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Bauru vs Minas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 May 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 59-74
17-18 13-18 18-23 11-15
Position#4
Record25-17
FormWWWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Minas 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record35-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game70.8
BrazilNBBNBB - Semi-finals· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2024-25
Meetings · Bauru v Minas
05 Nov 2026
BAUR v MINA
upcoming
10 Feb 2026
BAUR105
MINA90
23 May 2025
BAUR59
MINA74
17 Oct 2024
BAUR81
MINA82
02 Mar 2024
BAUR86
MINA84
20 Oct 2022
BAUR72
MINA82
12 Apr 2022
BAUR101
MINA69
05 Jan 2021
BAUR75
MINA85
07 Mar 2020
BAUR84
MINA94
08 Apr 2019
BAUR85
MINA64
06 Apr 2019
BAUR66
MINA59
08 Nov 2018
BAUR81
MINA68
23 Dec 2017
BAUR89
MINA70
20 Dec 2016
BAUR75
MINA86
29 Jan 2016
BAUR94
MINA81
28 Feb 2015
BAUR89
MINA71
28 Jan 2014
BAUR76
MINA69
26 Jan 2013
BAUR91
MINA59
08 Apr 2012
BAUR76
MINA75
28 Nov 2010
BAUR78
MINA82
17 May 2009
BAUR79
MINA83
08 Apr 2009
BAUR78
MINA84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
75-69
75
69
+6
70avg 72
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 72
H19/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
77-93
77
93
-16
75avg 72
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
81-63
81
63
+18
76avg 72
H25/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
60-62
60
62
-2
51avg 72
H27/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
84-54
84
54
+30
86avg 72
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
85-80 OT
85
80
+5
84avg 72
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
96-85
96
85
+11
93avg 72
A09/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
84-67
84
67
+17
83avg 72
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
89-85
89
85
+4
79avg 72
H15/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
18-17
13-18
16-23
12-21
28-20
20-18
24-26
27-27
16-21
18-25
16-20
18-12
20-18
21-16
22-17
16-21
21-10
13-14
10-17
23-12
20-14
21-12
20-16
25-28
15-8
17-14
12-19
20-24
26-17
19-19
31-25
23-16
23-15
17-16
21-20
24-24
26-28
24-17
15-16
155.8Avg total
81.5Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)79.477.6157.0+1.860%
Season at home (22)80.074.4154.4+5.577%
Season away (20)78.881.0159.8-2.340%
Last 10 (10)81.574.3155.8+7.270%
Last 5 (5)87.674.2161.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.889.5166.2-12.80%
vs Similar (15)76.174.7150.8+1.347%
vs Weaker (11)86.378.6164.9+7.682%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
76-69
76
69
+7
66avg 76
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
97-59
97
59
+38
98avg 76
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
67-71
67
71
-4
59avg 76
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
76-66
76
66
+10
74avg 76
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
85-72
85
72
+13
79avg 76
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
88-65
88
65
+23
91avg 76
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
76-57
76
57
+19
70avg 76
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
90-86
90
86
+4
79avg 76
A09/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
86-76
86
76
+10
77avg 76
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
83-63
83
63
+20
82avg 76
H14/05
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
19-23
16-19
19-12
22-21
21-5
31-22
23-11
11-16
16-11
16-25
24-19
13-17
23-21
21-13
19-15
22-20
17-15
22-14
24-23
22-21
23-14
24-13
19-17
17-22
21-12
18-13
20-10
25-13
14-27
25-20
26-26
18-11
20-16
20-30
28-19
23-17
20-25
17-10
23-11
150.8Avg total
82.4Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)82.670.8153.3+11.888%
Season at home (21)84.268.2152.4+16.095%
Season away (19)80.873.5154.4+7.379%
Last 10 (10)82.468.4150.8+14.090%
Last 5 (5)84.669.4154.0+15.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.064.0125.0-3.00%
vs Similar (2)77.564.0141.5+13.5100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)80.371.4151.7+8.981%
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
BauruMinas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H17/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H19/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A22/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H25/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H27/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A30/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H03/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A09/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H12/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H15/05
NBB
79.3Avg total
