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Croatia vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-88
20-26 26-24 29-22 18-16
Position#5
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game66.5
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#8
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game66.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3· Kosarkaski centar Drazen Petrovic
Other2027
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
89-76
89
76
+13
no box
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
L
90-110
90
110
-20
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
104-67
104
67
+37
no box
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
101-68
101
68
+33
no box
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
100-71
100
71
+29
no box
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
102-53
102
53
+49
no box
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
79-76
79
76
+3
no box
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
100-60
100
60
+40
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-19
20-29
23-12
16-16
21-22
29-28
13-33
27-27
17-20
18-17
16-22
29-24
26-14
22-11
26-18
30-24
20-21
31-18
27-12
23-17
24-14
32-29
21-16
23-12
28-14
34-8
22-13
18-18
12-21
24-17
24-19
19-19
28-8
19-19
28-23
25-10
25-25
22-17
24-14
14-15
166.5Avg total
93.0Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)94.566.5161.0+28.0100%
Season at home (3)100.761.3162.0+39.3100%
Season away (3)88.371.7160.0+16.7100%
Last 10 (10)93.073.5166.5+19.580%
Last 5 (5)93.266.2159.4+27.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)74.089.0163.0-15.00%
vs Similar (6)86.089.2175.2-3.233%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.267.5154.7+19.786%
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGermany
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
105-83
105
83
+22
106avg 90
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
107-88
107
88
+19
101avg 90
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
120-57
120
57
+63
128avg 90
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
87avg 90
A03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
W
85-58
85
58
+27
76avg 90
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
99-91
99
91
+8
92avg 90
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
98-86
98
86
+12
93avg 90
H12/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
W
88-83
88
83
+5
91avg 90
A14/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#67
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
83-64
83
64
+19
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
32-25
25-24
21-17
32-20
23-27
28-25
24-16
32-19
26-12
30-9
32-17
21-19
29-17
19-13
22-12
17-12
14-20
21-19
33-7
21-32
24-19
25-23
29-17
30-26
31-21
20-26
17-13
24-22
16-24
26-21
22-16
26-22
24-9
19-22
20-16
20-17
22-22
27-9
14-16
170.5Avg total
96.5Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)86.066.5152.5+19.5100%
Season at home (1)89.069.0158.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)96.574.0170.5+22.5100%
Last 5 (5)91.478.6170.0+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)79.781.3161.0-1.767%
vs Similar (2)82.078.0160.0+4.0100%
vs Weaker (25)92.873.6166.4+19.288%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +8.7+8.7
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: +5.3+5.3Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +4.2+4.2Q4: +8.7+8.7
CroatiaGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/11
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#17
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A24/11
EuroBasket
France
#3
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H21/02
EuroBasket
Cyprus
#40
W
48-25
48
25
+23
A24/02
EuroBasket
Norway
#75
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A06/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H09/08
World Cup
Norway
#75
W
62-22
62
22
+40
H16/08
World Cup
Denmark
#79
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A20/08
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H28/11
World Cup
Israel
#67
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A01/12
World Cup
85.3Avg total
48.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.136.479.5+6.763%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.033.979.9+12.180%-
Last 30 away (15)40.338.979.2+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)48.237.185.3+11.170%-
Last 5 (5)49.634.484.0+15.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.548.583.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (6)42.045.587.5-3.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)44.232.877.0+11.477%-
This opponent (Germany) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#21
W
59-42
59
42
+17
H29/08
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A30/08
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#20
W
58-31
58
31
+27
H01/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/09
EuroBasket
Portugal
#17
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H10/09
EuroBasket
Finland
#10
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H12/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A14/09
EuroBasket
Israel
#67
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H28/11
World Cup
Cyprus
#92
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A01/12
World Cup
89.3Avg total
49.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.337.682.9+7.673%-
Last 30 at home (19)45.635.981.6+9.774%-
Last 30 away (11)44.640.585.2+4.173%-
Last 10 (10)49.140.289.3+8.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.642.890.4+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)36.339.075.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (2)41.540.582.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (25)46.637.283.9+9.480%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.3
55.3%
-36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.812.1
40.6%
-36.3
🏀 Free throws19.215.0
78.1%
-15.0
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Germanytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Germany: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.321.5
