Crvena zvezda vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Dec 2009

Tip-off: 18:30

Final 86-88

21-19 20-24 24-18 21-27

Position#9

Record5-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game77.6

Crvena zvezda

Vrsac 🏆

Position#3

Record5-4

FormWWLWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game75.9

ABA LeagueRound 11

Domestic2009

Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Vrsac

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Vrsac winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zagreb

89-66

+23

H17/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

76-94

-18

A24/10

ABA League

Radnicki

#11

100-101

100

101

-1

H31/10

ABA League

Cedevita

74-88

-14

A07/11

ABA League

Siroki Brijeg

#10

97-81

+16

H14/11

ABA League

Partizan

76-73

A19/11

ABA League

Cibona

72-51

+21

H21/11

ABA League

Dynamo Moscow

#38

76-67

H24/11

Eurocup

Helios Domzale

#14

72-66

A28/11

ABA League

Treviso

#15

78-71

A01/12

Eurocup

27-15

17-16

18-12

27-23

14-30

15-16

23-27

24-21

31-16

21-33

24-31

24-21

18-18

23-21

17-24

16-25

21-20

26-17

31-27

19-17

18-16

18-19

22-19

21-20

19-18

18-11

14-2

13-23

24-16

17-11

22-17

23-16

17-23

16-12

16-15

23-14

17-24

17-20

21-13

156.8Avg total

81.0Scored

75.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	80.0	77.6	157.6	+2.4	50%
Season at home (4)	89.5	74.8	164.2	+14.8	75%
Season away (6)	73.7	79.5	153.2	-5.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	81.0	75.8	156.8	+5.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	65.6	140.4	+9.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	71.7	73.0	144.7	-1.3	29%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	72.7	77.9	150.6	-5.2	30%
vs Weaker (13)	79.2	74.8	154.1	+4.4	69%

This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VrsacLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

87-91

-4

A14/10

ABA League

Siroki Brijeg

#10

83-69

+14

H18/10

ABA League

Partizan

80-84 OT

-4

A25/10

ABA League

Cibona

94-96 OT

-2

H01/11

ABA League

Helios Domzale

#14

85-60

+25

A07/11

ABA League

FMP Beograd

#12

77-63

+14

H14/11

ABA League

KK Bosna

#13

82-72

+10

A20/11

ABA League

Valencia

68-75

-7

H24/11

Eurocup

Buducnost

89-71

+18

H28/11

ABA League

Zenit Petersburg

#26

82-83

-1

A01/12

Eurocup

22-18

23-17

23-25

19-31

28-24

20-15

17-12

18-18

12-18

19-18

21-18

15-13

26-22

27-26

15-14

14-20

23-7

28-15

17-20

17-18

24-14

17-20

26-7

10-22

16-18

23-19

26-6

17-29

20-19

16-8

14-27

18-21

31-20

17-18

21-10

20-23

27-15

19-25

20-21

16-22

159.1Avg total

82.7Scored

76.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	83.2	75.9	159.1	+7.3	56%
Season at home (5)	83.0	75.2	158.2	+7.8	60%
Season away (4)	83.5	76.8	160.2	+6.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	82.7	76.4	159.1	+6.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	72.8	152.4	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	71.7	74.8	146.5	-3.2	33%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	80.6	78.8	159.4	+1.8	50%
vs Weaker (12)	80.5	72.5	153.0	+8.0	75%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crvena zvezdaVrsac

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.0	37.0	+1.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.4	19.1	40.5	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.8	39.7	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.4	17.7	36.1	+0.7	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.5	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.2	38.8	+2.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	19.2	41.3	+2.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	17.1	36.3	+2.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	17.5	40.4	+5.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	17.2	40.8	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	18.8	38.2	+0.5	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	19.1	39.6	+1.4	58%	-
vs Weaker (12)	21.4	16.9	38.3	+4.5	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	18.7	37.7	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.2	19.6	40.8	+1.6	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.2	18.1	35.3	-0.8	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.3	40.0	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	19.4	36.3	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	17.1	36.1	+1.9	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	20.1	19.6	39.7	+0.5	46%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.3	38.4	+1.9	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	17.2	36.3	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	19.3	40.6	+1.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	18.1	39.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.0	36.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	15.7	33.7	+2.3	83%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.5	19.4	39.9	+1.1	67%	-
vs Weaker (12)	20.9	18.4	39.3	+2.5	67%	-

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zagreb

44-31

+13

H17/10

ABA League

Petrol Olimpija

29-46

-17

A24/10

ABA League

Radnicki

#11

52-49

H31/10

ABA League

Cedevita

41-39

A07/11

ABA League

Siroki Brijeg

#10

47-37

+10

H14/11

ABA League

Partizan

36-35

A19/11

ABA League

Cibona

40-38

H21/11

ABA League

Dynamo Moscow

#38

37-39

-2

H24/11

Eurocup

Helios Domzale

#14

40-39

A28/11

ABA League

Treviso

#15

40-38

A01/12

Eurocup

79.7Avg total

40.6Scored

39.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.0	36.7	74.7	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.6	38.7	81.3	+3.9	77%	-
Last 30 away (17)	34.5	35.2	69.7	-0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.6	39.1	79.7	+1.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	37.8	76.4	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.3	37.1	72.4	-1.9	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.0	37.1	74.1	-0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	40.2	36.2	76.5	+4.0	77%	-

