Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 04 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 72-65

14-18 11-16 24-6 23-25

Position#2

Record15-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game80.3

Allowed / game72.6

Fenerbahce 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#13

Record10-8

FormWWLWW

Points / game78.2

Allowed / game78.5

EuroleagueRound 9

European cup2015

Meetings · Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

88-65

+23

A08/01

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

85-79

H14/01

Euroleague

Darussafaka

#16

106-100

106

100

A22/01

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

86-73

+13

H28/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

77-73

A05/02

Euroleague

Unicaja

#11

80-59

+21

H11/02

Euroleague

Buyukcekmece

89-69

+20

H17/02

Turkish Cup

Karsiyaka

82-72

+10

A19/02

Turkish Cup

Darussafaka

67-65

H21/02

Turkish Cup

Panathinaikos

71-76

-5

A25/02

Euroleague

23-20

18-8

22-18

25-19

20-18

17-27

14-15

34-19

37-24

25-27

24-22

20-27

27-12

13-21

22-28

24-12

18-21

17-20

20-16

22-16

16-15

25-13

20-17

19-14

20-14

23-16

25-21

21-18

20-21

16-18

32-21

14-12

21-18

17-15

18-18

11-14

20-15

16-21

17-19

18-21

156.2Avg total

83.1Scored

73.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	80.3	72.6	152.9	+7.7	83%
Season at home (9)	81.3	69.7	151.0	+11.7	100%
Season away (9)	79.2	75.6	154.8	+3.7	67%
Last 10 (10)	83.1	73.1	156.2	+10.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	77.8	68.2	146.0	+9.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	83.5	91.0	174.5	-7.5	0%
vs Similar (7)	77.1	74.1	151.3	+3.0	86%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	81.3	72.2	153.4	+9.1	85%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lokomotiv Kuban

80-66

+14

H29/01

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

92-79

+13

H01/02

ABA League

Darussafaka

#16

66-69

-3

A04/02

Euroleague

Igokea

74-54

+20

A07/02

ABA League

Cedevita

#17

94-74

+20

H11/02

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

96-67

+29

H14/02

ABA League

Smederevo

89-44

+45

H19/02

Korac cup

Partizan

60-68

-8

H20/02

Korac cup

Anadolu Efes

91-82

H26/02

Euroleague

Cibona

94-83

+11

A29/02

ABA League

33-21

17-16

17-17

13-12

29-18

19-22

30-13

14-26

19-21

18-20

17-14

12-14

19-7

16-23

23-14

16-10

26-12

17-20

19-24

32-18

18-15

22-21

28-15

28-16

30-12

17-12

14-11

28-9

13-17

12-16

14-19

21-16

24-19

14-27

25-19

28-17

24-17

26-29

25-22

19-15

152.2Avg total

83.6Scored

68.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	78.2	78.5	156.7	-0.3	56%
Season at home (10)	83.3	77.1	160.4	+6.2	80%
Season away (8)	71.8	80.2	152.0	-8.5	25%
Last 10 (10)	83.6	68.6	152.2	+15.0	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.0	68.8	154.8	+17.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	78.7	79.1	157.9	-0.4	57%
vs Similar (6)	80.0	74.7	154.7	+5.3	67%
vs Weaker (16)	79.1	70.1	149.1	+9.0	75%

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FenerbahceCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.5	40.0	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+2.9	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.8	19.7	42.5	+3.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.8	40.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	23.5	40.5	-6.5	50%	-
vs Similar (7)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	71%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.9	17.8	39.7	+4.1	65%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.2	39.7	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	17.4	40.9	+6.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.2	19.1	38.4	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	15.9	39.4	+7.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	23.3	20.9	44.1	+2.4	71%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.8	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.8	17.2	37.0	+2.6	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	19.5	38.2	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.6	36.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	28.0	40.5	-15.5	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.4	18.6	38.0	+0.8	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.5	37.4	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	18.5	35.6	-1.4	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	18.6	39.4	+2.3	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.0	39.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.9	21.1	40.0	-2.3	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	17.3	18.7	36.0	-1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.6	17.8	37.3	+1.8	56%	-

FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Crvena zvezda

#13

41-28

+13

A08/01

Euroleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

37-45

-8

H14/01

Euroleague

Darussafaka

#16

62-51

+11

A22/01

Euroleague

Cedevita

#17

40-33

H28/01

Euroleague

Anadolu Efes

35-41

-6

A05/02

Euroleague

Unicaja

#11

41-28

+13

H11/02

Euroleague

Buyukcekmece

43-30

+13

H17/02

Turkish Cup

Karsiyaka

36-39

-3

A19/02

Turkish Cup

Darussafaka

38-33

H21/02

Turkish Cup

Panathinaikos

36-36

A25/02

Euroleague

77.3Avg total

40.9Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	37.9	78.2	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	39.8	37.1	76.8	+2.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.8	39.1	79.9	+1.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.9	36.4	77.3	+4.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	33.2	72.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	29.5	51.5	81.0	-22.0	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	40.0	39.7	79.7	+0.3	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	41.2	36.4	77.6	+4.9	70%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Lokomotiv Kuban

50-37

+13

H29/01

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#10

48-40

H01/02

ABA League

Darussafaka

#16

37-41

-4

A04/02

Euroleague

Igokea

35-30

A07/02

ABA League

Cedevita

#17

43-32

+11

H11/02

Euroleague

Sutjeska

#13

40-36

H14/02

ABA League

Smederevo

47-24

+23

H19/02

Korac cup

Partizan

25-33

-8

H20/02

Korac cup

Anadolu Efes

38-46

-8

H26/02

Euroleague

Cibona

50-46

A29/02

ABA League

77.8Avg total

41.3Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	36.7	77.1	+3.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.8	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.1	37.7	77.8	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	36.5	77.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	37.0	77.0	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	42.1	42.0	84.1	+0.1	43%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	37.5	77.5	+2.5	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.4	34.9	74.3	+4.4	75%	-