60.9%
-43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.512.3
39.0%
-36.9
🏀 Free throws21.817.5
80.3%
-17.5
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Croatia
WWWWWWWLLW
Germany
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#8
+22.7
Net rating
+27.8
120.4
Offensive rating
129.0
97.6
Defensive rating
101.2
57.9%
Effective FG%
59.8%
47.5%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.3%
29.0%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
40.6%
3-point %
39.0%
74.0%
Assist %
60.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Croatia   ■ Germany
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
1
Germany wins
DateGameScore
03/07/21Germany v Croatia86-76
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25AIsrael85-71
28/11/25HCyprus100-60
20/08/25ADenmark79-76
16/08/25HNorway102-53
09/08/25HDenmark100-71
06/08/25ANorway101-68
24/02/25ACyprus104-67
21/02/25HFrance80-83
24/11/24ABosnia & Herzegovina90-110
21/11/24HBosnia & Herzegovina89-76
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/25ACyprus83-64
28/11/25HIsrael89-69
14/09/25ATurkey88-83
12/09/25HFinland98-86
10/09/25HSlovenia99-91
06/09/25HPortugal85-58
03/09/25AFinland91-61
01/09/25HGreat Britain120-57
30/08/25ALithuania107-88
29/08/25HSweden105-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.5100.788.3
Allowed / game66.561.371.7
Point differential+28.0+39.3+16.7
Avg total161.0162.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game86.089.083.0
Allowed / game66.569.064.0
Point differential+19.5+20.0+19.0
Avg total152.5158.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Argentina220100%92.558.5+34.0
2 Croatia660100%94.566.5+28.0
3 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
4 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
5 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
6 Angola110100%90.068.0+22.0
7 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
8 Germany220100%86.066.5+19.5
9 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
10 Uruguay220100%88.571.0+17.5
11 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
12 Brazil220100%80.064.0+16.0
13 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
14 Ivory Coast110100%90.080.0+10.0
15 Mali110100%86.077.0+9.0
16 D.R. Congo110100%87.079.0+8.0
17 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
18 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
19 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
20 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
21 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
22 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
23 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
24 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
25 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
26 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
27 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
28 Japan32167%83.374.7+8.7
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
31 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
32 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
33 South Korea32167%78.376.3+2.0
34 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
35 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
36 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
37 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
38 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
39 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
40 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
41 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
42 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
43 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
44 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
45 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
46 Qatar21150%80.079.0+1.0
47 Finland21150%82.582.5+0.0
48 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
49 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
50 Lebanon21150%79.080.0-1.0
51 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
55 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
56 New Zealand31233%75.076.3-1.3
57 China31233%79.783.3-3.7
58 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
59 Chinese Taipei31233%71.378.3-7.0
60 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
61 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
62 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
63 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
64 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
65 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
66 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
67 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
68 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
69 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
70 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
71 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
72 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
73 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
74 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
75 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
76 Madagascar1010%79.087.0-8.0
77 Belgium2020%74.083.0-9.0
78 Egypt1010%77.086.0-9.0
79 Senegal1010%80.090.0-10.0
80 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
81 Bosnia & Herzegovina2020%71.583.5-12.0
82 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
83 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
84 Chile2020%64.080.0-16.0
85 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
86 Israel2020%70.087.0-17.0
87 Panama2020%71.088.5-17.5
88 Uganda1010%68.090.0-22.0
89 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
90 Guam3030%65.791.7-26.0
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Cyprus2020%62.091.5-29.5
93 Cuba2020%58.592.5-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2026291893
Germany2624221688
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