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Zagreb vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2011
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 107-85
33-17 27-25 26-21 21-22
Position#4
Record14-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.8
vs
Position#13
Record8-17
FormLLWLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game81.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 26
Domestic2010
Meetings · Zagreb v Crvena zvezda
05 Nov 2011
ZAG102
CZV85
16 Mar 2011
ZAG107
CZV85
16 Jan 2010
ZAG81
CZV80
13 Dec 2008
ZAG80
CZV84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZagrebLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
104-82
104
82
+22
H15/01
ABA League
Radnicki
#9
L
92-97 OT
92
97
-5
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
99-83
99
83
+16
A23/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H30/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#7
L
81-98
81
98
-17
A05/02
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#10
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H20/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#6
W
102-97
102
97
+5
A26/02
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
H06/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#5
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A08/03
ABA League
Nymburk
#8
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A11/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
28-17
31-22
23-20
17-15
18-18
29-23
17-25
19-25
30-22
27-18
23-18
18-20
17-21
19-15
15-21
21-21
20-35
14-25
26-17
20-10
20-26
21-23
25-21
22-28
20-16
28-27
32-26
18-21
23-17
25-23
19-28
16-19
26-15
18-18
20-25
18-27
28-15
12-11
16-30
173.5Avg total
87.2Scored
86.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.480.8162.1+0.656%
Season at home (12)81.678.9160.5+2.767%
Season away (13)81.282.5163.6-1.346%
Last 10 (10)87.286.3173.5+0.950%
Last 5 (5)85.485.2170.6+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.682.0153.6-10.40%
vs Similar (14)82.980.6163.6+2.364%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)82.281.6163.9+0.650%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A13/01
ABA League
Igokea
#11
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H16/01
ABA League
Zadar
#14
W
83-60
83
60
+23
A22/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H29/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
78-86
78
86
-8
A05/02
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H20/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#7
L
66-88
66
88
-22
A26/02
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#10
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H04/03
ABA League
Cedevita
#6
L
95-98
95
98
-3
A09/03
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#2
W
92-70
92
70
+22
H13/03
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
17-17
17-20
16-24
18-15
21-16
15-25
18-25
13-12
21-12
31-19
18-17
19-23
17-26
23-18
18-12
13-27
22-22
17-19
26-18
17-20
20-16
9-21
22-19
12-29
14-16
18-20
22-23
15-12
26-25
19-19
21-14
21-21
22-20
33-26
19-31
26-12
17-16
30-25
19-17
157.1Avg total
78.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)76.481.1157.5-4.832%
Season at home (13)78.877.5156.4+1.354%
Season away (12)73.785.0158.7-11.38%
Last 10 (10)78.179.0157.1-0.930%
Last 5 (5)80.480.4160.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.883.6159.5-7.826%
vs Similar (11)79.781.5161.3-1.836%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +1.9+1.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
ZagrebCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H15/01
ABA League
Radnicki
#9
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A23/01
ABA League
Partizan
#1
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H30/01
ABA League
Vrsac
#7
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A05/02
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#10
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H20/02
ABA League
Cedevita
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A26/02
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H06/03
ABA League
Buducnost
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/03
ABA League
Nymburk
#8
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A11/03
ABA League
83.2Avg total
42.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.438.877.2-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.637.977.5+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.676.9-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)42.141.183.2+1.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.881.0+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)35.639.074.6-3.412%-
vs Similar (14)39.939.979.7+0.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)38.636.875.4+1.962%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radnicki
#9
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A13/01
ABA League
Igokea
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H16/01
ABA League
Zadar
#14
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A22/01
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H29/01
ABA League
Cibona
#12
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A05/02
ABA League
Partizan
#1
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H20/02
ABA League
Vrsac
#7
L
26-45
26
45
-19
A26/02
ABA League
Siroki Brijeg
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H04/03
ABA League
Cedevita
#6
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A09/03
ABA League
Petrol Olimpija
#2
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H13/03
ABA League
74.8Avg total
37.0Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)37.041.878.8-4.838%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.039.178.1-0.157%-
Last 30 away (15)35.144.379.4-9.320%-
Last 10 (10)37.037.874.8-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.475.4+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.742.078.7-5.337%-
vs Similar (10)37.441.478.8-4.040%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zagreb wins
4
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
24/12/10Crvena zvezda v Zagreb89-82
16/01/10Zagreb v Crvena zvezda81-80
17/10/09Crvena zvezda v Zagreb89-66
14/03/09Crvena zvezda v Zagreb95-83
13/12/08Zagreb v Crvena zvezda80-84
Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/11ANymburk74-83
08/03/11ABuducnost80-77
06/03/11HPetrol Olimpija85-89
26/02/11ACedevita102-97
20/02/11HSiroki Brijeg86-80
05/02/11AVrsac81-98
30/01/11HPartizan69-77
23/01/11ACibona99-83
19/01/11ARadnicki92-97 OT
15/01/11HKK Krka Novo mesto104-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/11HPetrol Olimpija92-70
09/03/11ACedevita95-98
04/03/11HSiroki Brijeg81-70
26/02/11AVrsac66-88
20/02/11HPartizan68-76
05/02/11ACibona78-86
29/01/11HKK Krka Novo mesto77-79
22/01/11AZadar83-60
16/01/11HIgokea72-81
13/01/11ARadnicki69-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zagreb
ABA League 2010
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL56%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%67%46%
Points / game81.481.681.2
Allowed / game80.878.982.5
Point differential+0.6+2.7-1.3
Avg total162.1160.5163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%8%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2010
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW32%
HomeLLLWW54%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %32%54%8%
Points / game76.478.873.7
Allowed / game81.177.585.0
Point differential-4.8+1.3-11.3
Avg total157.5156.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%23%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)50% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Partizan2618869%79.869.1+10.7
2 KK Krka Novo mesto2517868%77.171.8+5.4
3 Petrol Olimpija2516964%76.572.6+3.9
4 Buducnost26151158%77.374.1+3.2
5 Zagreb25141156%81.480.8+0.6
6 Cedevita26141254%81.779.5+2.2
7 Vrsac25131252%79.479.3+0.1
8 Radnicki25121348%81.383.8-2.5
9 Nymburk26121446%77.879.6-1.7
10 Siroki Brijeg25111444%76.082.0-6.0
11 Igokea26111542%74.275.4-1.2
12 Cibona26101638%76.580.8-4.3
13 Crvena zvezda2581732%76.481.1-4.8
14 Zadar2571828%76.482.2-5.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zagreb33272621107
Crvena zvezda1725212285
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