Crvena zvezda vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 31 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 61-80

20-15 14-20 15-20 12-25

Position#13

Record12-10

FormWWWWL

Points / game76.4

Allowed / game77.7

Crvena zvezda

Darussafaka 🏆

Position#16

Record7-15

FormWWLLL

Points / game72.6

Allowed / game76.2

EuroleagueRound 13

European cup2015

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Darussafaka

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Darussafaka winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

60-68

-8

H20/02

Korac cup

Anadolu Efes

91-82

H26/02

Euroleague

Cibona

94-83

+11

A29/02

ABA League

Fenerbahce

65-72

-7

A04/03

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

77-67

+10

H07/03

ABA League

Panathinaikos

69-67

H11/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

97-88 OT

H15/03

ABA League

Unicaja

#11

78-72

A18/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

73-65

A22/03

ABA League

Lokomotiv Kuban

62-86

-24

A24/03

Euroleague

13-17

12-16

14-19

21-16

24-19

14-27

25-19

28-17

24-17

26-29

25-22

19-15

18-14

16-11

6-24

25-23

22-25

18-9

20-17

17-16

10-18

18-13

25-11

16-25

22-14

15-29

19-13

26-26

12-20

15-23

26-17

25-12

16-19

18-20

21-10

18-16

15-19

20-26

14-21

13-20

151.6Avg total

76.6Scored

75.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	76.4	77.7	154.1	-1.3	55%
Season at home (11)	82.0	76.2	158.2	+5.8	82%
Season away (11)	70.8	79.3	150.1	-8.5	27%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	75.0	151.6	+1.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	75.8	75.6	151.4	+0.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	73.8	76.1	149.9	-2.4	50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)	77.3	72.0	149.3	+5.3	67%
vs Weaker (15)	81.4	71.9	153.3	+9.5	80%

This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

69-66

H04/02

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

58-82

-24

A12/02

Euroleague

Trabzonspor

83-52

+31

H18/02

Turkish Cup

Banvit

76-74

H19/02

Turkish Cup

Fenerbahce

65-67

-2

A21/02

Turkish Cup

Unicaja

#11

78-55

+23

H25/02

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

83-77

A03/03

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

68-72

-4

H11/03

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

69-77

-8

A17/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

84-86

-2

H24/03

Euroleague

21-19

20-18

14-17

14-12

16-19

12-25

12-16

18-22

12-14

20-15

22-10

29-13

25-13

8-28

21-16

22-17

18-21

15-17

18-18

14-11

19-16

18-12

22-17

19-10

24-19

19-19

16-23

24-16

15-13

11-21

24-21

18-17

21-25

18-20

15-12

15-20

30-22

12-18

21-25

21-21

144.1Avg total

73.3Scored

70.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	72.6	76.2	148.8	-3.6	32%
Season at home (11)	73.8	73.6	147.5	+0.2	36%
Season away (11)	71.4	78.7	150.1	-7.4	27%
Last 10 (10)	73.3	70.8	144.1	+2.5	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	73.4	149.8	+3.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	72.7	83.1	155.8	-10.4	0%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	71.2	72.7	143.8	-1.5	42%
vs Weaker (6)	76.2	62.8	139.0	+13.3	100%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaDarussafaka

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.3	17.6	39.9	+4.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.6	19.1	36.7	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	18.0	33.0	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.7	17.9	37.5	+1.8	47%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.1	38.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	19.5	40.3	+1.3	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	18.6	36.4	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	18.1	38.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.0	40.8	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.1	21.0	40.1	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.8	19.3	40.2	+1.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.4	36.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.6	17.8	34.3	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.3	19.1	39.4	+1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.2	20.3	37.5	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	22.2	39.4	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.5	62%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	16.8	18.3	35.2	-1.5	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.3	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.9	19.0	35.9	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	16.2	18.2	34.4	-2.0	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.7	20.0	37.7	-2.3	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	19.3	34.6	-4.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.6	18.0	33.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	16.5	21.7	38.2	-5.3	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.5	18.8	35.3	-2.3	25%	-
vs Weaker (6)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	83%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

25-33

-8

H20/02

Korac cup

Anadolu Efes

38-46

-8

H26/02

Euroleague

Cibona

50-46

A29/02

ABA League

Fenerbahce

34-25

A04/03

Euroleague

KK Krka Novo mesto

#11

40-34

H07/03

ABA League

Panathinaikos

28-31

-3

H11/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

37-43

-6

H15/03

ABA League

Unicaja

#11

27-43

-16

A18/03

Euroleague

Cedevita

34-39

-5

A22/03

ABA League

Lokomotiv Kuban

35-45

-10

A24/03

Euroleague

73.3Avg total

34.8Scored

38.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	36.7	75.1	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.9	38.2	76.1	-0.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.8	38.5	73.3	-3.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	40.2	72.4	-8.0	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	38.1	37.9	76.0	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	36.8	37.5	74.3	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (15)	38.7	36.5	75.2	+2.1	67%	-

