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Crvena zvezda vs Cibona Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 97-75
Projected total 171.7
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game93.3
Allowed / game83.4
Vs
97%
■ CZV 97%■ CIB 3%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
4.3/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record3-4
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game88.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9· Beogradska arena
Domestic2026
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Cibona
22 Nov 2026
CZV v CIB
upcoming
09 Dec 2024
CZV88
CIB78
03 Dec 2023
CZV84
CIB56
19 Nov 2022
CZV92
CIB53
06 Dec 2021
CZV86
CIB72
16 Mar 2021
CZV85
CIB63
28 Sep 2018
CZV78
CIB68
12 Mar 2018
CZV107
CIB69
12 Feb 2017
CZV69
CIB56
30 Nov 2015
CZV75
CIB58
27 Dec 2014
CZV80
CIB64
24 Apr 2014
CZV70
CIB75
23 Dec 2013
CZV88
CIB63
02 Mar 2013
CZV97
CIB95
10 Mar 2012
CZV80
CIB67
14 Nov 2010
CZV83
CIB72
21 Nov 2009
CZV72
CIB51
24 Jan 2009
CZV76
CIB79
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Crvena zvezda host Cibona in the ABA League. Pythia makes Crvena zvezda the favourite at 97% and projects 97-75, about 172 points in all. Overtime chance: 1%. Crvena zvezda are 6-1 this season (93.3 scored, 83.4 allowed a game), form WWWLW; Cibona are 3-4 this season (86.0 scored, 88.1 allowed a game), form LWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda win
97.0%fair 1.03
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cibona win
3.0%fair 32.82
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 Formzvezda
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
97-78
97
78
+19
86avg 85
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
70avg 85
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
W
81-80
81
80
+1
78avg 85
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
100-78
100
78
+22
104avg 85
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
103-73
103
73
+30
103avg 85
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
100-82
100
82
+18
105avg 85
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
62-57
62
57
+5
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
84-105
84
105
-21
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
94-83
94
83
+11
no box
H15/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-24
30-20
23-16
21-31
17-21
12-13
25-10
20-36
13-14
24-10
24-20
34-15
21-15
23-25
22-23
19-15
29-16
31-23
24-19
28-18
27-26
22-17
23-21
19-11
21-11
11-19
11-16
29-28
22-18
21-14
19-20
20-38
21-18
18-26
25-23
26-24
22-19
19-21
27-19
169.5Avg total
89.4Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.383.4176.7+9.986%
Season at home (4)96.584.0180.5+12.5100%
Season away (3)89.082.7171.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)89.480.1169.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)86.281.4167.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.0103.0185.0-21.00%
vs Similar (14)84.385.9170.2-1.636%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.778.6169.3+12.193%
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCibona
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
L
77-95
77
95
-18
67avg 79
H20/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
99-84
99
84
+15
96avg 79
H23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
98-67
98
67
+31
99avg 79
H25/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#11
L
69-89
69
89
-20
60avg 79
H30/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
93-81 OT
93
81
+12
97avg 79
A31/10
Premijer liga
Strasbourg
#11
L
70-95
70
95
-25
no box
A03/11
Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
88-75
88
75
+13
no box
H06/11
Premijer liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
102-93
102
93
+9
no box
A09/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#16
W
80-77
80
77
+3
no box
H13/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
A14/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
20-21
12-19
23-29
20-21
33-18
25-22
21-23
20-18
26-13
26-17
26-19
19-22
14-19
18-26
18-22
20-19
19-19
22-17
14-20
22-21
18-24
13-20
17-30
19-16
24-18
28-21
17-20
29-23
28-30
26-18
19-22
17-21
16-25
18-17
29-14
20-28
25-13
23-15
27-15
169.8Avg total
87.1Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)86.088.1174.1-2.143%
Season at home (5)84.887.0171.8-2.240%
Season away (2)89.091.0180.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)87.182.7169.8+4.470%
Last 5 (5)87.082.2169.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.782.4154.1-10.743%
vs Similar (10)84.085.3169.3-1.350%
vs Weaker (13)91.577.5168.9+14.092%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%1%1301%1352%1404%1456%1508%15510%16011%16512%17012%17510%1808%1856%1904%1952%2001%2051%210
1%1302%1406%15010%16012%17010%1806%1902%2001%210
Pythia expects about 172 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 170-174 (12%).
Over/Under 162.5
Over 162.5
72.2%
Under 162.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 167.5
Over 167.5
60.6%
Under 167.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 172.5
Over 172.5
47.9%
Under 172.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Crvena zvezda total 81.5
Over 81.5
94.3%
Under 81.5
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crvena zvezda total 85.5
Over 85.5
88.1%
Under 85.5
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Crvena zvezda total 89.5
Over 89.5
78.1%
Under 89.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cibona total 78.5
Over 78.5
34.0%
Under 78.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cibona total 82.5
Over 82.5
20.5%
Under 82.5
79.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cibona total 86.5
Over 86.5
11.0%
Under 86.5
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%10%0%-121%-91%-61%-32%+03%+34%+66%+97%+128%+159%+1810%+219%+249%+278%+306%+335%+364%+393%+422%+451%+481%+510%+54
1%-91%-33%+36%+98%+1510%+219%+276%+334%+392%+451%+51
Margin from Crvena zvezda's side (positive = Crvena zvezda win). Pythia's expected margin is +22.5; Crvena zvezda win by 1+ in 94% of simulations.