This opponent (Vrsac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

VrsacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cedevita

45-35

+10

A14/10

ABA League

Siroki Brijeg

#10

48-39

H18/10

ABA League

Partizan

31-36

-5

A25/10

ABA League

Cibona

53-48

H01/11

ABA League

Helios Domzale

#14

51-22

+29

A07/11

ABA League

FMP Beograd

#12

41-34

H14/11

ABA League

KK Bosna

#13

39-37

A20/11

ABA League

Valencia

36-27

H24/11

Eurocup

Buducnost

48-38

+10

H28/11

ABA League

Zenit Petersburg

#26

46-40

A01/12

Eurocup

79.4Avg total

43.8Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	36.4	77.2	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	36.4	77.5	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.5	36.5	76.9	+4.0	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	35.6	79.4	+8.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	35.2	77.2	+6.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.3	34.5	71.8	+2.8	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	41.0	38.5	79.5	+2.5	58%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.3	35.3	77.7	+7.0	75%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.1	37.9	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (17)	17.1	19.3	36.4	-2.2	24%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	14.6	31.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.7	17.0	35.7	+1.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.5	21.0	38.5	-3.5	40%	-
vs Weaker (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+0.9	46%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	16.7	36.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	18.5	37.5	+0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	14.2	35.6	+7.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.0	18.8	34.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	22.4	16.5	38.9	+5.9	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.1	21.3	39.4	-3.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	18.1	17.2	35.4	+0.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	13.2	32.2	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.2	19.8	38.0	-1.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (13)	18.2	18.5	36.7	-0.2	46%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	20.3	37.3	-3.3	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.2	19.1	36.3	-1.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.5	38.4	-4.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.4	21.7	38.1	-5.3	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	23.4	39.6	-7.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.3	21.5	39.8	-3.2	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	17.7	19.3	37.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (12)	15.8	20.7	36.4	-4.9	25%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	38.1	75.0	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.0	40.2	79.2	-1.2	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	35.2	36.5	71.8	-1.3	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	36.7	77.1	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	27.8	64.0	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	36.4	35.9	72.3	+0.6	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	35.7	40.8	76.5	-5.1	30%	-
vs Weaker (13)	38.0	37.3	75.3	+0.7	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.7	37.9	74.6	-1.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.4	35.8	73.2	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.9	40.0	75.9	-4.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.7	74.1	-1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.6	37.6	75.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	34.3	40.3	74.7	-6.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (12)	36.3	37.4	73.8	-1.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (12)	38.2	37.2	75.3	+1.0	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crvena zvezda wins

Vrsac wins

Date	Game	Score
28/02/09	Crvena zvezda v Vrsac	77-69
24/02/09	Crvena zvezda v Vrsac	65-91
10/02/09	Vrsac v Crvena zvezda	88-73
29/11/08	Vrsac v Crvena zvezda	84-65

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/09	A	Treviso	78-71
28/11/09	A	Helios Domzale	72-66
24/11/09	H	Dynamo Moscow	76-67
21/11/09	H	Cibona	72-51
19/11/09	A	Partizan	76-73
14/11/09	H	Siroki Brijeg	97-81
07/11/09	A	Cedevita	74-88
31/10/09	H	Radnicki	100-101
24/10/09	A	Petrol Olimpija	76-94
17/10/09	H	Zagreb	89-66

Vrsaclast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/12/09	A	Zenit Petersburg	82-83
28/11/09	H	Buducnost	89-71
24/11/09	H	Valencia	68-75
20/11/09	A	KK Bosna	82-72
14/11/09	H	FMP Beograd	77-63
07/11/09	A	Helios Domzale	85-60
01/11/09	H	Cibona	94-96 OT
25/10/09	A	Partizan	80-84 OT
18/10/09	H	Siroki Brijeg	83-69
14/10/09	A	Cedevita	87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda

ABA League 2009

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	50%
Home	WLWW	75%
Away	LLLWW	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	50%	75%	33%
Points / game	80.0	89.5	73.7
Allowed / game	77.6	74.8	79.5
Point differential	+2.4	+14.8	-5.8
Avg total	157.6	164.2	153.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	75%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	0% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	10%	0%	17%

Vrsac

ABA League 2009

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	56%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LLWW	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	5	4
Win %	56%	60%	50%
Points / game	83.2	83.0	83.5
Allowed / game	75.9	75.2	76.8
Point differential	+7.3	+7.8	+6.8
Avg total	159.1	158.2	160.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	60%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (4)	0% (2)	0% (2)
Overtime %	22%	20%	25%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	10	9	1	90%	80.9	65.7	+15.2
2	Petrol Olimpija	10	7	3	70%	78.7	74.2	+4.5
3	Zagreb	10	7	3	70%	77.9	78.2	-0.3
4	Zadar	10	6	4	60%	82.1	72.3	+9.8
5	Partizan	10	6	4	60%	72.0	70.3	+1.7
6	Vrsac	9	5	4	56%	83.2	75.9	+7.3
7	Crvena zvezda	10	5	5	50%	80.0	77.6	+2.4
8	Buducnost	11	5	6	45%	75.2	72.8	+2.4
9	Siroki Brijeg	11	5	6	45%	78.1	80.2	-2.1
10	Cedevita	11	5	6	45%	78.9	81.7	-2.8
11	Radnicki	11	4	7	36%	70.6	80.2	-9.5
12	FMP Beograd	10	3	7	30%	75.2	78.2	-3.0
13	Helios Domzale	10	3	7	30%	68.4	77.8	-9.4
14	KK Bosna	11	2	9	18%	64.8	77.7	-12.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crvena zvezda	21	20	24	21	86
Vrsac	19	24	18	27	88

← all games of the day

Crvena zvezda vs Vrsac Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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