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CSKA Moscow vs Darussafaka Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 18 Oct 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-75
19-17 12-21 26-10 22-27
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game80.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormLLLLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game86.0
EuropeEuroleagueRound 3
European cup2018
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Darussafaka
18 Oct 2018
CMO79
DAR75
27 Sep 2017
CMO81
DAR75
22 Mar 2017
CMO95
DAR85
11 Dec 2015
CMO94
DAR66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Darussafaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#9
W
112-83
112
83
+29
A24/05
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#9
W
100-80
100
80
+20
H27/05
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#9
W
99-73
99
73
+26
H29/05
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
84-67
84
67
+17
H08/06
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
95-84
95
84
+11
H10/06
VTB United League
Enisey
#9
W
91-66
91
66
+25
A05/10
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A07/10
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
95-75
95
75
+20
H11/10
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
A16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
29-20
26-18
29-20
23-27
23-13
26-23
28-17
25-17
24-21
29-16
21-19
14-10
30-20
19-11
21-26
27-18
27-23
25-28
16-15
22-18
21-16
22-15
26-17
14-15
27-12
24-20
21-14
21-17
30-12
18-29
26-17
20-23
26-18
20-23
18-14
24-22
26-24
17-22
22-18
168.8Avg total
93.5Scored
75.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.080.5172.5+11.5100%
Season at home (1)95.075.0170.0+20.0100%
Season away (1)89.086.0175.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)93.575.3168.8+18.2100%
Last 5 (5)89.073.2162.2+15.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)82.085.5167.5-3.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)93.879.9173.6+13.989%
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#14
W
104-82
104
82
+22
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
79-67
79
67
+12
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yesilgiresun
#15
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A09/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#13
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
69-78
69
78
-9
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
L
62-63
62
63
-1
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
93-109
93
109
-16
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
33-21
20-24
30-20
17-21
23-16
16-9
23-21
31-16
28-19
17-15
20-21
21-23
18-12
23-28
15-20
15-19
16-21
22-17
16-21
12-23
20-19
23-20
23-17
12-19
19-12
16-15
15-17
18-25
20-28
31-38
24-18
26-20
16-24
18-9
12-22
14-25
25-10
14-14
18-14
157.1Avg total
80.1Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.086.0168.0-4.050%
Season at home (1)71.063.0134.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)93.0109.0202.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)80.177.0157.1+3.140%
Last 5 (5)75.277.8153.0-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.381.2157.5-4.833%
vs Similar (9)75.773.6149.2+2.156%
vs Weaker (14)81.673.6155.1+8.071%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +8.4+8.4Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.5+0.5
CSKA MoscowDarussafaka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#9
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A24/05
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#9
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/05
VTB United League
VEF Riga
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H29/05
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H08/06
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#5
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H10/06
VTB United League
Enisey
#9
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A05/10
VTB United League
Astana
#6
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A07/10
VTB United League
Barcelona
#5
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H11/10
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H13/10
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A16/10
Euroleague
85.2Avg total
48.1Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.941.789.6+6.267%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.740.487.1+6.369%-
Last 30 away (14)49.343.392.6+6.064%-
Last 10 (10)48.137.185.2+11.0100%-
Last 5 (5)46.235.481.6+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)45.043.588.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)48.141.689.7+6.568%-
This opponent (Darussafaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DarussafakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trabzonspor
#14
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A29/04
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H06/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Yesilgiresun
#15
W
59-35
59
35
+24
A09/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#13
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#3
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H24/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Gaziantep
#5
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H06/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A11/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/10
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Buducnost
#15
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
79.5Avg total
40.5Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.337.675.8+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.535.772.2+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)39.839.279.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)36.441.077.4-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.741.377.0-5.717%-
vs Similar (9)36.338.274.6-1.944%-
vs Weaker (14)40.435.575.9+4.971%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.519.7
48.6%
52.7%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.68.6
38.1%
37.0%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.420.0
82.0%
76.7%20.0
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Darussafakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Darussafaka: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.0
51.4%
52.7%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.9
37.2%
37.0%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.0
70.3%
76.7%13.0
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWWWWWWW
Darussafaka
WLLLLLLWWW
#1
League position
#16
+2.7
Net rating
-2.2
114.3
Offensive rating
111.6
111.6
Defensive rating
113.8
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.1%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
14.4%
32.7%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.1%
3-point %
37.2%
55.8%
Assist %
47.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 111.6Defence111.6 · 113.8Shooting51.7% · 53.1%3-point %38.1% · 37.2%Ball care15.4% · 14.4%Off. rebounds32.7% · 29.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Darussafaka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSKA Moscow wins
1
Darussafaka wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv89-86
13/10/18HNizhny Novgorod84-78
11/10/18HBarcelona95-75
07/10/18AAstana86-61
05/10/18AEnisey91-66
10/06/18HKhimki M.95-84
08/06/18HZenit Petersburg84-67
29/05/18HVEF Riga99-73
27/05/18HVEF Riga100-80
24/05/18AVEF Riga112-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/18HBuducnost71-63
14/10/18AAnadolu Efes72-75
11/10/18AReal Madrid93-109
06/10/18HGaziantep62-63
24/05/18HAnadolu Efes78-79
22/05/18AAnadolu Efes69-78
13/05/18HGaziantep77-83
09/05/18AYesilgiresun96-71
06/05/18HAnadolu Efes79-67
29/04/18ATrabzonspor104-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.095.089.0
Allowed / game80.575.086.0
Point differential+11.5+20.0+3.0
Avg total172.5170.0175.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Darussafaka
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game82.071.093.0
Allowed / game86.063.0109.0
Point differential-4.0+8.0-16.0
Avg total168.0134.0202.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce220100%95.078.5+16.5
2 Olympiacos220100%86.073.0+13.0
3 CSKA Moscow220100%92.080.5+11.5
4 Real Madrid220100%100.089.0+11.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas21150%86.083.0+3.0
6 Anadolu Efes21150%84.582.0+2.5
7 Olimpia Milano21150%83.581.0+2.5
8 Panathinaikos21150%84.082.0+2.0
9 Baskonia21150%83.582.0+1.5
10 Darussafaka21150%82.086.0-4.0
11 Bayern21150%75.584.5-9.0
12 Gran Canaria21150%79.591.5-12.0
13 Maccabi Tel Aviv2020%85.089.0-4.0
14 Buducnost2020%67.076.5-9.5
15 Barcelona2020%80.591.0-10.5
16 Khimki M.2020%75.590.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1912262279
Darussafaka1721102775
← all games of the day
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