Pato vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Oct 2025

Tip-off: 22:30

Final 69-71

18-20 16-25 13-12 22-14

Position#17

Record0-3

FormLLLLL

Points / game75.3

Allowed / game79.3

Pato

Cruzeiro 🏆

Position#14

Record0-3

FormLLL

Points / game70.3

Allowed / game89.7

NBB· Ginasio do Sesi

Other2025-26

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Cruzeiro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pato

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPato

Date

Competition

Minas

72-75

-3

64avg 74

H03/04

NBB

Franca

67-76

-9

59avg 74

H05/04

NBB

Mogi

#16

76-90

-14

67avg 74

A16/04

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

89-77

+12

88avg 74

A18/04

NBB

Franca

91-96

-5

82avg 74

H24/04

NBB

Franca

65-84

-19

50avg 74

A29/04

NBB

Franca

82-101

101

-19

69avg 74

A01/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

63-70

-7

43avg 74

A21/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

88-92

-4

75avg 74

A23/10

NBB

Minas

75-76

-1

65avg 74

H27/10

NBB

15-21

17-12

20-17

20-25

11-20

16-17

13-18

27-21

21-27

14-27

27-18

14-18

25-23

17-23

30-16

17-15

18-29

31-22

18-18

24-27

11-23

20-25

19-17

15-19

24-31

27-24

11-20

20-26

18-16

12-15

14-23

19-16

19-26

32-22

24-26

13-18

17-27

22-8

14-20

22-21

160.5Avg total

76.8Scored

83.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	75.3	79.3	154.7	-4.0	0%
Season at home (1)	75.0	76.0	151.0	-1.0	0%
Season away (2)	75.5	81.0	156.5	-5.5	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.8	83.7	160.5	-6.9	10%
Last 5 (5)	74.6	84.6	159.2	-10.0	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	79.6	88.9	168.5	-9.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (11)	84.5	81.5	165.9	+3.0	64%
vs Weaker (5)	83.6	86.0	169.6	-2.4	40%

This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Cruzeiro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCruzeiro

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

62-85

-23

47avg 62

H18/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

65-81

-16

59avg 62

H21/10

NBB

Mogi

84-103

103

-19

81avg 62

H25/10

NBB

18-17

10-25

15-16

19-27

11-23

14-21

23-17

17-20

20-20

26-26

13-29

25-28

160.0Avg total

70.3Scored

89.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (3)	70.3	89.7	160.0	-19.3	0%
Season at home (3)	70.3	89.7	160.0	-19.3	0%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (3)	70.3	89.7	160.0	-19.3	0%
Last 5 (3)	70.3	89.7	160.0	-19.3	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.3	89.7	160.0	-19.3	0%
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PatoCruzeiro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.5	21.7	42.2	-1.2	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	24.3	42.2	-6.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	24.6	42.4	-6.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	17.4	23.4	40.8	-5.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	22.7	17.8	40.5	+4.9	82%	-
vs Weaker (5)	24.2	24.6	48.8	-0.4	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.0	42.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.8	22.8	44.6	-1.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.8	41.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	22.7	20.5	43.2	+2.2	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.0	21.8	41.8	-1.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	20.6	41.0	-0.2	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	0%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	24.0	40.7	-7.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

32-33

-1

H03/04

NBB

Franca

27-37

-10

H05/04

NBB

Mogi

#16

35-54

-19

A16/04

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

42-46

-4

A18/04

NBB

Franca

49-51

-2

H24/04

NBB

Franca

31-48

-17

A29/04

NBB

Franca

51-55

-4

A01/05

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

30-31

-1

A21/10

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

51-48

A23/10

NBB

Minas

39-35

H27/10

NBB

82.5Avg total

38.7Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	42.5	84.4	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	40.6	82.0	+0.7	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.2	44.2	86.4	-1.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	43.8	82.5	-5.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	43.4	83.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.1	43.9	84.0	-3.7	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	42.7	39.6	82.4	+3.1	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	44.6	45.2	89.8	-0.6	60%	-

This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sao Jose

28-42

-14

H18/10

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

25-44

-19

H21/10

NBB

Mogi

46-46

H25/10

NBB

77.0Avg total

33.0Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.0	40.8	-1.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	19.8	40.1	+0.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.3	22.1	41.4	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.2	37.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	18.4	21.9	40.4	-3.5	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	21.4	21.3	42.6	+0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	40%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	20.7	37.7	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.7	42.0	-1.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.3	23.1	46.4	+0.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.6	20.5	38.1	-2.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	20.6	39.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.0	37.8	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	20.7	22.2	42.9	-1.5	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.4	20.5	40.9	-0.2	64%	-
vs Weaker (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
Last 5 (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.3	25.0	45.3	-4.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.7	82.8	-2.7	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.6	42.9	86.6	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.9	42.6	79.5	-5.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.2	41.2	75.4	-7.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	39.1	44.1	83.3	-5.0	21%	-
vs Similar ◀ (11)	41.7	41.8	83.5	-0.1	45%	-
vs Weaker (5)	39.0	40.8	79.8	-1.8	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (3)	37.3	45.7	83.0	-8.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (3)	37.3	45.7	83.0	-8.3	33%	-
Last 30 away	no games
Last 10 (3)	37.3	45.7	83.0	-8.3	33%	-
Last 5 (3)	37.3	45.7	83.0	-8.3	33%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.3	45.7	83.0	-8.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀	no games
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 75.8 points a game scored

