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Greece vs Israel Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 07 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 84-79
28-22 22-19 17-18 17-20
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game86.4
Allowed / game70.8
Greece 🏆
vs
Position#12
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game80.2
EuropeEuroBasket· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Meetings · Greece v Israel
07 Sep 2025
GREE84
ISRA79
27 Nov 2017
GREE82
ISRA61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Israel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#37
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
L
72-73
72
73
-1
65avg 72
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
70avg 72
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
85avg 72
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
63-53
63
53
+10
56avg 72
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
75-66
75
66
+9
65avg 72
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
96-69
96
69
+27
98avg 72
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
94-53
94
53
+41
100avg 72
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
77-80
77
80
-3
74avg 72
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
90-86
90
86
+4
89avg 72
A04/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-12
16-27
30-19
12-14
26-16
15-17
10-18
21-22
17-15
23-17
17-18
20-17
27-13
10-27
23-14
17-23
18-18
16-5
14-16
15-14
22-12
14-20
20-13
19-21
22-13
21-18
26-16
27-22
22-13
24-16
23-12
25-12
25-19
13-25
14-17
25-19
31-20
19-15
18-28
22-23
151.9Avg total
81.1Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)86.470.8157.2+15.680%
Season at home (2)76.073.0149.0+3.050%
Season away (3)93.369.3162.7+24.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.170.8151.9+10.380%
Last 5 (5)86.470.8157.2+15.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.384.2160.5-7.833%
vs Similar (13)82.876.4159.2+6.577%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.471.4156.7+14.091%
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIsrael
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
L
79-88
79
88
-9
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
86-73
86
73
+13
86avg 83
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 83
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
84-78
84
78
+6
90avg 83
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 83
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
83-71
83
71
+12
78avg 83
H28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
64-66
64
66
-2
60avg 83
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
77avg 83
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
92-89
92
89
+3
89avg 83
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
96-106
96
106
-10
85avg 83
H04/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-8
17-32
16-25
26-23
16-19
20-18
29-18
21-18
11-16
18-24
27-17
32-18
18-18
29-14
18-21
19-25
11-15
25-16
25-28
23-15
23-19
13-13
24-20
23-19
14-19
12-18
25-11
13-18
17-22
19-14
19-20
27-13
23-15
28-21
20-18
21-35
22-26
21-30
22-23
31-27
162.7Avg total
83.8Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)83.480.2163.6+3.260%
Season at home (3)87.082.0169.0+5.067%
Season away (2)78.077.5155.5+0.550%
Last 10 (10)83.878.9162.7+4.970%
Last 5 (5)83.480.2163.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.979.6155.4-3.714%
vs Similar (13)79.980.8160.7-0.846%
vs Weaker (10)83.076.5159.5+6.580%
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +7.5+7.5Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.5+2.5
GreeceIsrael
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Netherlands
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A26/02
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A21/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#12
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H24/11
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#33
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#37
W
34-23
34
23
+11
H24/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#7
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#24
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A30/08
EuroBasket
Georgia
#14
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A31/08
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H02/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#15
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A04/09
EuroBasket
73.5Avg total
39.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.177.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.073.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)42.837.280.1+5.669%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.873.5+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.275.0-5.317%-
vs Similar (13)42.536.578.9+6.077%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.936.376.2+3.664%-
This opponent (Israel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IsraelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A25/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A23/11
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H25/11
EuroBasket
Portugal
#14
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H21/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H24/02
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H28/08
EuroBasket
Poland
#9
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A30/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H31/08
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A02/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H04/09
EuroBasket
75.4Avg total
37.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.639.376.9-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.239.177.4-0.943%-
Last 30 away (16)37.139.476.5-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.775.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.477.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.741.677.3-5.914%-
vs Similar (13)37.938.476.3-0.546%-
vs Weaker (10)38.638.877.4-0.250%-
This opponent (Greece) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Greece: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.817.0
50.3%
52.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.3
37.9%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
73.1%15.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Israeltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Israel: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.8
54.5%
52.4%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.5
35.6%
33.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws21.515.9
74.0%
73.1%15.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Greece
WLWWWWWWLW
Israel
LWWLWWWWWL
#3
League position
#12
+13.7
Net rating
+7.1
110.3
Offensive rating
111.7
96.6
Defensive rating
104.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
54.0%
46.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
30.9%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
37.9%
3-point %
35.6%
70.3%
Assist %
65.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 111.7Defence96.6 · 104.6Shooting53.2% · 54.0%3-point %37.9% · 35.6%Ball care18.0% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.7% · 30.9%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Greece   ■ Israel
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Greece wins
0
Israel wins
DateGameScore
28/06/18Israel v Greece78-96
27/11/17Greece v Israel82-61
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/09/25ASpain90-86
02/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina77-80
31/08/25AGeorgia94-53
30/08/25ACyprus96-69
28/08/25HItaly75-66
24/02/25HNetherlands63-53
21/02/25ACzech Republic93-89 OT
24/11/24HGreat Britain77-67
21/11/24AGreat Britain72-73
26/02/24ANetherlands74-72
Israellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/09/25HSlovenia96-106
02/09/25ABelgium92-89
31/08/25HFrance82-69
30/08/25APoland64-66
28/08/25HIceland83-71
24/02/25HSlovenia84-74
21/02/25HPortugal84-78
25/11/24HUkraine88-75
23/11/24AUkraine86-73
25/02/24ASlovenia79-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Greece
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW80%
HomeWL50%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%50%100%
Points / game86.476.093.3
Allowed / game70.873.069.3
Point differential+15.6+3.0+24.0
Avg total157.2149.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%0%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Israel
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game83.487.078.0
Allowed / game80.282.077.5
Point differential+3.2+5.0+0.5
Avg total163.6169.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany660100%102.370.5+31.8
2 Turkey660100%90.773.0+17.7
3 Lithuania65183%86.578.7+7.8
4 Greece54180%86.470.8+15.6
5 France64267%88.578.5+10.0
6 Serbia64267%86.776.7+10.0
7 Italy64267%78.869.5+9.3
8 Finland64267%86.382.0+4.3
9 Slovenia64267%92.288.2+4.0
10 Poland64267%80.076.5+3.5
11 Israel53260%83.480.2+3.2
12 Latvia63350%81.878.7+3.2
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina63350%78.880.2-1.3
14 Georgia63350%74.576.0-1.5
15 Spain52340%79.470.8+8.6
16 Belgium52340%72.680.6-8.0
17 Portugal62433%62.275.5-13.3
18 Estonia51420%70.479.4-9.0
19 Montenegro51420%75.691.0-15.4
20 Great Britain51420%70.896.8-26.0
21 Sweden61517%80.383.8-3.5
22 Iceland5050%72.687.8-15.2
23 Czech Republic5050%67.686.8-19.2
24 Cyprus5050%59.092.0-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Greece2822171784
Israel2219182079
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