This opponent (Darussafaka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

41-37

H04/02

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

28-44

-16

A12/02

Euroleague

Trabzonspor

32-29

H18/02

Turkish Cup

Banvit

33-41

-8

H19/02

Turkish Cup

Fenerbahce

33-38

-5

A21/02

Turkish Cup

Unicaja

#11

37-28

H25/02

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

43-38

A03/03

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

26-34

-8

H11/03

Euroleague

Fenerbahce

39-45

-6

A17/03

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

42-40

H24/03

Euroleague

72.8Avg total

35.4Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	38.1	74.4	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.0	37.7	74.7	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.4	38.6	74.1	-3.2	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	37.4	72.8	-2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.0	74.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	35.5	42.7	78.3	-7.2	9%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	37.3	38.2	75.5	-0.8	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	36.2	31.2	67.3	+5.0	83%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	17.2	36.7	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.1	37.9	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.1	17.3	35.4	+0.8	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	17.3	36.8	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	14.4	35.4	+6.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.4	18.1	35.5	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	17.3	19.3	36.7	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.9	16.3	38.1	+5.6	80%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.7	36.5	-1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	17.8	34.9	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	19.8	38.2	-1.4	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	17.5	36.0	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	17.7	22.2	39.9	-4.5	18%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.8	18.8	36.6	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	17.0	13.7	30.7	+3.3	83%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.7	37.8	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.6	19.1	41.6	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.2	33.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.8	39.4	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	18.2	20.1	38.4	-1.9	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	23.2	15.2	38.3	+8.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (15)	19.2	18.1	37.3	+1.1	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	16.7	35.3	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	15.4	35.6	+4.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.8	18.1	34.9	-1.4	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	15.9	35.3	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.8	36.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	19.5	18.2	37.6	+1.3	55%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	16.1	15.7	31.8	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	16.7	36.8	+3.5	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.5	34.9	74.5	+4.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.3	36.2	79.5	+7.1	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.2	33.5	68.7	+1.7	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	35.9	76.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	34.2	74.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	35.6	38.2	73.9	-2.6	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (6)	40.5	34.5	75.0	+6.0	83%	-
vs Weaker (15)	41.1	34.3	75.4	+6.7	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.3	35.4	71.7	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	37.2	33.2	70.5	+4.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.2	37.9	73.1	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.9	33.4	71.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	36.4	75.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)	37.2	40.4	77.5	-3.2	27%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	33.8	34.5	68.3	-0.7	42%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.2	30.3	67.5	+6.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Darussafaka wins

Date	Game	Score
04/02/16	Darussafaka v Crvena zvezda	69-66

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	62-86
22/03/16	A	Cedevita	73-65
18/03/16	A	Unicaja	78-72
15/03/16	H	Cedevita	97-88 OT
11/03/16	H	Panathinaikos	69-67
07/03/16	H	KK Krka Novo mesto	77-67
04/03/16	A	Fenerbahce	65-72
29/02/16	A	Cibona	94-83
26/02/16	H	Anadolu Efes	91-82
20/02/16	H	Partizan	60-68

Darussafakalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/03/16	H	Panathinaikos	84-86
17/03/16	A	Fenerbahce	69-77
11/03/16	H	Anadolu Efes	68-72
03/03/16	A	Cedevita	83-77
25/02/16	H	Unicaja	78-55
21/02/16	A	Fenerbahce	65-67
19/02/16	H	Banvit	76-74
18/02/16	H	Trabzonspor	83-52
12/02/16	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	58-82
04/02/16	H	Crvena zvezda	69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	55%
Home	WWWWW	82%
Away	WLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	55%	82%	27%
Points / game	76.4	82.0	70.8
Allowed / game	77.7	76.2	79.3
Point differential	-1.3	+5.8	-8.5
Avg total	154.1	158.2	150.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	36%	18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	100% (2)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Darussafaka

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	32%
Home	LWWLL	36%
Away	LLLWL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	36%	27%
Points / game	72.6	73.8	71.4
Allowed / game	76.2	73.6	78.7
Point differential	-3.6	+0.2	-7.4
Avg total	148.8	147.5	150.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	9%	9%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	17% (6)	20% (5)	0% (1)
Overtime %	5%	9%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fenerbahce	22	18	4	82%	77.6	71.9	+5.7
2	CSKA Moscow	22	17	5	77%	91.4	81.2	+10.2
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	23	17	6	74%	76.8	68.4	+8.4
4	Baskonia	22	14	8	64%	82.1	75.6	+6.5
5	Panathinaikos	22	14	8	64%	75.5	72.1	+3.4
6	Olympiacos	23	14	9	61%	76.0	73.8	+2.2
7	Barcelona	22	12	10	55%	80.3	76.8	+3.5
8	Anadolu Efes	22	12	10	55%	82.1	78.9	+3.3
9	Bamberg	22	12	10	55%	77.5	75.6	+1.9
10	Crvena zvezda	22	12	10	55%	76.4	77.7	-1.3
11	Khimki M.	23	12	11	52%	82.3	78.0	+4.2
12	Real Madrid	22	11	11	50%	84.4	82.5	+1.9
13	Unicaja	23	10	13	43%	72.2	75.1	-2.9
14	Bayern	10	4	6	40%	76.3	78.0	-1.7
15	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	4	6	40%	75.0	79.2	-4.2
16	Darussafaka	22	7	15	32%	72.6	76.2	-3.6
17	Cedevita	22	7	15	32%	74.8	80.4	-5.6
18	Zalgiris Kaunas	22	7	15	32%	70.9	79.3	-8.4
19	Olimpia Milano	10	3	7	30%	73.7	79.7	-6.0
20	Karsiyaka	10	3	7	30%	69.8	77.2	-7.4
21	Strasbourg	10	3	7	30%	71.1	81.4	-10.3
22	Limoges	10	3	7	30%	69.8	82.3	-12.5
23	Zielona Gora	10	2	8	20%	66.4	74.8	-8.4
24	Sassari	10	0	10	0%	69.0	83.9	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	20	14	15	12	61
Darussafaka	15	20	20	25	80

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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