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Crvena zvezda vs Unicaja Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 105-89
26-27 31-14 24-24 24-24
Position#9
Record7-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game77.6
vs
Position#6
Record11-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEurocupRound 6
European cup2018
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Unicaja
05 Feb 2019
CZV105
UNI89
02 Mar 2018
CZV80
UNI76
22 Jan 2016
CZV87
UNI73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Unicaja winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
96-66
96
66
+30
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
W
79-77
79
77
+2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
76-92
76
92
-16
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
68-84
68
84
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
89-61
89
61
+28
H02/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-16
15-16
18-21
25-18
22-13
30-18
17-23
27-12
13-26
24-25
18-14
19-14
20-18
21-25
18-19
20-15
23-21
14-21
20-25
19-25
18-9
22-12
16-23
23-18
17-21
27-21
14-22
23-18
20-21
13-28
12-21
23-14
16-15
19-25
25-8
11-24
24-19
25-10
17-18
23-14
154.2Avg total
79.6Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)80.777.6158.3+3.147%
Season at home (7)86.074.3160.3+11.771%
Season away (8)76.080.5156.5-4.525%
Last 10 (10)79.674.6154.2+5.050%
Last 5 (5)77.672.2149.8+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.587.0165.5-8.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.783.0159.7-6.333%
vs Weaker (22)84.969.4154.3+15.586%
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
74-85
74
85
-11
A02/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
61-78
61
78
-17
H06/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H08/01
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H12/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H15/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
86-89
86
89
-3
A20/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A23/01
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
L
83-94
83
94
-11
A27/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H30/01
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
W
103-102 OT
103
102
+1
H03/02
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-22
25-23
20-21
16-19
12-9
10-21
21-25
18-23
26-13
25-24
14-18
14-19
19-16
19-18
28-18
16-24
24-18
17-13
23-24
15-17
25-26
20-15
19-22
22-26
21-18
19-20
18-23
20-16
15-17
26-24
18-25
24-28
19-14
26-21
15-19
9-18
19-27
22-30
28-19
26-19
161.3Avg total
79.4Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.978.5164.4+7.373%
Season at home (8)86.972.8159.6+14.188%
Season away (7)84.785.1169.9-0.457%
Last 10 (10)79.481.9161.3-2.550%
Last 5 (5)83.886.8170.6-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.684.2163.9-4.638%
vs Similar ◀ (7)83.682.9166.4+0.757%
vs Weaker (15)90.378.7169.1+11.693%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -2.9-2.9
Crvena zvezdaUnicaja
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Limoges
#17
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H02/01
Eurocup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#12
W
52-31
52
31
+21
A04/01
ABA League
Unicaja
#6
L
37-51
37
51
-14
A08/01
Eurocup
Igokea
#9
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A12/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A16/01
Eurocup
FMP Beograd
#6
W
40-21
40
21
+19
H19/01
ABA League
Valencia
#1
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H23/01
Eurocup
Cedevita
#2
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/01
ABA League
Limoges
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A29/01
Eurocup
Petrol Olimpija
#13
W
49-29
49
29
+20
H02/02
ABA League
78.8Avg total
40.8Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.236.279.4+7.073%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.133.180.3+14.0100%-
Last 30 away (16)39.838.978.7+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)40.838.078.8+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)40.236.276.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.542.082.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.241.380.5-2.267%-
vs Weaker (22)44.634.378.9+10.377%-
This opponent (Unicaja) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UnicajaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A02/01
Eurocup
Tenerife
#7
L
22-30
22
30
-8
H06/01
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#9
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H08/01
