei62433%77.284.5-7.3
65 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
66 Panama62433%75.887.5-11.7
67 Syria62433%66.078.3-12.3
68 D.R. Congo62433%66.382.5-16.2
69 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
70 Venezuela41325%80.586.2-5.8
71 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
74 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
75 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
76 Puerto Rico51420%84.492.2-7.8
77 Chile51420%71.079.4-8.4
78 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
79 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
80 Denmark102820%73.186.8-13.7
81 Great Britain61517%80.290.5-10.3
82 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
83 Belgium6060%71.880.0-8.2
84 Rwanda6060%66.285.7-19.5
85 Libya6060%66.586.7-20.2
86 Uganda6060%64.086.5-22.5
87 Cuba6060%66.789.8-23.2
88 Nicaragua3030%70.794.3-23.7
89 Madagascar6060%73.797.7-24.0
90 Iraq6060%69.393.8-24.5
91 India6060%60.886.2-25.3
92 Cyprus6060%60.299.0-38.8
93 Guam6060%65.2104.5-39.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia25222729103
Israel1219202475
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