Zagreb vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2010

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 81-80

23-22 25-20 15-25 18-13

Position#6

Record9-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game77.9

Zagreb 🏆

Crvena zvezda

Position#9

Record7-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game81.2

Allowed / game79.5

ABA LeagueRound 16

Domestic2009

Meetings · Zagreb v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zagreb winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZagrebLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

#24

79-73

H01/12

EuroChallenge

Helios Domzale

#14

84-69

+15

H05/12

ABA League

Roanne

66-95

-29

A08/12

EuroChallenge

Vrsac

66-74

-8

A12/12

ABA League

BC Kiev

#23

71-61

+10

H15/12

EuroChallenge

Zadar

95-97

-2

H19/12

ABA League

KK Bosna

#13

83-65

+18

H22/12

ABA League

Keravnos

#24

81-82

-1

A05/01

EuroChallenge

Buducnost

73-82

-9

A09/01

ABA League

Roanne

94-87

H12/01

EuroChallenge

17-22

15-11

26-20

21-20

17-14

20-14

25-19

22-22

25-24

18-29

12-19

11-23

14-14

13-27

27-15

12-18

19-14

18-13

15-21

19-13

24-18

24-31

24-25

23-23

26-20

22-8

16-15

19-22

15-23

30-18

17-18

19-23

21-26

16-19

20-21

16-16

21-17

16-27

31-19

26-24

157.7Avg total

79.2Scored

78.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	78.7	77.9	156.6	+0.7	60%
Season at home (7)	85.0	76.4	161.4	+8.6	86%
Season away (8)	73.1	79.2	152.4	-6.1	38%
Last 10 (10)	79.2	78.5	157.7	+0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	85.2	82.6	167.8	+2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	78.1	86.3	164.4	-8.2	29%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	77.4	79.2	156.7	-1.8	44%
vs Weaker (7)	88.3	72.6	160.9	+15.7	100%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#15

78-71

A01/12

Eurocup

Vrsac

86-88

-2

H05/12

ABA League

Cholet

#16

82-66

+16

H08/12

Eurocup

Zadar

83-89

-6

A12/12

ABA League

Cholet

#16

70-79

-9

A15/12

Eurocup

KK Bosna

#13

85-79

H19/12

ABA League

Buducnost

77-88

-11

H22/12

ABA League

Dynamo Moscow

#38

88-86

A05/01

Eurocup

FMP Beograd

#12

87-73

+14

H09/01

ABA League

Treviso

#15

104-83

104

+21

H12/01

Eurocup

23-14

17-24

17-20

21-13

21-19

20-24

24-18

21-27

22-25

13-13

26-14

21-14

19-22

23-27

21-19

20-21

15-20

20-19

14-20

21-20

26-17

16-14

25-27

18-21

22-24

15-18

25-24

15-22

19-25

27-22

21-22

21-17

19-23

27-16

17-17

24-17

23-29

28-20

23-17

30-17

164.2Avg total

84.0Scored

80.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	81.2	79.5	160.7	+1.7	47%
Season at home (8)	86.6	78.4	165.0	+8.2	62%
Season away (7)	75.0	80.9	155.9	-5.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	80.2	164.2	+3.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	81.8	170.0	+6.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	69.4	68.2	137.6	+1.2	40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	75.0	81.5	156.5	-6.5	20%
vs Weaker (15)	83.9	78.1	161.9	+5.8	73%

This opponent (Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ZagrebCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.4	20.3	40.7	+0.1	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.8	19.4	42.2	+3.4	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	19.2	39.1	+0.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.4	21.2	42.6	+0.1	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.7	16.7	37.3	+4.0	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.7	38.8	-0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.8	42.7	-0.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.6	45.4	-1.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	17.6	18.2	35.8	-0.6	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	17.7	20.7	38.4	-3.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.6	19.5	40.1	+1.1	47%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.7	19.5	37.2	-1.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.4	18.8	37.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	20.2	37.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	20.6	42.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	16.2	22.7	38.9	-6.5	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	19.0	16.2	35.2	+2.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	19.2	38.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.9	37.7	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.7	40.3	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	18.0	40.6	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	14.8	19.4	34.2	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.7	18.9	38.6	+0.8	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	21.5	19.3	40.7	+2.2	67%	-

ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Keravnos

#24

32-33

-1

H01/12

EuroChallenge

Helios Domzale

#14

37-28

H05/12

ABA League

Roanne

43-53

-10

A08/12

EuroChallenge

Vrsac

27-41

-14

A12/12

ABA League

BC Kiev

#23

37-27

+10

H15/12

EuroChallenge

Zadar

48-49

-1

H19/12

ABA League

KK Bosna

#13

48-28

+20

H22/12

ABA League

Keravnos

#24

45-41

A05/01

EuroChallenge

Buducnost

37-45

-8

A09/01

ABA League

Roanne

37-44

-7

H12/01

EuroChallenge

78.0Avg total

39.1Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	38.1	39.8	77.9	-1.7	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.1	38.2	79.4	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.3	41.3	76.5	-6.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	38.9	78.0	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	41.4	84.4	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	37.6	43.9	81.5	-6.4	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.9	38.0	75.9	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	39.7	32.8	72.5	+6.8	83%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Treviso