Spread Crvena zvezda -3
CZV -3
95.6%
CIB +3
4.4%
Best 5 market prices
CZV
No market prices yet.
CIB
No market prices yet.
Spread Crvena zvezda 0
CZV 0
97.0%
CIB 0
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
CZV
No market prices yet.
CIB
No market prices yet.
Spread Crvena zvezda +3
CZV +3
98.1%
CIB -3
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
CZV
No market prices yet.
CIB
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -0.3-0.3
Crvena zvezdaCibona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A18/10
ABA League
Partizan
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A22/10
Euroleague
Igokea
#11
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A24/10
ABA League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H27/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#18
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H29/10
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H01/11
ABA League
Olympiacos
#2
W
40-22
40
22
+18
A06/11
Euroleague
Slovan Bratislava
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H09/11
ABA League
Real Madrid
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A12/11
Euroleague
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
ABA League
86.9Avg total
45.3Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.543.387.9+1.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.642.089.6+5.687%-
Last 30 away (15)41.544.786.1-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)45.341.686.9+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)47.042.289.2+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.056.0100.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (14)43.546.089.5-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)45.540.085.5+5.580%-
This opponent (Cibona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CibonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Legia
#16
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H20/10
Champions League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#19
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H23/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H25/10
Premijer liga
Igokea
#11
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H30/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A31/10
Premijer liga
Strasbourg
#11
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A03/11
Champions League
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H06/11
Premijer liga
Siroki Brijeg
#7
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A09/11
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#16
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/11
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A14/11
Premijer liga
84.6Avg total
43.1Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.184.0+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.240.985.1+3.259%-
Last 30 away (13)41.441.282.6+0.254%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.584.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.887.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.740.977.6-4.114%-
vs Similar (10)43.244.587.7-1.340%-
vs Weaker (13)46.238.584.7+7.692%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.922.2
61.8%
57.4%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.5
37.9%
33.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.4
76.6%
73.2%14.4
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cibonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cibona: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.7 points a game
52%
29%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.223.4
55.5%
57.4%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.6
38.4%
33.1%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.112.9
67.5%
73.2%12.9
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLWWWWWWLW
Cibona
WWWWLWLWWL
#3
League position
#14
+14.0
Net rating
+3.9
106.5
Offensive rating
102.2
92.5
Defensive rating
98.2
59.7%
Effective FG%
56.2%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
13.2%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.9%
3-point %
38.4%
71.3%
Assist %
61.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 102.2Defence92.5 · 98.2Shooting59.7% · 56.2%3-point %37.9% · 38.4%Ball care13.2% · 14.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Cibona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Crvena zvezda wins
1
Cibona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HCedevita Olimpija94-83
12/11/26AReal Madrid84-105
09/11/26HSlovan Bratislava91-80
06/11/26AOlympiacos62-57
01/11/26HSiroki Brijeg100-82
29/10/26HBayern103-73
27/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv100-78
24/10/26AIgokea81-80
22/10/26APartizan82-85 OT
18/10/26AKK Krka Novo mesto97-78
Cibonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ADubrovnik95-71
13/11/26HFMP Beograd80-77
09/11/26ASiroki Brijeg102-93
06/11/26HDinamo Zagreb88-75
03/11/26AStrasbourg70-95
31/10/26ASplit93-81 OT
30/10/26HIgokea69-89
25/10/26HCedevita Junior98-67
23/10/26HKK Krka Novo mesto99-84
20/10/26HLegia77-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game93.396.589.0
Allowed / game83.484.082.7
Point differential+9.9+12.5+6.3
Avg total176.7180.5171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cibona
ABA League 2026
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW43%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %43%40%50%
Points / game86.084.889.0
Allowed / game88.187.091.0
Point differential-2.1-2.2-2.0
Avg total174.1171.8180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai770100%94.080.7+13.3
2 Partizan76186%88.077.0+11.0
3 Crvena zvezda76186%93.383.4+9.9
4 Buducnost75271%89.481.9+7.6
5 KK Bosna75271%89.785.9+3.9
6 Cedevita Olimpija74357%85.182.0+3.1
7 Siroki Brijeg74357%85.985.0+0.9
8 Spartak Subotica74357%83.082.3+0.7
9 Slovan Bratislava63350%82.284.5-2.3
10 Borac Mozzart63350%84.790.2-5.5
11 Igokea73443%85.985.6+0.3
12 Cluj-Napoca73443%85.786.3-0.6
13 Zadar73443%75.175.9-0.7
14 Cibona73443%86.088.1-2.1
15 Vienna Basket62433%80.583.2-2.7
16 FMP Beograd72529%79.983.1-3.3
17 Perspektiva Ilirija72529%75.379.6-4.3
18 Mega Basket72529%81.691.6-10.0
19 KK Krka Novo mesto71614%74.083.6-9.6
20 Studentski Centar6060%81.093.8-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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