PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minas vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 May 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-65
18-11 24-16 9-20 19-18
Position#1
Record37-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game70.4
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#4
Record25-19
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game77.4
BrazilNBBNBB - Semi-finals· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2024-25
Meetings · Minas v Bauru
23 Nov 2025
MINA94
BAUR88
28 May 2025
MINA70
BAUR65
26 May 2025
MINA73
BAUR69
27 Dec 2024
MINA83
BAUR73
16 Nov 2023
MINA99
BAUR80
10 Jan 2023
MINA63
BAUR58
09 Jan 2022
MINA76
BAUR64
06 Apr 2021
MINA81
BAUR79
19 Nov 2019
MINA87
BAUR68
03 Apr 2019
MINA78
BAUR71
14 Feb 2019
MINA93
BAUR89
20 Nov 2018
MINA67
BAUR66
17 Oct 2018
MINA70
BAUR75
15 Feb 2018
MINA66
BAUR81
23 Mar 2017
MINA77
BAUR89
12 Nov 2015
MINA67
BAUR83
09 Dec 2014
MINA79
BAUR84
06 Feb 2014
MINA71
BAUR77
11 Apr 2013
MINA64
BAUR77
12 Jan 2012
MINA70
BAUR78
18 Feb 2011
MINA67
BAUR86
20 May 2009
MINA75
BAUR74
19 May 2009
MINA74
BAUR47
18 Feb 2009
MINA70
BAUR57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 76
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 76
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 76
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-57
76
57
+19
70avg 76
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 76
A09/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 76
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 76
H14/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
74-59
74
59
+15
77avg 76
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
73-69
73
69
+4
63avg 76
H26/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
13-17
23-21
21-13
19-15
22-20
17-15
22-14
24-23
22-21
23-14
24-13
19-17
17-22
21-12
18-13
20-10
25-13
14-27
25-20
26-26
18-11
20-16
20-30
28-19
23-17
20-25
17-10
23-11
18-17
18-13
23-18
15-11
19-13
16-19
15-24
23-13
148.2Avg total
79.8Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)82.270.4152.6+11.788%
Season at home (22)83.768.3152.0+15.495%
Season away (20)80.572.8153.3+7.780%
Last 10 (10)79.868.4148.2+11.490%
Last 5 (5)81.270.6151.8+10.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (2)77.564.0141.5+13.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)79.569.9149.3+9.685%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
77-93
77
93
-16
75avg 71
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
81-63
81
63
+18
76avg 71
H25/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
60-62
60
62
-2
51avg 71
H27/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
84-54
84
54
+30
86avg 71
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
84avg 71
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 71
A09/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 71
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 71
H15/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
59-74
59
74
-15
42avg 71
H23/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
63avg 71
A26/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-27
16-21
18-25
16-20
18-12
20-18
21-16
22-17
16-21
21-10
13-14
10-17
23-12
20-14
21-12
20-16
25-28
15-8
17-14
12-19
20-24
26-17
19-19
31-25
23-16
23-15
17-16
21-20
24-24
26-28
24-17
15-16
17-18
13-18
18-23
11-15
13-19
19-16
24-15
13-23
152.0Avg total
78.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)78.777.4156.1+1.357%
Season at home (23)79.074.4153.4+4.774%
Season away (21)78.380.7159.0-2.438%
Last 10 (10)78.473.6152.0+4.860%
Last 5 (5)79.476.8156.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)72.584.2156.7-11.70%
vs Similar (14)76.074.1150.1+1.950%
vs Weaker (10)85.277.4162.6+7.880%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +5.7+5.7Q4: -1.7-1.7
MinasBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/05
NBB
Bauru
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/05
NBB
71.6Avg total
37.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.035.374.3+3.763%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.935.175.1+4.874%-
Last 30 away (11)37.435.673.0+1.745%-
Last 10 (10)37.634.071.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.234.272.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.335.875.1+3.562%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A09/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H15/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H23/05
NBB
Minas
#1
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A26/05
NBB
77.1Avg total
40.5Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.938.378.3+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.236.477.6+4.867%-
Last 30 away (15)38.740.378.9-1.627%-
Last 10 (10)40.536.677.1+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.079.8+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)36.345.782.0-9.30%-
vs Similar (14)38.636.074.6+2.657%-
vs Weaker (10)43.937.281.1+6.760%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.18.3
30.6%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws22.015.5
70.5%
72.7%15.5
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.6
55.0%
50.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.5
34.2%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.0
72.7%
72.7%12.0
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWWL
Bauru
LLWWWWWLWL
#1
League position
#4
+15.6
Net rating
+7.4
106.4
Offensive rating
108.3
90.7
Defensive rating
100.9
48.8%
Effective FG%
53.3%
42.6%
Opp. effective FG%
47.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
19.0%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.27
30.6%
3-point %
34.2%
63.4%
Assist %
66.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 108.3Defence90.7 · 100.9Shooting48.8% · 53.3%3-point %30.6% · 34.2%Ball care17.1% · 19.0%Off. rebounds32.7% · 30.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Minas wins
2
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
26/05/25Minas v Bauru73-69
23/05/25Bauru v Minas59-74
27/12/24Minas v Bauru83-73
17/10/24Bauru v Minas81-82 OT
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
09/01/22Minas v Bauru76-64
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25HBauru73-69
23/05/25ABauru74-59
14/05/25HVasco83-63
12/05/25HVasco86-76
09/05/25AVasco90-86
01/05/25HMogi76-57
29/04/25HMogi88-65
26/04/25AMogi85-72
14/04/25APaulistano76-66
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/05/25AMinas69-73
23/05/25HMinas59-74
15/05/25HSao Paulo89-85
12/05/25HSao Paulo84-67
09/05/25ASao Paulo96-85
03/05/25HPaulistano85-80 OT
30/04/25APaulistano84-54
27/04/25HPaulistano60-62
25/04/25HPaulistano81-63
22/04/25APaulistano77-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %88%95%80%
Points / game82.283.780.5
Allowed / game70.468.372.8
Point differential+11.7+15.4+7.7
Avg total152.6152.0153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%73%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)100% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %2%0%5%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL57%
HomeLWWWL74%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %57%74%38%
Points / game78.779.078.3
Allowed / game77.474.480.7
Point differential+1.3+4.7-2.4
Avg total156.1153.4159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%22%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)60% (10)43% (7)
Overtime %7%9%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas4237588%82.270.4+11.7
2 Flamengo44331175%84.976.7+8.2
3 Franca44321273%84.975.9+9.0
4 Bauru44251957%78.777.4+1.3
5 Pinheiros44242055%75.774.8+0.9
6 Brasilia38201853%79.979.6+0.3
7 Vasco41212051%77.277.3-0.1
8 Corinthians Paulista42212150%82.280.5+1.8
9 Uniao Corinthians38191950%78.780.9-2.1
10 Sao Jose38182047%78.478.8-0.4
11 Unifacisa39182146%74.775.3-0.6
12 Paulistano39172244%76.876.4+0.5
13 Sao Paulo41162539%76.379.5-3.2
14 Pato37132435%81.384.2-2.9
15 Caxias do Sul38122632%73.681.5-7.9
16 Mogi37112630%73.781.3-7.6
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas182491970
Bauru1116201865
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.