#15

40-38

A01/12

Eurocup

Vrsac

41-43

-2

H05/12

ABA League

Cholet

#16

35-38

-3

H08/12

Eurocup

Zadar

42-49

-7

A12/12

ABA League

Cholet

#16

35-39

-4

A15/12

Eurocup

KK Bosna

#13

42-31

+11

H19/12

ABA League

Buducnost

37-42

-5

H22/12

ABA League

Dynamo Moscow

#38

46-47

-1

A05/01

Eurocup

FMP Beograd

#12

46-39

H09/01

ABA League

Treviso

#15

51-49

H12/01

Eurocup

83.0Avg total

41.5Scored

41.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	38.9	77.8	+0.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	40.3	82.0	+1.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	37.4	73.5	-1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	41.5	83.0	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.4	41.6	86.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	32.4	37.6	70.0	-5.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.4	39.6	77.0	-2.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (15)	42.1	38.8	80.9	+3.3	73%	-

This opponent (Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.8	19.9	41.7	+1.8	55%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.5	42.6	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.3	40.9	+0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.2	40.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	19.6	41.2	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	21.5	21.1	42.6	+0.4	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	20.8	41.4	-0.1	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	16.0	40.0	+8.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.0	38.5	+0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	18.5	40.4	+3.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.1	19.5	36.5	-2.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.4	43.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	18.0	15.8	33.8	+2.2	40%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.0	20.3	39.3	-1.3	60%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.3	19.2	39.5	+1.1	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.3	20.8	40.2	-1.5	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.2	20.9	42.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.4	39.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	21.6	42.2	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	19.0	21.3	40.3	-2.3	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.9	20.4	39.3	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.8	20.3	41.2	+0.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.1	38.8	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	19.9	40.6	+0.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	18.4	37.1	+0.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	18.9	40.1	+2.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.0	14.8	33.8	+4.2	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	18.6	21.6	40.2	-3.0	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	20.7	18.9	39.6	+1.7	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.1	40.8	81.9	+0.3	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.3	40.4	84.7	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.1	41.1	79.2	-2.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	39.6	79.7	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	41.2	83.4	+1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)	40.5	42.4	82.9	-1.9	36%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.6	41.2	80.8	-1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (6)	44.8	36.3	81.2	+8.5	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.1	77.3	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.6	38.4	81.0	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	37.9	73.6	-2.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.5	38.7	81.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.8	40.2	84.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	37.0	30.6	67.6	+6.4	80%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	37.6	41.9	79.5	-4.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (15)	40.9	38.1	79.1	+2.8	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Zagreb wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
17/10/09	Crvena zvezda v Zagreb	89-66
14/03/09	Crvena zvezda v Zagreb	95-83
13/12/08	Zagreb v Crvena zvezda	80-84

Zagreblast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/10	H	Roanne	94-87
09/01/10	A	Buducnost	73-82
05/01/10	A	Keravnos	81-82
22/12/09	H	KK Bosna	83-65
19/12/09	H	Zadar	95-97
15/12/09	H	BC Kiev	71-61
12/12/09	A	Vrsac	66-74
08/12/09	A	Roanne	66-95
05/12/09	H	Helios Domzale	84-69
01/12/09	H	Keravnos	79-73

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/01/10	H	Treviso	104-83
09/01/10	H	FMP Beograd	87-73
05/01/10	A	Dynamo Moscow	88-86
22/12/09	H	Buducnost	77-88
19/12/09	H	KK Bosna	85-79
15/12/09	A	Cholet	70-79
12/12/09	A	Zadar	83-89
08/12/09	H	Cholet	82-66
05/12/09	H	Vrsac	86-88
01/12/09	A	Treviso	78-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zagreb

ABA League 2009

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	60%
Home	WWWLW	86%
Away	WLLLL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	7	8
Win %	60%	86%	38%
Points / game	78.7	85.0	73.1
Allowed / game	77.9	76.4	79.2
Point differential	+0.7	+8.6	-6.1
Avg total	156.6	161.4	152.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	57%	12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	67% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

ABA League 2009

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	47%
Home	WLWLW	62%
Away	LLWWL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	47%	62%	29%
Points / game	81.2	86.6	75.0
Allowed / game	79.5	78.4	80.9
Point differential	+1.7	+8.2	-5.9
Avg total	160.7	165.0	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Cibona	15	13	2	87%	80.2	65.7	+14.5
2	Partizan	15	10	5	67%	73.8	69.0	+4.8
3	Petrol Olimpija	15	10	5	67%	77.5	72.7	+4.8
4	Zadar	14	9	5	64%	83.6	74.6	+8.9
5	Vrsac	14	9	5	64%	81.9	75.4	+6.5
6	Buducnost	15	9	6	60%	76.8	72.9	+3.9
7	Zagreb	15	9	6	60%	78.7	77.9	+0.7
8	Crvena zvezda	15	7	8	47%	81.2	79.5	+1.7
9	Cedevita	15	6	9	40%	78.5	83.3	-4.7
10	Radnicki	15	6	9	40%	69.2	79.7	-10.5
11	Siroki Brijeg	15	5	10	33%	74.1	79.1	-5.0
12	FMP Beograd	15	4	11	27%	74.7	79.0	-4.3
13	Helios Domzale	15	4	11	27%	68.2	77.3	-9.1
14	KK Bosna	15	3	12	20%	67.3	78.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Zagreb	23	25	15	18	81
Crvena zvezda	22	20	25	13	80

← all games of the day

Zagreb vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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