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CSKA Moscow vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-93
19-17 32-30 14-21 23-25
Position#1
Record2-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#15
Record0-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game72.3
Allowed / game87.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 4
European cup2020
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Alba Berlin
04 Feb 2022
CMO91
ABE72
16 Oct 2020
CMO88
ABE93
20 Nov 2014
CMO95
ABE66
01 Mar 2013
CMO80
ABE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A09/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#4
W
106-59
106
59
+47
H17/09
Gomelsky Cup
Parma Perm
#3
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
A14/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-19
19-16
21-21
24-15
27-18
33-13
27-14
19-14
25-10
26-14
17-6
23-21
30-15
20-14
22-23
21-8
26-25
29-19
26-17
14-36
14-24
19-17
15-14
18-21
17-25
31-23
26-10
20-22
20-15
11-15
14-14
31-28
22-18
35-18
15-17
28-13
12-10
20-21
17-20
20-18
158.5Avg total
87.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.375.0148.3-1.767%
Season at home (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Season away (2)72.076.5148.5-4.550%
Last 10 (10)87.670.9158.5+16.780%
Last 5 (5)82.874.2157.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)83.086.2169.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.873.7164.5+17.185%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H15/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
93-68
93
68
+25
A18/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H20/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
92-63
92
63
+29
A22/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H24/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
88-65
88
65
+23
H26/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
75-74
75
74
+1
A28/06
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A01/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
72-90
72
90
-18
H09/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H13/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
22-24
25-22
26-22
23-17
29-12
29-11
12-28
22-16
30-15
21-26
15-28
22-17
27-16
23-12
20-18
17-15
24-19
24-11
16-14
19-13
27-16
23-13
19-23
21-11
21-24
25-19
8-20
29-19
12-30
17-18
15-13
27-21
9-31
18-19
18-19
14-29
21-24
20-17
17-23
159.7Avg total
83.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)72.387.7160.0-15.30%
Season at home (2)72.091.5163.5-19.50%
Season away (1)73.080.0153.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)83.176.6159.7+6.570%
Last 5 (5)76.080.4156.4-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)72.091.5163.5-19.50%
vs Similar (2)76.582.0158.5-5.50%
vs Weaker (26)92.779.0171.7+13.785%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +7.3+7.3Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +4.4+4.4Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -4.2-4.2
CSKA MoscowAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#4
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H17/09
Gomelsky Cup
Parma Perm
#3
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H10/10
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#9
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A14/10
Euroleague
79.8Avg total
44.9Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.837.582.3+7.277%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.338.386.7+10.087%-
Last 30 away (15)41.236.777.9+4.567%-
Last 10 (10)44.934.979.8+10.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.237.277.4+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.243.283.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)45.536.782.1+8.885%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A18/06
BBL
Gottingen
#11
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H20/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A22/06
BBL
Oldenburg
#4
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H26/06
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A28/06
BBL
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
36-52
36
52
-16
H09/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
35-53
35
53
-18
H13/10
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
44.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.541.788.2+4.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.091.1+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)46.039.785.7+6.362%-
Last 10 (10)44.039.083.0+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)40.043.683.6-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)35.552.588.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (2)39.545.084.5-5.50%-
vs Weaker (26)47.940.688.5+7.369%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.5
49.6%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.4
42.8%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
79.3%19.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.718.3
51.3%
52.7%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.410.9
41.3%
38.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.111.3
80.1%
79.3%11.3
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWLLWWWW
Alba Berlin
LLLWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#15
+14.1
Net rating
-6.7
119.2
Offensive rating
108.7
105.1
Defensive rating
115.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.8%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
19.8%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.23
42.8%
3-point %
41.3%
58.5%
Assist %
62.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence119.2 · 108.7Defence105.1 · 115.4Shooting55.4% · 55.8%3-point %42.8% · 41.3%Ball care15.1% · 19.8%Off. rebounds31.5% · 30.0%Free throws0.41 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSKA Moscow wins
0
Alba Berlin wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/20AFenerbahce78-77 OT
10/10/20HSaratov100-66
08/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-72
04/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban94-80
01/10/20ABarcelona66-76
26/09/20HParma Perm95-97
23/09/20AAstana93-60
18/09/20HParma Perm91-51
17/09/20HMBA Moscow106-59
09/03/20ALokomotiv Kuban77-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/10/20HAnadolu Efes72-93
09/10/20HBayern72-90
01/10/20AMaccabi Tel Aviv73-80
28/06/20ALudwigsburg75-74
26/06/20HLudwigsburg88-65
24/06/20HOldenburg81-59
22/06/20AOldenburg92-63
20/06/20HGottingen88-85
18/06/20AGottingen93-68
15/06/20HLudwigsburg97-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.376.072.0
Allowed / game75.072.076.5
Point differential-1.7+4.0-4.5
Avg total148.3148.0148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Alba Berlin
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.372.073.0
Allowed / game87.791.580.0
Point differential-15.3-19.5-7.0
Avg total160.0163.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas440100%79.069.8+9.2
2 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
3 Barcelona43175%78.573.8+4.8
4 Fenerbahce32167%78.070.7+7.3
5 Bayern32167%84.778.3+6.3
6 Olympiacos32167%77.071.3+5.7
7 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
8 Olimpia Milano32167%81.079.3+1.7
9 CSKA Moscow32167%73.375.0-1.7
10 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%78.078.0+0.0
12 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
13 Panathinaikos31233%79.383.7-4.3
14 Real Madrid31233%78.084.7-6.7
15 Anadolu Efes41325%76.578.5-2.0
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
17 Khimki M.3030%77.085.3-8.3
18 Alba Berlin3030%72.387.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1932142388
Alba Berlin1730212593
← all games of the day
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