PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Fenerbahce vs CSKA Moscow Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Oct 2020
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 77-78 (OT)
10-12 21-20 20-17 18-20 8-9
Position#9
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game67.0
Fenerbahce
vs
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Position#1
Record1-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game74.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2020
Meetings · Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow
28 Apr 2021
FEN68
CMO85
14 Oct 2020
FEN77
CMO78
18 Dec 2018
FEN79
CMO75
16 Mar 2018
FEN79
CMO81
02 Feb 2017
FEN77
CMO71
15 May 2016
FEN96
CMO101
17 May 2015
FEN80
CMO86
02 Jan 2015
FEN81
CMO84
31 Oct 2013
FEN86
CMO60
29 Jan 2009
FEN48
CMO66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#2
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
105-72
105
72
+33
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
113-74
113
74
+39
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-11
17-19
17-18
27-23
22-19
17-19
14-19
22-23
20-17
12-15
12-19
20-11
25-10
21-19
15-18
13-26
19-20
25-17
22-17
18-21
20-15
32-16
25-19
28-22
24-20
18-10
15-11
20-22
27-14
27-22
11-17
18-21
16-23
26-12
19-19
19-17
39-24
21-17
32-10
21-23
154.4Avg total
82.9Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)78.567.0145.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)77.063.0140.0+14.0100%
Season away (1)80.071.0151.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.971.5154.4+11.490%
Last 5 (5)91.670.8162.4+20.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)67.772.7140.3-5.033%
vs Similar (4)81.572.2153.8+9.2100%
vs Weaker (22)83.973.5157.3+10.486%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
81-67
81
67
+14
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A09/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#4
W
106-59
106
59
+47
H17/09
Gomelsky Cup
Parma Perm
#3
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
93-60
93
60
+33
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
66-76
66
76
-10
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
94-80
94
80
+14
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
100-66
100
66
+34
H10/10
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-14
20-25
23-10
9-18
13-19
19-16
21-21
24-15
27-18
33-13
27-14
19-14
25-10
26-14
17-6
23-21
30-15
20-14
22-23
21-8
26-25
29-19
26-17
14-36
14-24
19-17
15-14
18-21
17-25
31-23
26-10
20-22
20-15
11-15
14-14
31-28
22-18
35-18
15-17
28-13
157.8Avg total
87.9Scored
69.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.074.0145.0-3.050%
Season at home (1)76.072.0148.0+4.0100%
Season away (1)66.076.0142.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)87.969.9157.8+18.080%
Last 5 (5)86.278.2164.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)83.086.2169.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)90.873.5164.3+17.385%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +5.2+5.2Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
FenerbahceCSKA Moscow
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Darussafaka
#2
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A16/02
Turkish Cup
Galatasaray
#4
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H26/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Afyon Belediye
#13
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A01/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#8
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A08/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
OGM Ormanspor
#16
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H26/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H02/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#5
W
54-36
54
36
+18
A04/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Fethiye Bld.
#15
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H11/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
78.0Avg total
44.1Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.334.675.8+6.770%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.634.277.8+9.481%-
Last 30 away (14)38.635.073.6+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.133.978.0+10.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.034.684.6+15.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)33.735.068.7-1.333%-
vs Similar (4)41.234.075.2+7.2100%-
vs Weaker (22)42.134.776.8+7.468%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H13/02
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A09/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#4
W
60-31
60
31
+29
H17/09
Gomelsky Cup
Parma Perm
#3
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H18/09
Gomelsky Cup
Astana
#12
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A23/09
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#9
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H26/09
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A01/10
Euroleague
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H08/10
Euroleague
Saratov
#8
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H10/10
VTB United League
82.3Avg total
46.6Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.237.782.9+7.577%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.338.386.7+10.087%-
Last 30 away (15)42.137.079.1+5.167%-
Last 10 (10)46.635.782.3+10.970%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.884.6+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)40.243.283.5-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)46.036.882.8+9.285%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.720.5
54.4%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.610.4
44.1%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.912.1
81.2%
79.3%12.1
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 87.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.318.5
49.6%
52.7%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.310.4
42.8%
38.1%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.219.6
77.8%
79.3%19.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWWWWWWLW
CSKA Moscow
WWWLLWWWWW
#9
League position
#1
+12.5
Net rating
+14.1
119.8
Offensive rating
119.2
107.3
Defensive rating
105.1
58.9%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
17.1%
Turnover %
15.1%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.41
44.1%
3-point %
42.8%
61.5%
Assist %
58.5%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence119.8 · 119.2Defence107.3 · 105.1Shooting58.9% · 55.4%3-point %44.1% · 42.8%Ball care17.1% · 15.1%Off. rebounds29.9% · 31.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)90% · 80%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ CSKA Moscow
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fenerbahce wins
5
CSKA Moscow wins
DateGameScore
21/03/19CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce70-68
18/12/18Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow79-75
16/03/18Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow79-81
17/11/17CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce93-95 OT
02/02/17Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow77-71
23/12/16CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce79-95 OT
15/05/16Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow96-101 OT
17/05/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow80-86
27/02/15CSKA Moscow v Fenerbahce75-81
02/01/15Fenerbahce v CSKA Moscow81-84 OT
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/20HFethiye Bld.113-74
08/10/20AAnadolu Efes80-71
04/10/20ABesiktas83-74
02/10/20HCrvena zvezda77-63
26/09/20HOGM Ormanspor105-72
15/03/20HTofas84-75
08/03/20ABesiktas74-73
01/03/20AAfyon Belediye64-62
26/02/20HGalatasaray75-80
16/02/20ADarussafaka74-71
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/20HSaratov100-66
08/10/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv76-72
04/10/20HLokomotiv Kuban94-80
01/10/20ABarcelona66-76
26/09/20HParma Perm95-97
23/09/20AAstana93-60
18/09/20HParma Perm91-51
17/09/20HMBA Moscow106-59
09/03/20ALokomotiv Kuban77-71
13/02/20HBC Kalev/Cramo81-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game78.577.080.0
Allowed / game67.063.071.0
Point differential+11.5+14.0+9.0
Avg total145.5140.0151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.076.066.0
Allowed / game74.072.076.0
Point differential-3.0+4.0-10.0
Avg total145.0148.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce220100%78.567.0+11.5
2 Zalgiris Kaunas330100%75.768.7+7.0
3 Zenit Petersburg220100%73.569.5+4.0
4 Bayern32167%84.778.3+6.3
5 Olympiacos32167%77.071.3+5.7
6 Valencia32167%74.770.3+4.3
7 Barcelona32167%72.368.7+3.7
8 Olimpia Milano32167%81.079.3+1.7
9 Baskonia21150%74.576.5-2.0
10 Panathinaikos21150%74.577.0-2.5
11 CSKA Moscow21150%71.074.0-3.0
12 Anadolu Efes31233%77.775.0+2.7
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv31233%78.078.0+0.0
14 Crvena zvezda31233%74.075.0-1.0
15 Khimki M.2020%73.081.0-8.0
16 Lyon-Villeurbanne2020%68.076.0-8.0
17 Real Madrid2020%70.084.5-14.5
18 Alba Berlin3030%72.387.7-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fenerbahce10212018877
CSKA Moscow12201720978
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.