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Crvena zvezda vs Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Feb 2012
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 87-74
25-23 25-20 14-16 23-15
Position#10
Record8-12
FormLWWWL
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#8
Record11-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 19
Domestic2011
Meetings · Crvena zvezda v Zagreb
24 Feb 2012
CZV87
ZAG74
24 Dec 2010
CZV89
ZAG82
17 Oct 2009
CZV89
ZAG66
14 Mar 2009
CZV95
ZAG83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#12
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A05/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H10/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#6
L
73-74
73
74
-1
A15/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
70-56
70
56
+14
A20/01
ABA League
Radnicki
#9
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A08/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#13
W
86-69
86
69
+17
H12/02
ABA League
BKK Radnicki
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
H17/02
Korac cup
Vrsac
#3
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
51-64
51
64
-13
A19/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
23-23
19-13
26-14
19-10
11-12
18-18
15-17
18-20
16-14
17-25
22-15
12-13
20-14
24-17
14-12
21-21
18-21
26-19
25-25
17-18
28-24
18-24
28-30
20-14
24-18
26-17
16-20
31-18
25-17
18-14
14-25
26-14
20-9
12-17
13-25
14-17
13-15
15-15
9-17
147.8Avg total
76.4Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)81.280.5161.8+0.740%
Season at home (9)86.478.9165.3+7.656%
Season away (11)76.981.9158.8-5.027%
Last 10 (10)76.471.4147.8+5.070%
Last 5 (5)77.473.6151.0+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.283.1158.4-7.912%
vs Similar ◀ (12)79.885.0164.8-5.225%
vs Weaker (9)89.474.8164.2+14.778%
This opponent (Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZagrebLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H18/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#26
L
76-87
76
87
-11
A21/12
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
78-89
78
89
-11
A03/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
A07/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
W
77-67
77
67
+10
H11/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
70-81 OT
70
81
-11
A14/01
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
96-92
96
92
+4
H21/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#6
L
74-78 OT
74
78
-4
H29/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#13
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A03/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H11/02
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
18-22
20-23
27-18
18-28
11-18
21-20
26-21
22-26
19-25
18-21
19-17
20-27
21-29
28-19
16-19
22-10
20-22
25-16
10-19
11-19
16-12
21-15
16-18
33-24
22-27
21-21
20-20
20-21
16-8
24-18
9-22
17-21
26-16
17-25
22-19
15-20
17-11
22-19
17-14
160.1Avg total
79.1Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)79.481.1160.5-1.755%
Season at home (11)80.576.3156.8+4.382%
Season away (9)78.087.0165.0-9.022%
Last 10 (10)79.181.0160.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)78.679.2157.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)74.186.1160.2-12.132%
vs Similar ◀ (7)84.080.9164.9+3.143%
vs Weaker (4)77.871.8149.5+6.0100%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +3.1+3.1Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: -0.5-0.5
Crvena zvezdaZagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A05/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H10/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#6
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A15/01
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A20/01
ABA League
Radnicki
#9
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A08/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#13
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H12/02
ABA League
BKK Radnicki
#6
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H17/02
Korac cup
Vrsac
#3
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H18/02
Korac cup
Partizan
#1
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A19/02
Korac cup
72.4Avg total
38.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)41.639.380.9+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.836.883.6+10.082%-
Last 30 away (12)36.841.578.3-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.572.4+5.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.632.876.4+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.736.875.5+1.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.542.983.4-2.450%-
vs Weaker (6)44.036.380.3+7.767%-
This opponent (Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#26
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A21/12
Euroleague
Siroki Brijeg
#5
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A03/01
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A07/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#12
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H11/01
ABA League
Buducnost
#4
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A14/01
ABA League
Cedevita
#3
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H21/01
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#6
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H29/01
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A03/02
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#14
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H11/02
ABA League
78.1Avg total
38.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.479.6-3.243%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.538.677.1-0.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.944.782.6-6.921%-
Last 10 (10)38.140.078.1-1.950%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.874.4+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.243.779.9-7.532%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)43.739.383.0+4.457%-
vs Weaker (4)38.034.572.5+3.575%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Crvena zvezda wins
3
Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
05/11/11Zagreb v Crvena zvezda102-85
16/03/11Zagreb v Crvena zvezda107-85
24/12/10Crvena zvezda v Zagreb89-82
16/01/10Zagreb v Crvena zvezda81-80
17/10/09Crvena zvezda v Zagreb89-66
14/03/09Crvena zvezda v Zagreb95-83
13/12/08Zagreb v Crvena zvezda80-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/12APartizan51-64
18/02/12HVrsac71-65
17/02/12HBKK Radnicki88-74
12/02/12HHelios Domzale86-69
08/02/12ACedevita91-96
04/02/12ARadnicki90-86
20/01/12AZlatorog Lasko70-56
15/01/12APetrol Olimpija73-74
10/01/12HBuducnost63-57
05/01/12AVrsac81-73
Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/12HZlatorog Lasko71-64
03/02/12AHelios Domzale82-81
29/01/12HPetrol Olimpija74-78 OT
21/01/12HCedevita96-92
14/01/12ABuducnost70-81 OT
11/01/12HVrsac77-67
07/01/12APartizan85-94
03/01/12ASiroki Brijeg78-89
21/12/11AZalgiris Kaunas76-87
18/12/11HCibona82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2011
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLLWWW56%
AwayWLWWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %40%56%27%
Points / game81.286.476.9
Allowed / game80.578.981.9
Point differential+0.7+7.6-5.0
Avg total161.8165.3158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%44%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zagreb
ABA League 2011
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeWWWLW82%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20119
Win %55%82%22%
Points / game79.480.578.0
Allowed / game81.176.387.0
Point differential-1.7+4.3-9.0
Avg total160.5156.8165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%27%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)75% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %15%9%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maccabi Tel Aviv1918195%85.369.3+15.9
2 Cedevita1814478%85.774.3+11.4
3 Partizan1914574%80.769.9+10.8
4 Buducnost1812667%75.872.9+2.9
5 Siroki Brijeg2112957%76.774.4+2.3
6 Cibona2011955%81.079.0+2.0
7 Zagreb2011955%79.481.1-1.7
8 Petrol Olimpija2011955%76.078.4-2.5
9 Radnicki1881044%82.283.6-1.4
10 Crvena zvezda2081240%81.280.5+0.7
11 Vrsac1951426%73.679.8-6.2
12 Helios Domzale1951426%72.382.4-10.1
13 KK Krka Novo mesto2051525%71.878.2-6.3
14 Zlatorog Lasko2121910%65.981.1-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crvena zvezda2525142387
Zagreb2320161574
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