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.7	37.4	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.6	18.0	38.6	+2.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.4	17.3	35.7	+1.1	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	19.5	40.9	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	19.2	41.6	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	27.5	19.5	47.0	+8.0	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	15.9	15.9	31.7	+0.0	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.9	18.0	38.0	+1.9	60%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	17.8	36.8	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	18.6	39.1	+2.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.8	38.0	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	17.2	38.4	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.0	17.7	35.7	+0.3	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	16.3	20.5	36.8	-4.2	17%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.8	17.2	37.9	+3.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	17.8	38.3	+2.7	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	15.4	36.7	+5.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.2	38.0	+3.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	15.8	32.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	26.5	20.0	46.5	+6.5	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	21.3	18.6	39.9	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	19.6	17.4	37.0	+2.2	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	17.4	37.2	+2.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	23.2	18.4	41.6	+4.9	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	15.8	16.4	32.1	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	15.3	36.4	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	14.6	39.4	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.9	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	23.7	16.7	40.3	+7.0	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	18.3	17.4	35.7	+0.9	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	35.5	75.7	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	41.9	33.4	75.4	+8.5	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	38.3	76.2	-0.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	36.7	78.9	+5.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.0	35.0	74.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	54.0	39.5	93.5	+14.5	100%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.1	34.4	71.6	+2.7	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	39.5	35.4	74.9	+4.2	60%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	35.2	74.0	+3.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	36.9	80.8	+6.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.0	33.2	66.2	-0.2	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	32.1	74.4	+10.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	31.8	77.8	+14.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	36.6	37.1	73.7	-0.6	57%	-
vs Similar (6)	40.0	37.2	77.2	+2.8	83%	-
vs Weaker (16)	39.1	34.6	73.6	+4.5	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fenerbahce wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/16	Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce	65-88
11/12/15	Fenerbahce v Crvena zvezda	79-61
06/11/15	Crvena zvezda v Fenerbahce	60-74

Fenerbahcelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/16	A	Panathinaikos	71-76
21/02/16	H	Darussafaka	67-65
19/02/16	A	Karsiyaka	82-72
17/02/16	H	Buyukcekmece	89-69
11/02/16	H	Unicaja	80-59
05/02/16	A	Anadolu Efes	77-73
28/01/16	H	Cedevita	86-73
22/01/16	A	Darussafaka	106-100
14/01/16	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	85-79
08/01/16	A	Crvena zvezda	88-65

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/16	A	Cibona	94-83
26/02/16	H	Anadolu Efes	91-82
20/02/16	H	Partizan	60-68
19/02/16	H	Smederevo	89-44
14/02/16	H	Sutjeska	96-67
11/02/16	H	Cedevita	94-74
07/02/16	A	Igokea	74-54
04/02/16	A	Darussafaka	66-69
01/02/16	H	MZT Skopje	92-79
29/01/16	H	Lokomotiv Kuban	80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	83%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWL	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	9	9
Win %	83%	100%	67%
Points / game	80.3	81.3	79.2
Allowed / game	72.6	69.7	75.6
Point differential	+7.7	+11.7	+3.7
Avg total	152.9	151.0	154.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	56%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

Euroleague 2015

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLWW	56%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLLWL	25%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	10	8
Win %	56%	80%	25%
Points / game	78.2	83.3	71.8
Allowed / game	78.5	77.1	80.2
Point differential	-0.3	+6.2	-8.5
Avg total	156.7	160.4	152.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	40%	25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	100% (1)	0% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	CSKA Moscow	19	16	3	84%	91.6	79.9	+11.7
2	Fenerbahce	18	15	3	83%	80.3	72.6	+7.7
3	Lokomotiv Kuban	19	15	4	79%	77.3	69.1	+8.2
4	Baskonia	18	12	6	67%	82.6	74.3	+8.3
5	Panathinaikos	19	12	7	63%	74.9	71.3	+3.7
6	Olympiacos	18	11	7	61%	75.3	73.2	+2.2
7	Crvena zvezda	18	10	8	56%	78.2	78.5	-0.3
8	Khimki M.	19	10	9	53%	81.9	77.7	+4.2
9	Barcelona	19	10	9	53%	80.2	76.4	+3.7
10	Real Madrid	19	10	9	53%	85.1	82.5	+2.6
11	Anadolu Efes	19	9	10	47%	82.5	80.2	+2.3
12	Bamberg	19	9	10	47%	76.7	75.3	+1.4
13	Unicaja	19	9	10	47%	72.2	73.9	-1.7
14	Bayern	10	4	6	40%	76.3	78.0	-1.7
15	Maccabi Tel Aviv	10	4	6	40%	75.0	79.2	-4.2
16	Darussafaka	19	7	12	37%	72.4	75.8	-3.4
17	Zalgiris Kaunas	19	7	12	37%	71.3	79.2	-7.9
18	Cedevita	19	6	13	32%	73.8	81.0	-7.2
19	Olimpia Milano	10	3	7	30%	73.7	79.7	-6.0
20	Karsiyaka	10	3	7	30%	69.8	77.2	-7.4
21	Strasbourg	10	3	7	30%	71.1	81.4	-10.3
22	Limoges	10	3	7	30%	69.8	82.3	-12.5
23	Zielona Gora	10	2	8	20%	66.4	74.8	-8.4
24	Sassari	10	0	10	0%	69.0	83.9	-14.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fenerbahce	14	11	24	23	72
Crvena zvezda	18	16	6	25	65

← all games of the day

Fenerbahce vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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