42.9Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.538.779.2+1.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.037.179.1+4.967%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.379.3-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)42.936.479.3+6.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.037.282.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.050.889.8-11.80%-
vs Similar (15)38.635.974.5+2.760%-
vs Weaker (11)43.738.181.8+5.655%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H07/04
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H09/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A12/04
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A26/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H29/04
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H01/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A09/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H12/05
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H14/05
NBB
73.1Avg total
38.9Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.336.175.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.235.475.6+4.874%-
Last 30 away (11)37.837.375.1+0.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.934.273.1+4.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.676.2+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.025.055.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (2)41.033.074.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)39.736.776.3+3.058%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.319.6
57.1%
50.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.5
34.9%
33.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.3
74.7%
72.7%13.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.2
49.3%
50.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.8
35.9%
33.0%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
72.7%16.0
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WWWWWLWLLW
Minas
WWWWWWWLWW
#4
League position
#1
+11.2
Net rating
+19.7
111.6
Offensive rating
110.5
100.5
Defensive rating
90.8
55.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
42.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
30.3%
Off. rebound %
30.6%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.9%
3-point %
35.9%
64.3%
Assist %
60.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 110.5Defence100.5 · 90.8Shooting55.0% · 51.2%3-point %34.9% · 35.9%Ball care18.5% · 16.4%Off. rebounds30.3% · 30.6%Free throws0.29 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Bauru   ■ Minas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Bauru wins
8
Minas wins
DateGameScore
27/12/24Minas v Bauru83-73
17/10/24Bauru v Minas81-82 OT
02/03/24Bauru v Minas86-84 OT
16/11/23Minas v Bauru99-80
10/01/23Minas v Bauru63-58
21/10/22Bauru v Minas72-82
12/04/22Bauru v Minas101-69
09/01/22Minas v Bauru76-64
06/04/21Minas v Bauru81-79
05/01/21Bauru v Minas75-85
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25HSao Paulo89-85
12/05/25HSao Paulo84-67
09/05/25ASao Paulo96-85
03/05/25HPaulistano85-80 OT
30/04/25APaulistano84-54
27/04/25HPaulistano60-62
25/04/25HPaulistano81-63
22/04/25APaulistano77-93
19/04/25HBotafogo84-85
17/04/25HVasco75-69
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/25HVasco83-63
12/05/25HVasco86-76
09/05/25AVasco90-86
01/05/25HMogi76-57
29/04/25HMogi88-65
26/04/25AMogi85-72
14/04/25APaulistano76-66
12/04/25ASao Paulo67-71
09/04/25HBotafogo97-59
07/04/25HVasco76-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeWLWWW77%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422220
Win %60%77%40%
Points / game79.480.078.8
Allowed / game77.674.481.0
Point differential+1.8+5.5-2.3
Avg total157.0154.4159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%23%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)60% (10)50% (6)
Overtime %7%9%5%
Minas
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW95%
AwayWLWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %88%95%79%
Points / game82.684.280.8
Allowed / game70.868.273.5
Point differential+11.8+16.0+7.3
Avg total153.3152.4154.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%76%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas4035588%82.670.8+11.8
2 Flamengo42321076%84.576.1+8.5
3 Franca42311174%84.775.1+9.6
4 Bauru42251760%79.477.6+1.8
5 Pinheiros44242055%75.774.8+0.9
6 Brasilia38201853%79.979.6+0.3
7 Vasco41212051%77.277.3-0.1
8 Corinthians Paulista42212150%82.280.5+1.8
9 Uniao Corinthians38191950%78.780.9-2.1
10 Sao Jose38182047%78.478.8-0.4
11 Unifacisa39182146%74.775.3-0.6
12 Paulistano39172244%76.876.4+0.5
13 Sao Paulo41162539%76.379.5-3.2
14 Pato37132435%81.384.2-2.9
15 Caxias do Sul38122632%73.681.5-7.9
16 Mogi37112630%73.781.3-7.6
17 Cearense34102429%72.178.0-5.9
18 Botafogo34102429%73.182.1-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru1713181159
Minas1818231574
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