Eurocup
Estudiantes
#16
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H12/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H15/01
Eurocup
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A20/01
ACB
Limoges
#17
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A23/01
Eurocup
Barcelona
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A27/01
ACB
Valencia
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H30/01
Eurocup
Real Madrid
#1
L
41-57
41
57
-16
H03/02
ACB
79.1Avg total
40.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.339.882.1+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.538.079.5+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)43.242.285.4+1.154%-
Last 10 (10)40.238.979.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.442.484.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.141.080.1-1.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)40.340.680.9-0.343%-
vs Weaker (15)44.938.883.7+6.173%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.2
55.8%
51.9%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.49.4
37.0%
36.6%28.2
🏀 Free throws16.612.0
72.3%
74.9%12.0
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Unicajatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Unicaja: 77.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.216.6
56.8%
51.9%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.8
35.4%
36.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws18.815.1
80.3%
74.9%15.1
They take 56.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crvena zvezda
WLLLWLWLWW
Unicaja
WLLWLWWWLL
#9
League position
#6
+6.8
Net rating
-1.7
110.9
Offensive rating
109.8
104.1
Defensive rating
111.5
55.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
17.6%
Turnover %
18.5%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
35.4%
64.0%
Assist %
61.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 109.8Defence104.1 · 111.5Shooting55.7% · 55.0%3-point %37.0% · 35.4%Ball care17.6% · 18.5%Off. rebounds30.0% · 25.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Crvena zvezda   ■ Unicaja
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Crvena zvezda wins
2
Unicaja wins
DateGameScore
08/01/19Unicaja v Crvena zvezda79-74
02/03/18Crvena zvezda v Unicaja80-76
10/11/17Unicaja v Crvena zvezda79-65
18/03/16Unicaja v Crvena zvezda72-78
22/01/16Crvena zvezda v Unicaja87-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/19HPetrol Olimpija89-61
29/01/19ALimoges71-72
26/01/19ACedevita68-84
23/01/19HValencia81-82
19/01/19HFMP Beograd79-62
16/01/19AValencia76-92
12/01/19AIgokea79-77
08/01/19AUnicaja74-79
04/01/19AKK Krka Novo mesto96-66
02/01/19HLimoges83-71
Unicajalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/19HReal Madrid103-102 OT
30/01/19HValencia69-72
27/01/19ABarcelona83-94
23/01/19ALimoges78-77
20/01/19AObradoiro CAB86-89
15/01/19HLimoges79-72
12/01/19HEstudiantes82-76
08/01/19HCrvena zvezda79-74
06/01/19HTenerife61-78
02/01/19AValencia74-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL47%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %47%71%25%
Points / game80.786.076.0
Allowed / game77.674.380.5
Point differential+3.1+11.7-4.5
Avg total158.3160.3156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%57%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Unicaja
Eurocup 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL73%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game85.986.984.7
Allowed / game78.572.885.1
Point differential+7.3+14.1-0.4
Avg total164.4159.6169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unics Kazan1513287%86.175.7+10.4
2 Valencia1513287%83.775.5+8.2
3 Lokomotiv Kuban1512380%83.575.4+8.1
4 Lyon-Villeurbanne1512380%77.970.9+6.9
5 Unicaja1511473%85.978.5+7.3
6 Alba Berlin1511473%86.881.9+4.9
7 MoraBanc Andorra1511473%86.482.1+4.3
8 Monaco159660%76.474.9+1.5
9 Crvena zvezda157847%80.777.6+3.1
10 Ulm157847%83.282.5+0.7
11 Rytas157847%78.979.5-0.7
12 Partizan156940%74.975.7-0.7
13 Tofas104640%90.993.7-2.8
14 Frankfurt156940%72.777.5-4.8
15 Turk Telekom104640%76.681.9-5.3
16 Zenit Petersburg1551033%82.383.1-0.8
17 Limoges1551033%78.982.4-3.5
18 Cedevita1551033%83.587.2-3.7
19 Brescia103730%78.084.2-6.2
20 Galatasaray103730%78.585.3-6.8
21 Trento103730%75.884.0-8.2
22 Mornar Bar102820%77.290.5-13.3
23 Gdynia101910%75.587.0-11.5
24 Torino100100%82.089.8-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda26312424105
Unicaja2714242489
← all games of the day
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