🏀🏀45%

🏀🏀🏀43%

🏀12%

🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 45% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀 Free throws9.1 pts a game · 12% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.5	17.0	49.3%	52.2%	34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.4	10.9	34.7%	32.5%	32.7
🏀 Free throws	12.1	9.1	75.2%	72.8%	9.1

They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 70.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game

47%

35%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	45.0	18.0	40.0%	52.2%	36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.3	6.7	29.9%	32.5%	20.0
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.3	75.4%	72.8%	14.3

They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.2	20.5	59.9%	52.2%	41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.6	9.7	35.1%	32.5%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.8	80.0%	72.8%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.7	50.0%	52.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	12.0	40.0%	32.5%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.3	76.6%	72.8%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	18.0	51.2%	52.2%	35.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	31.8	11.4	35.8%	32.5%	34.2
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.0	75.6%	72.8%	11.0

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.1%	52.2%	37.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.3	10.6	36.1%	32.5%	31.7
🏀 Free throws	20.7	15.3	74.0%	72.8%	15.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.7	50.0%	52.2%	35.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.0	12.0	40.0%	32.5%	36.0
🏀 Free throws	21.3	16.3	76.6%	72.8%	16.3

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 29 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Pato

LLLLLLWLLL

Cruzeiro

LLL

#17

League position

#14

-9.6

Net rating

-22.0

102.4

Offensive rating

89.4

112.0

Defensive rating

111.4

50.6%

Effective FG%

41.6%

56.7%

Opp. effective FG%

54.6%

16.4%

Turnover %

20.2%

24.0%

Off. rebound %

29.0%

0.18

Free-throw rate

0.28

34.7%

3-point %

29.9%

55.2%

Assist %

71.6%

10%

Form (last 10/3)

Profile

■ Pato ■ Cruzeiro

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pato wins

Cruzeiro wins

No previous meetings.

Patolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/25	H	Minas	75-76
23/10/25	A	Uniao Corinthians	88-92
21/10/25	A	Caxias do Sul	63-70
01/05/25	A	Franca	82-101
29/04/25	A	Franca	65-84
24/04/25	H	Franca	91-96
18/04/25	A	Sao Jose	89-77
16/04/25	A	Mogi	76-90
05/04/25	H	Franca	67-76
03/04/25	H	Minas	72-75

Cruzeirolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/25	H	Mogi	84-103
21/10/25	H	Corinthians Paulista	65-81
18/10/25	H	Sao Jose	62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato

NBB 2025-26

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	L	0%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	1	2
Win %	0%	0%	0%
Points / game	75.3	75.0	75.5
Allowed / game	79.3	76.0	81.0
Point differential	-4.0	-1.0	-5.5
Avg total	154.7	151.0	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	0% (1)	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Cruzeiro

NBB 2025-26

Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Losses (last 3)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLL	0%
Home	LLL	0%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	3	3	-
Win %	0%	0%	-
Points / game	70.3	70.3	-
Allowed / game	89.7	89.7	-
Point differential	-19.3	-19.3	-
Avg total	160.0	160.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Brasilia	2	2	0	100%	93.0	65.5	+27.5
2	Flamengo	3	3	0	100%	94.7	76.3	+18.3
3	Caxias do Sul	2	2	0	100%	72.5	68.0	+4.5
4	Minas	4	4	0	100%	81.5	78.2	+3.2
5	Franca	4	3	1	75%	84.0	68.2	+15.8
6	Mogi	3	2	1	67%	87.0	69.3	+17.7
7	Sao Jose	3	2	1	67%	77.3	69.0	+8.3
8	Pinheiros	3	2	1	67%	80.0	77.7	+2.3
9	Unifacisa	3	2	1	67%	79.7	77.3	+2.3
10	Cearense	3	2	1	67%	81.7	86.7	-5.0
11	Corinthians Paulista	2	1	1	50%	81.0	74.0	+7.0
12	Uniao Corinthians	2	1	1	50%	72.0	74.0	-2.0
13	Bauru	5	2	3	40%	69.4	74.4	-5.0
14	Paulistano	3	1	2	33%	74.0	73.0	+1.0
15	Rio Claro	3	1	2	33%	77.3	94.7	-17.3
16	Botafogo	4	1	3	25%	70.5	83.0	-12.5
17	Pato	3	0	3	0%	75.3	79.3	-4.0
18	Vasco	4	0	4	0%	72.8	79.5	-6.8
19	Cruzeiro	3	0	3	0%	70.3	89.7	-19.3
20	Osasco	3	0	3	0%	67.7	88.0	-20.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pato	18	16	13	22	69
Cruzeiro	20	25	12	14	71

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Pato vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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